Nations League after match day 4

 

Important matches for Euro '24 qualifications

Montenegro vs Finland (2.1%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Finland	39%	43%	55%
Montenegro	22%	18%	12%

Scotland vs Ireland (1.7%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Ireland	38%	42%	53%
Scotland	63%	56%	48%

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Montenegro (1.5%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Bosnia and Herzegovina	42%	35%	27%
Montenegro	13%	18%	24%

Albania vs Iceland (1.5%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Iceland	13%	18%	25%
Albania	29%	21%	18%

Israel vs Albania (1.4%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Israel	52%	48%	37%
Albania	22%	23%	34%

Norway vs Serbia (1.4%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Serbia	77%	79%	89%
Norway	78%	77%	73%

Ukraine vs Scotland (1.1%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Ukraine	87%	82%	77%
Scotland	54%	59%	67%

Scotland vs Ukraine (0.9%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Scotland	64%	55%	52%
Ukraine	80%	84%	87%

Finland vs Romania (0.8%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Finland	52%	46%	39%
Romania	28%	29%	36%
Montenegro	15%	18%	19%

Serbia vs Sweden (0.5%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Serbia	85%	81%	75%
Sweden	58%	59%	64%

Georgia vs North Macedonia (0.2%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
North Macedonia	31%	32%	38%
Georgia	32%	29%	26%

			Rank			Points
Rank	Group	Country	Mean	Min	Max	Mean	Min	Max	+/-	Pot 5	Pot 4	Pot 3	Pot 2	Pot 1
1	A4	Netherlands	2.6	1	10	12.8	10	16	5					100%
2	A2	Spain	4	1	12	11.3	8	14	3.9				< 1%	99.94%
3	A1	Denmark	4.1	1	12	11.4	9	15	2.5				< 1%	>99.99%
4	A4	Belgium	4.9	1	12	10.8	7	13	4.8				< 1%	99.73%
5	A2	Portugal	5.1	1	15	10.1	7	13	5.5				< 1%	99.42%
6	A3	Germany	5.8	1	16	9.2	6	12	3.8
7	A1	Croatia	6	1	15	9.9	7	13	-0.7				6%	94%
8	A3	Italy	7.9	1	16	8.5	5	11	-0.9				16%	84%
9	A3	Hungary	8	1	15	8.3	7	13	1.5				9%	91%
10	A1	France	11.1	5	16	6.3	2	8	0.9				42%	58%
11	A4	Poland	12	5	16	6.2	4	10	-5.9				59%	41%
12	A2	Czechia	12.2	2	16	6	4	10	-4.3				60%	40%
13	A2	Switzerland	12.4	3	16	5.7	3	9	-5.1				65%	35%
14	A1	Austria	12.6	2	16	5.5	4	10	-2.7				71%	29%
15	A3	England	13.1	5	16	5.1	2	8	-4.4				78%	22%
16	A4	Wales	14.3	6	16	3.3	1	7	-3.9				93%	7%
17	B4	Norway	18.5	17	24	9.7	4	12	2.6			6%	94%
18	B1	Ukraine	19.6	17	30	7.4	3	12	2.2			23%	77%
19	B2	Israel	19.8	17	24	6.8	5	8	1.7			22%	78%
20	B3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	20.2	17	28	6.8	4	10	1.4			27%	73%
21	B4	Serbia	21.6	17	28	6	3	9	0.8			58%	42%
22	B1	Scotland	23	17	31	4.6	0	12	-2.1			67%	33%
23	B3	Montenegro	23.9	17	30	4.2	1	10	-1.5			70%	30%
24	B2	Albania	23.9	17	28	3.8	1	7	-1			83%	17%
25	B2	Iceland	24.5	17	28	3.9	3	6	-0.7			87%	13%
26	B3	Finland	24.6	17	31	5.5	1	7	0.7			74%	26%
27	B1	Ireland	25	17	31	5	1	7	1			87%	13%
28	B4	Sweden	27.5	22	31	1.5	0	6	-3.5			100%
29	B3	Romania	28.3	20	31	4.5	0	9	-5.2			95.8%	4.2%
30	B4	Slovenia	29.7	21	31	3.5	2	6	-6.4			99.97%	< 1%
31	B1	Armenia	29.8	20	31	3.5	0	9	-9.8			99.76%	< 1%
32	C1	Turkey	32.3	32	38	17	12	18	18		100%
33	C2	Greece	33.2	32	35	16	12	18	9		100%
34	C4	Georgia	34	32	39	13.9	10	16	12.1		100%
35	C3	Kazakhstan	35.2	32	39	12.4	10	16	3.4		100%
36	C3	Slovakia	36.6	33	45	10.9	6	12	3.9	< 1%	99.19%
37	C4	North Macedonia	36.9	32	43	10.5	7	13	4.2	< 1%	99.80%
38	C1	Luxembourg	38.1	32	43	9.3	7	13	-0.3	< 1%	99.80%
39	C2	Kosovo	38.3	36	46	9	6	12	0.3	3.3%	96.7%
40	C4	Bulgaria	40.8	36	47	6.4	3	9	-1.4	27%	73%
41	C3	Azerbaijan	41.6	35	47	5.9	4	10	-3.1	49%	51%
42	C2	Northern Ireland	42.2	36	47	4.9	2	8	-1.8	67%	33%
43	C1	Faroe Islands	42.4	36	47	5.3	4	10	-6.7	73%	27%
44	C3	Belarus	44	36	47	4.1	2	8	-4.3	89%	11%
45	C2	Cyprus	44.7	36	47	3.3	2	8	-7.5	95%	5%
46	C1	Lithuania	45.1	40	47	2.8	0	6	-11	96.3%	3.7%
47	C4	Gibraltar	46.5	40	47	1.5	1	7	-14.9	99.68%	< 1%
48	D2	Estonia	48.5	48	51	10.8	6	12	6.6	100%
49	D1	Latvia	48.6	48	51	10.1	6	12	6.8	100%
50	D2	Malta	50	48	51	6.7	6	9	0.9	100%
51	D1	Moldova	50.9	48	52	4.6	3	7	-2.2	96.9%
52	D1	Andorra	52.3	51	54	2.2	1	5	-4.9	3.1%
53	D2	San Marino	52.9	52	53	0.2	0	3	-7.5
54	D1	Liechtenstein	53.8	52	54	2.1	0	6	-6.7

Country	Playoff	2nd	1st	Euro	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
France	1.1%	14%	85%	99.68%	93%	70%	49%	33%	21%
Belgium	1.6%	15%	84%	99.53%	90%	64%	41%	25%	14%
Germany				100%	79%	54%	35%	21%	12%
England	3.4%	28%	69%	98.7%	88%	59%	36%	21%	11%
Spain	2.4%	17%	80%	99.25%	88%	59%	36%	21%	11%
Italy	4.1%	23%	73%	98.5%	84%	53%	29%	15%	7%
Portugal	4.4%	22%	73%	98.4%	82%	50%	28%	14%	6%
Netherlands	7%	27%	66%	97.1%	77%	43%	21%	9%	3.7%
Denmark	7%	27%	66%	97.0%	77%	42%	21%	9%	3.7%
Switzerland	10%	38%	51%	95%	74%	40%	19%	8%	3.0%
Croatia	15%	34%	51%	92%	64%	29%	11%	4.0%	1.3%
Wales	21%	47%	31%	87%	60%	26%	10%	3.3%	1.0%
Serbia	20%	44%	27%	82%	58%	25%	10%	3.3%	< 1%
Czechia	23%	43%	34%	86%	57%	24%	9%	2.7%	< 1%
Ukraine	26%	46%	25%	84%	56%	23%	8%	2.5%	< 1%
Poland	26%	44%	30%	83%	53%	20%	7%	2.0%	< 1%
Sweden	3.6%	39%	19%	60%	39%	15%	5%	1.6%	< 1%
Norway	39%	44%	16%	76%	43%	14%	4.0%	1.0%	< 1%
Hungary	37%	37%	26%	75%	39%	12%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%
Austria	43%	41%	16%	69%	36%	11%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%
Turkey	65%	27%	8%	66%	36%	11%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
Scotland	30%	36%	11%	57%	31%	10%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
Finland	25%	32%	9%	48%	24%	7%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
Greece	73%	21%	5%	55%	26%	7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
Ireland	24%	29%	7%	43%	21%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovakia	36%	22%	6%	38%	18%	4.6%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%
Israel	62%	28%	5%	47%	19%	4.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
North Macedonia	31%	20%	4.8%	34%	15%	3.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Romania	5%	24%	5%	30%	13%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	65%	22%	3.2%	38%	13%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovenia	2.4%	20%	3.6%	24%	9%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Georgia	85%	10%	1.5%	29%	10%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Albania	40%	16%	2.3%	25%	8%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Northern Ireland	1.6%	12%	2.1%	15%	5%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Iceland	35%	12%	1.3%	17%	4.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Montenegro	42%	11%	1.1%	16%	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Armenia	1.3%	8%	< 1%	9%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kosovo	13%	6%	< 1%	8%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bulgaria	2.4%	6%	< 1%	7%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Estonia	73%	1.0%	< 1%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Latvia	74%	< 1%	< 1%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Malta	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Andorra		< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Moldova	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Gibraltar	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Liechtenstein		< 1%		< 1%
Kazakhstan	84%	< 1%	< 1%	3.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Azerbaijan	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Belarus	1.6%	3.2%	< 1%	3.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cyprus	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Faroe Islands	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Lithuania	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Luxembourg	15%	1.7%	< 1%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%