World Cup: Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Finland

Most interesting matches tonight

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Finland in Group D

- Finland have 6.4% if they win; 0.8% if draw; 0% if lose.

- Bosnia and Herzegovina have 3.2% if they win; 1.5% if draw; 0% if lose.

- Ukraine have 8.9% if Bosnia and Herzegovina win; 12.6% if draw; 7.4% if Finland win.

Montenegro vs Netherlands in Group G

- Netherlands have 94.9% if they win; 90.2% if draw; 77.1% if lose.

- Norway have 28.6% if Montenegro win; 18.6% if draw; 18% if Netherlands win.

- Turkey have 19.4% if Montenegro win; 15.1% if draw; 13% if Netherlands win.

Norway vs Latvia in Group G

- Norway have 21% if they win; 5.4% if draw; 1.7% if lose.

- Turkey have 24.4% if Latvia win; 21.4% if draw; 13.1% if Norway win.

- Netherlands have 97.6% if Latvia win; 96.7% if draw; 91.6% if Norway win.

Wales vs Belgium in Group E

- Wales have 37.3% if they win; 31.2% if draw; 22% if lose.

- Czechia have 17.1% if Belgium win; 14.6% if draw; 14.2% if Wales win.

- Belgium have 99.8% if  they lose; 100% otherwise.

- Turkey have 15% if Belgium win; 13.6% if draw; 12.1% if Wales win.

France vs Kazakhstan in Group D

- France have 100% if they win; 97% if draw; 94.3% if lose.

- Finland have 7.5% if Kazakhstan win; 6.8% if draw; 2.3% if France win.

 

Crucial match in Group D between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Finland. The loser is definitely out. In the last round, Bosnia and Herzegovoina host Ukraine while Finland host France.

Group D
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
France	6	12	17.1	(16-18)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
Ukraine	7	9	10.7	(9-12)	49%	< 1%	49%	18%	9%	9%
Finland	6	8	9.9	(8-11)	23%	< 1%	23%	6%	2%	2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	6	7	9.58	(8-11)	27%	< 1%	27%	5%	2%	2%
Kazakhstan	7	3	3.05	(3-3)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

 

Group E
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Belgium	6	16	20.8	(20-22)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
Wales	6	11	14.4	(14-15)	48%	< 1%	100%	51%	27%	27%
Czechia	7	11	13.7	(14-14)	52%	< 1%	100%	36%	16%	16%
Estonia	6	4	4.28	(4-4)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Belarus	7	3	3.31	(3-3)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

 Montenegro play Netherlands; Norway travel to Latvia and Turkey are hosting Gibraltar. Turkey have to win to keep a reasonable chance. Norway have a very difficult match in Amsterdam on Tuesday so probably need a good result against Latvia. If Netherlands take point against Montenegro a draw will suffice against Norway; otherwise they might need to win. 

Group G
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Netherlands	8	19	23.6	(23-25)	10%	87%	10%	8%	5%	92%
Norway	8	17	20.3	(20-21)	41%	12%	41%	16%	7%	19%
Turkey	8	15	19.9	(19-21)	49%	< 1%	49%	28%	14%	14%
Montenegro	8	11	12.3	(11-14)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Latvia	8	5	6.8	(5-8)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Gibraltar	8	0	1.18	(0-3)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%