World Cup: Japan won against Australia

Japan won against Australia, turning Group B into a three-horse race between them and Saudi. Group A is less open with Iran and South Korea as favorites.

Country	Group	3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Iran	A	1%	26%	72%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	99%
South Korea	A	7%	65%	27%	7%	5%	2%	94%
Australia	B	20%	28%	48%	20%	14%	7%	83%
Saudi Arabia	B	31%	32%	29%	31%	16%	8%	69%
Japan	B	33%	36%	22%	33%	25%	13%	70%
Iraq	A	59%	7%	< 1%	59%	28%	14%	21%
Oman	B	13%	4%	1%	13%	5%	2%	8%
Lebanon	A	20%	1%	< 1%	20%	3%	2%	3%
China	B	2%	< 1%	< 1%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
United Arab Emirates	A	6%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Syria	A	7%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	2%	< 1%	1%
Vietnam	B	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Most interesting matches in November

Oman vs Japan in Group B

- Japan have 80.2% if they win; 64.5% if draw; 49.7% if lose.

- Oman have 20.2% if they win; 7.8% if draw; 3.1% if lose.

- Saudi Arabia have 73.8% if Oman win; 72.6% if draw; 65.2% if Japan win.

Australia vs Saudi Arabia in Group B

- Australia have 89.6% if they win; 76.4% if draw; 64.4% if lose.

- Saudi Arabia have 89.7% if they win; 75.1% if draw; 61.3% if lose.

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Iran	4	10	22.6	(21-25)	1%	26%	72%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	99%
South Korea	4	8	19.9	(18-22)	7%	65%	27%	7%	5%	2%	94%
Iraq	4	3	12.9	(11-15)	59%	7%	< 1%	59%	28%	14%	21%
Lebanon	4	5	10.3	(8-12)	20%	1%	< 1%	20%	3%	2%	3%
United Arab Emirates	4	3	7.71	(6-9)	6%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Syria	4	1	6.94	(5-9)	7%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	2%	< 1%	1%

Group B
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Australia	4	9	20.3	(18-22)	20%	28%	48%	20%	14%	7%	83%
Saudi Arabia	4	12	19.5	(17-22)	31%	32%	29%	31%	16%	8%	69%
Japan	4	6	18.6	(17-21)	33%	36%	22%	33%	25%	13%	70%
Oman	4	6	13	(11-15)	13%	4%	1%	13%	5%	2%	8%
China	4	3	9.39	(7-11)	2%	< 1%	< 1%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Vietnam	4	0	5.44	(4-7)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%