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The South American qualifications are played in one group. The top 4 teams clinch a spot in the World Cup, while the fifth team play intercontinental playoff.
| Group A | |||||||||
| Country | MP | Pts | Simulated Pts | Playoff | 1st-4th | Playoff Winner | Qatar | ||
| Brazil | 6 | 18 | 44.8 | (42-48) | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Argentina | 6 | 12 | 32.8 | (30-36) | 4% | 94% | 2% | 96% | |
| Uruguay | 6 | 8 | 29 | (26-32) | 12% | 77% | 6% | 84% | |
| Colombia | 6 | 8 | 26.6 | (24-29) | 22% | 54% | 11% | 65% | |
| Ecuador | 6 | 9 | 25 | (22-28) | 20% | 42% | 10% | 52% | |
| Chile | 6 | 6 | 20.7 | (18-24) | 13% | 12% | 7% | 18% | |
| Paraguay | 6 | 7 | 20.5 | (18-23) | 12% | 11% | 6% | 17% | |
| Peru | 6 | 4 | 19.2 | (16-22) | 9% | 6% | 4% | 10% | |
| Venezuela | 6 | 4 | 18.3 | (15-21) | 7% | 4% | 3% | 7% | |
| Bolivia | 6 | 5 | 11.9 | (9-14) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
Important matches
| Ecuador have 61% if they win against Paraguay; otherwise 40% |
| Colombia have 74% if they win against Chile; otherwise 53% |
| Uruguay have 89% if they win against Ecuador; otherwise 74% |
| Chile have 34% if they win against Colombia; otherwise 14% |
| Paraguay have 31% if they win against Ecuador; otherwise 13% |
| Ecuador have 63% if they draw (or win) against Uruguay; otherwise 45% |
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