Wednesday, November 17, 2021

World Cup: Australia draw China

 Iran and South Korea are running off and practically secured a place in Qatar.

In Group B, Australia lost two points against China and are now trailing Saudi and Japan for the two direct places. The three other teams are practically out.


Most interesting matches January and February meetings
Japan vs Saudi Arabia in Group B
    - Japan have 92.2% if they win; 76.1% if draw; 66.5% if lose.
    - Saudi Arabia have 99.2% if they win; 92.4% if draw; 79.9% if lose.
Oman vs Australia in Group B
    - Australia have 72.9% if they win; 58.4% if draw; 45.9% if lose.
    - Oman have 7.1% if they win; 1.1% if draw; 0.2% if lose.
    - Saudi Arabia have 89.7% if Oman win; 88.6% if draw; 80.4% if Australia win.
    - Japan have 91.4% if Oman win; 88% if draw; 82.2% if Australia win.


Group A
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts3rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffPlayoff
Winner
Qatar
Iran61624.4 (23-26)< 1%27%73%< 1%< 1%< 1%100%
South Korea61421.9 (20-24)< 1%73%27%< 1%< 1%< 1%100%
Iraq6410.4 (9-12)51%< 1%< 1%51%21%11%11%
United Arab Emirates669.16 (7-10)24%< 1%< 1%24%4%2%2%
Lebanon658.2 (6-9)16%< 1%< 1%16%2%< 1%< 1%
Syria626.52 (5-8)9%< 1%< 1%9%2%< 1%< 1%


Group B
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts3rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffPlayoff
Winner
Qatar
Saudi Arabia61621.2 (20-23)20%34%45%20%11%6%85%
Japan61220.5 (19-22)22%39%38%22%18%9%86%
Australia61118.3 (17-20)52%26%17%52%39%19%63%
Oman6712 (10-14)6%< 1%< 1%6%3%1%2%
China658.89 (7-11)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Vietnam603.62 (2-5)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%


 

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