PL: Match week 2

 

Simulated points for winner: 82 - 90
Simulated points for fourth: 64 - 70
Simulated points for 17th team: 37 - 41

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
6	Man City	83.3	+53	< 1%	99.98%	99.95%	99.82%	99.31%	60%	< 1%	< 1%	99.47%
2	Liverpool	80.1	+49	< 1%	99.93%	99.81%	99.45%	98.2%	35%	< 1%	1.2%	98.6%
4	Chelsea	68.5	+25	< 1%	95%	91%	84%	70%	2.9%	4.2%	18%	72%
6	Arsenal	65.1	+19	< 1%	88%	82%	70%	50%	1.2%	7%	26%	56%
4	Tottenham	64.9	+21	< 1%	88%	81%	70%	50%	1.2%	7%	27%	53%
0	Man United	54.2	+2	1.7%	40%	28%	16%	7%	< 1%	11%	20%	14%
4	Brighton	52.8	-1	2.5%	32%	22%	12%	5%	< 1%	10%	16%	5%
1	Leicester	52.0	-1	3.2%	29%	19%	10%	4.3%	< 1%	10%	15%	4.2%
4	Newcastle	51.9	-2	3.2%	28%	18%	10%	4.2%	< 1%	9%	14%	4.1%
0	West Ham	51.7	-1	3.5%	28%	18%	10%	4.0%	< 1%	8%	29%	4.0%
1	Crystal Palace	50.0	-4	5%	20%	13%	6%	2.5%	< 1%	8%	11%	2.5%
3	Aston Villa	48.8	-8	7%	16%	10%	4.6%	1.8%	< 1%	6%	9%	1.7%
4	Brentford	47.8	-7	9%	13%	7%	3.5%	1.3%	< 1%	5%	7%	1.3%
4	Leeds	46.0	-13	14%	8%	4.6%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	3.8%	4.8%	< 1%
1	Wolves	45.2	-11	16%	7%	4.0%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	3.7%	4.9%	< 1%
0	Everton	42.3	-16	27%	3.4%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.1%	2.9%	< 1%
1	Southampton	39.9	-22	40%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.2%	1.8%	< 1%
3	Bournemouth	37.9	-28	52%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.1%	< 1%
2	Fulham	37.8	-25	52%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.1%	< 1%
3	Forest	35.8	-32	64%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Tottenham	65%	19%	16%	Wolves
Everton	59%	21%	20%	Forest
Leicester	61%	20%	18%	Southampton
Crystal Palace	51%	23%	26%	Aston Villa
Fulham	40%	24%	35%	Brentford
Bournemouth	26%	23%	51%	Arsenal
Leeds	28%	23%	49%	Chelsea
West Ham	52%	23%	25%	Brighton
Newcastle	22%	22%	57%	Man City
Man United	25%	23%	52%	Liverpool