Monday, January 9, 2023

AO: Probabilities before draw

Below are the 32 players with highest probability to win Australian Open. Notably, Nakashima, Isner, and Nishioka make it into the list without being seeded.

NameR3R4QFSFFinalChampion
N Djokovic91%81%67%51%39%29%
F Auger Aliassime84%69%50%31%19%11%
H Rune84%68%44%28%17%9%
D Medvedev82%64%44%26%14%7%
S Tsitsipas81%62%41%24%14%6%
A Rublev80%61%40%22%12%6%
J Sinner79%61%35%20%11%5%
A Zverev78%59%32%18%9%4%
C Ruud76%56%35%18%8%4%
T Fritz76%55%33%17%8%3%
M Berrettini73%52%27%13%6%2%
H Hurkacz71%49%23%11%5%2%
R Nadal69%46%25%12%4%2%
B Coric70%35%18%8%3%1%
A De Minaur70%35%18%8%3%1%
C Norrie68%44%20%8%3%1%
S Korda68%32%16%7%3%< 1%
F Tiafoe67%32%15%6%2%< 1%
P Carreno Busta64%40%17%7%2%< 1%
N Kyrgios65%30%14%6%2%< 1%
K Khachanov63%27%12%5%2%< 1%
M Cilic61%36%14%5%2%< 1%
T Paul63%27%12%5%2%< 1%
R Bautista Agut61%25%10%4%1%< 1%
G Dimitrov60%24%10%3%1%< 1%
D Shapovalov59%23%9%3%< 1%< 1%
B Nakashima35%17%7%3%< 1%< 1%
D Evans56%20%7%2%< 1%< 1%
J Isner33%15%6%2%< 1%< 1%
Y Nishioka32%14%6%2%< 1%< 1%
M Kecmanovic52%18%6%2%< 1%< 1%
L Musetti49%16%5%2%< 1%< 1%

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