US Open - who will be the new number one?

Who will be the new number one?

Alcaraz if he wins or loses final against Khachanov (65%)

Ruud if he wins or loses final against Tiafoe (30%)

Nadal if Khachanov and Tiafoe win their semifinals (5%)

 

Name	Semi	Final	Champ
C Alcaraz	100% (+42.1)	84% (+40.6)	61% (+29.6)
C Ruud	100%	71%	27% (-1.9)
K Khachanov	100%	29%	6% (-0.4)
F Tiafoe	100% (+68.3)	16% (+10.5)	6% (+3.8)

Semi-finals		Final		Champions
K Khachanov (100%)
		C Ruud (71%) K Khachanov (29%)
C Ruud (100%)
				C Alcaraz (61%) C Ruud (27%)
C Alcaraz (100%)
		C Alcaraz (84%)
F Tiafoe (100%)