World Cup: Argentina clinch qualification

Ecuador won important match against Chile, while Colombia and Paraguay drew. Brazil and Argentina have clinched tickets to Qatar, while five countries are fighting over the remaining 3.5 tickets.

Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		Playoff	1st-4th	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Brazil	13	35	46.9	(45-48)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%
Argentina	13	29	37.1	(35-39)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%
Ecuador	14	23	27.3	(26-29)	7%	92%	3%	95%
Colombia	14	17	23.7	(22-26)	34%	41%	17%	58%
Uruguay	14	16	23.5	(22-25)	26%	43%	13%	56%
Peru	14	17	21.8	(20-23)	17%	17%	9%	25%
Chile	14	16	20.6	(19-22)	13%	7%	7%	13%
Bolivia	14	15	17.1	(15-18)	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Paraguay	14	13	16.9	(15-19)	1%	< 1%	< 1%	1%
Venezuela	14	7	12	(10-13)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Most interesting matches in January and February meeting

Colombia vs Peru

- Colombia have 73.8% if they win; 44.5% if draw; 21.6% if lose.

- Peru have 59.8% if they win; 29.6% if draw; 13.4% if lose.

Paraguay vs Uruguay

- Uruguay have 71.4% if they win; 50.9% if draw; 35.9% if lose.

- Paraguay have 3.6% if they win; 0.3% if draw; 0% if lose.

- Colombia have 66% if Paraguay win; 60.7% if draw; 51.7% if Uruguay win.