World Cup: African qualifiers

Senegal, Nigeria and Tunisia have almost clinched (>90%) the group win and a spot in the playoff. Group D (Ivory Coast and Cameroon) and Group G (Ghana and South Africa) are the most open groups.

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Algeria	2	4	14.4	(13-16)	80%	57%
Burkina Faso	2	4	12.7	(11-13)	20%	9%
Niger	2	3	6.52	(6-7)	< 1%	< 1%
Djibouti	2	0	0.627	(0-1)	< 1%	< 1%

Group B
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Tunisia	2	6	14.5	(13-16)	91%	52%
Zambia	2	3	9.31	(7-11)	7%	2%
Equatorial Guinea	2	3	6.74	(5-9)	2%	< 1%
Mauritania	2	0	3.81	(2-6)	< 1%	< 1%

Group C
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Nigeria	2	6	15.4	(14-18)	97%	62%
Liberia	2	3	7.45	(6-9)	1%	< 1%
Cape Verde	2	1	7.09	(5-8)	1%	< 1%
Central African Republic	2	1	3.54	(2-5)	< 1%	< 1%

Group D
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Ivory Coast	2	4	12.4	(11-14)	65%	36%
Cameroon	2	3	10.6	(9-12)	31%	13%
Malawi	2	3	6.61	(5-8)	4%	< 1%
Mozambique	2	1	3.85	(2-5)	< 1%	< 1%

Group E
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Mali	2	4	11.7	(10-14)	71%	30%
Uganda	2	2	8.46	(7-10)	18%	5%
Kenya	2	2	6.64	(5-8)	8%	2%
Rwanda	2	1	4.54	(3-6)	2%	< 1%

Group F
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Egypt	2	4	12.2	(11-14)	71%	35%
Libya	2	6	9.9	(8-12)	23%	4%
Gabon	2	1	6.73	(5-8)	5%	1%
Angola	2	0	4.43	(3-6)	1%	< 1%

Group G
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Ghana	2	3	11.1	(9-13)	54%	27%
South Africa	2	4	10.4	(8-12)	37%	12%
Ethiopia	2	3	6.54	(5-8)	5%	< 1%
Zimbabwe	2	1	5.37	(4-7)	3%	< 1%

Group H
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Senegal	2	6	15.9	(15-18)	98%	68%
Namibia	2	4	7.75	(6-9)	2%	< 1%
Congo	2	1	6.33	(5-8)	< 1%	< 1%
Togo	2	0	3.58	(2-5)	< 1%	< 1%

Group I
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Morocco	1	3	13.8	(12-16)	87%	53%
Guinea-Bissau	2	4	7.5	(6-9)	5%	< 1%
Guinea	1	1	7.49	(5-9)	7%	2%
Sudan	2	0	4.41	(3-6)	< 1%	< 1%

Group J
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		R3	Qatar
Benin	2	4	10.8	(9-13)	55%	15%
Democratic Republic of Congo	2	2	8.85	(7-11)	28%	8%
Tanzania	2	4	7.73	(6-10)	15%	2%
Madagascar	2	0	4.84	(3-7)	3%	< 1%