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Uruguay and Ecuador drew while Chile lost against Brazil. On Sunday the giants Brazil and Argentina will play in Brazil, but more important for the outcome of the qualifications is probably the match between Ecuador and Chile - and between Colombia and Paraguay. Chile are down to 11% if they don't beat Ecuador. Ecuador have 76% if they win and 55% otherwise. Colombia have 71% if they beat Paraguay and 50% otherwise. Paraguay are down to 8% if they don't win against Colombia and 22% if they win.
| Country | MP | Pts | Simulated Pts | Playoff | 1st-4th | Playoff Winner | Qatar | ||
| Brazil | 7 | 21 | 45.6 | (43-48) | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Argentina | 7 | 15 | 34.1 | (31-37) | 2% | 97% | 1% | 98% | |
| Uruguay | 7 | 9 | 28.5 | (26-31) | 13% | 77% | 7% | 84% | |
| Ecuador | 7 | 12 | 26.1 | (23-29) | 21% | 55% | 11% | 65% | |
| Colombia | 7 | 9 | 25.4 | (23-28) | 27% | 45% | 13% | 59% | |
| Chile | 7 | 6 | 20 | (17-23) | 12% | 10% | 6% | 16% | |
| Paraguay | 7 | 7 | 19.6 | (17-22) | 11% | 8% | 5% | 13% | |
| Peru | 7 | 5 | 19 | (16-22) | 9% | 5% | 4% | 10% | |
| Venezuela | 7 | 4 | 17.3 | (14-20) | 5% | 3% | 2% | 5% | |
| Bolivia | 7 | 6 | 12.2 | (10-14) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
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