NL: Sweden vs Norway one of the key matches for the Euro Qualifications

Below are some matches the coming days, which have significant impact on which countries that will qualify to Euro 24.

Important matches for who qualify for Euro 24

Sweden vs Norway (0.9%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Sweden	80%	74%	70%
Norway	60%	66%	72%

Iceland vs Albania (0.6%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Iceland	24%	19%	16%
Albania	25%	29%	34%

Finland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (0.4%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Finland	59%	53%	49%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	23%	26%	31%

Kosovo vs Greece (0.2%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Greece	41%	46%	50%
Kosovo	12%	9%	7%

Bulgaria vs Georgia (0.2%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Georgia	16%	19%	23%
Bulgaria	12%	9%	8%

Belarus vs Slovakia (0.1%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Slovakia	43%	48%	52%
Belarus	10%	7%	6%

			Rank			Points
Rank	Group	Country	Mean	Min	Max	Mean	Min	Max	+/-	Pot 5	Pot 4	Pot 3	Pot 2	Pot 1
1	A1	France	3.1	1	16	13.1	0	18	8.4				1.4%	98.6%
2	A4	Belgium	4.1	1	16	12.1	0	18	6.3				3.9%	96.1%
3	A3	England	5.5	1	16	10.8	0	18	4.3				7%	93%
4	A2	Spain	6.4	1	16	9.8	1	16	3.1				12%	88%
5	A3	Italy	6.7	1	16	9.8	0	18	2.6				12%	88%
6	A2	Portugal	6.9	1	16	9.5	1	16	2.5				16%	84%
7	A1	Denmark	7.6	1	16	9.1	0	18	1.2				18%	82%
8	A3	Germany	7.6	1	16	9.1	0	18	1.4
9	A4	Netherlands	7.7	1	16	9	0	18	1				21%	79%
10	A1	Croatia	9.9	1	16	7.2	0	18	-2.1				39%	61%
11	A4	Poland	10.3	1	16	7.1	3	18	-3.8				44%	56%
12	A2	Czechia	10.3	1	16	7.1	3	18	-3.8				46%	54%
13	A2	Switzerland	10.7	1	16	6.4	0	15	-1.8				51%	49%
14	A4	Wales	11.9	1	16	5.5	0	15	-3.5				64%	36%
15	A1	Austria	13.3	1	16	4.3	0	18	-7.5				80%	20%
16	A3	Hungary	13.9	1	16	3.8	0	18	-8.2				87%	13%
17	B1	Ukraine	20.9	17	31	6.8	0	12	2.2			36%	64%
18	B4	Sweden	21.8	17	31	6	0	12	0.6			47%	53%
19	B3	Finland	21.8	17	31	6.4	0	12	1.2			45%	55%
20	B4	Norway	22.2	17	31	6.5	0	12	0			52%	48%
21	B2	Israel	22.4	17	28	5.4	1	10	0.4			59%	41%
22	B2	Albania	22.4	17	28	5.5	0	12	-0			58%	42%
23	B2	Iceland	23	17	28	4.9	1	10	-0.3			66%	34%
24	B3	Romania	23.1	17	31	5.6	0	12	-0.2			60%	40%
25	B1	Scotland	23.3	17	31	5.3	0	12	-0.5			64%	36%
26	B4	Serbia	24.4	17	31	4.7	0	12	-0.7			75%	25%
27	B1	Ireland	24.4	17	31	4.7	0	12	-1.8			75%	25%
28	B3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	25.1	17	31	4.7	0	12	-2.2			78%	22%
29	B3	Montenegro	27.1	17	31	4.1	0	12	-4.4			90%	10%
30	B1	Armenia	28.9	17	31	3.2	0	12	-7.5			97.1%	2.9%
31	B4	Slovenia	29.1	17	31	3.3	0	12	-7			97.7%	2.3%
32	C1	Turkey	33.4	32	47	14.7	1	18	11.9	< 1%	99.58%
33	C3	Slovakia	34.3	32	47	13.6	0	18	9.3	1.5%	98.5%
34	C2	Greece	34.6	32	47	13.4	3	18	6.9	1.3%	98.7%
35	C4	North Macedonia	35.6	32	47	12.1	1	16	8.5	1.5%	98.5%
36	C4	Georgia	37.1	32	47	10.8	3	18	5.7	6%	94%
37	C3	Belarus	38.7	32	47	9.1	0	18	1.1	23%	77%
38	C4	Bulgaria	38.8	32	47	9.2	1	16	2.9	14%	86%
39	C2	Kosovo	39	32	47	9.1	3	18	0.6	21%	79%
40	C2	Northern Ireland	39.3	32	47	8.6	0	15	1.9	24%	76%
41	C1	Luxembourg	40	32	47	7.9	0	18	-1.1	35%	65%
42	C1	Lithuania	41.6	32	47	6.4	0	18	-3.9	58%	42%
43	C3	Kazakhstan	42.2	32	47	5.8	0	18	-4.6	67%	33%
44	C3	Azerbaijan	42.9	32	47	5.2	0	18	-5.8	75%	25%
45	C1	Faroe Islands	43.2	32	47	4.8	0	18	-6.9	78%	22%
46	C2	Cyprus	45	32	47	2.9	0	15	-9.4	95%	5%
47	C4	Gibraltar	46.5	34	47	1.3	0	13	-17	99.51%	< 1%
48	D2	Estonia	48.8	48	53	9.2	3	12	5.8	99.78%
49	D1	Latvia	49.5	48	54	7.6	0	12	3.5	90%
50	D2	Malta	49.8	48	53	7.2	0	12	3.5	97.7%
51	D1	Moldova	51.1	48	54	5.3	0	12	-0.7	63%
52	D1	Liechtenstein	52.5	48	54	3.9	0	12	-4.5	25%
53	D1	Andorra	52.5	48	54	3.8	0	12	-4.7	23%
54	D2	San Marino	52.8	48	53	0.8	0	9	-9.2	2.5%

Country	Playoff	2nd	1st	Euro	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
France	< 1%	9%	91%	99.81%	93%	70%	49%	33%	21%
Belgium	1.1%	12%	86%	99.58%	90%	64%	41%	25%	14%
Germany				100%	79%	54%	35%	21%	12%
England	1.5%	15%	83%	99.30%	88%	59%	36%	21%	11%
Spain	1.5%	16%	82%	99.26%	88%	59%	36%	21%	11%
Italy	2.3%	20%	77%	98.7%	84%	53%	30%	15%	7%
Portugal	2.7%	22%	74%	98.3%	82%	50%	27%	14%	6%
Netherlands	4.1%	28%	65%	96.9%	77%	43%	21%	9%	3.8%
Denmark	4.1%	27%	66%	96.9%	77%	42%	21%	9%	3.7%
Switzerland	5%	37%	53%	95.3%	74%	40%	19%	8%	3.0%
Croatia	8%	39%	45%	91%	64%	29%	11%	4.0%	1.2%
Wales	9%	44%	35%	88%	61%	27%	10%	3.4%	1.0%
Serbia	6%	45%	24%	76%	53%	23%	9%	3.0%	< 1%
Czechia	9%	42%	36%	87%	58%	24%	9%	2.7%	< 1%
Ukraine	11%	48%	21%	80%	53%	22%	8%	2.4%	< 1%
Sweden	10%	46%	20%	76%	50%	20%	7%	2.1%	< 1%
Poland	10%	42%	33%	85%	53%	21%	7%	2.0%	< 1%
Norway	11%	40%	12%	64%	36%	12%	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%
Hungary	13%	43%	13%	70%	37%	11%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%
Austria	13%	42%	14%	69%	36%	11%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
Scotland	10%	37%	10%	57%	31%	10%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
Turkey	25%	28%	7%	60%	33%	10%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%
Finland	12%	36%	8%	56%	28%	8%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%
Ireland	8%	31%	7%	45%	22%	6%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovakia	21%	23%	4.9%	48%	23%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
Greece	19%	22%	4.7%	47%	22%	6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
North Macedonia	15%	21%	4.3%	41%	19%	4.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Romania	9%	28%	4.9%	42%	18%	4.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Israel	9%	25%	3.6%	37%	15%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovenia	1.0%	20%	3.2%	24%	9%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Albania	8%	19%	2.1%	29%	9%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	5%	18%	2.2%	25%	8%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Northern Ireland	4.0%	14%	2.0%	20%	7%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Georgia	8%	11%	1.2%	19%	6%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Iceland	6%	13%	1.2%	20%	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Montenegro	2.1%	9%	< 1%	12%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bulgaria	3.1%	6%	< 1%	10%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kosovo	3.0%	5%	< 1%	9%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Armenia	< 1%	8%	< 1%	9%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Belarus	2.8%	4.1%	< 1%	7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kazakhstan	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Estonia	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Latvia	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Malta	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Andorra	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Moldova	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Gibraltar	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Liechtenstein	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Lithuania	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Azerbaijan	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cyprus	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Faroe Islands	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Luxembourg	1.0%	1.5%	< 1%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%