Monday, March 27, 2023

Euro: Turkey vs Croatia in Group D

Tonight there is an important match between Turkey and Croatia in Group D. In Group A, Norway travels to Georgia to play a key match in Group A.

Group D

Turkey vs Croatia (6.6%)Home WinDrawAway Win
Turkey75%58%49%
Croatia87%94%98.4%

Group A
Georgia vs Norway (4.8%)Home WinDrawAway Win
Norway38%50%64%
Georgia57%48%43%

Group I
Romania vs Belarus (4.3%)Home WinDrawAway Win
Romania53%38%28%
Belarus1.3%3.9%10%
Israel48%54%56%
Kosovo14%18%19%

 

Group A


ProbabilitiesPointGD
CountryAt least
Playoff		At least
Second		Group
Winner		Min25%Average75%MaxAverage
Spain100%98.6%91%61820222417.8
Scotland100%49%6%31012.715242.8
Norway81%35%2.3%01011.714210.7
Georgia100%18%1.3%089.91224-2.5
Cyprus< 1%< 1%< 1%012.6416-18.9

 Group D


ProbabilitiesPointGD
CountryAt least
Playoff		At least
Second		Group
Winner		Min25%Average75%MaxAverage
Croatia100%88%57%31617.3192213
Wales99.76%70%29%11315.417228.6
Turkey100%42%14%31213.716242.9
Armenia< 1%< 1%< 1%045.5719-9.7
Latvia84%< 1%< 1%024.1620-14.8

 Group I


ProbabilitiesPointGD
CountryAt least
Playoff		At least
Second		Group
Winner		Min25%Average75%MaxAverage
Switzerland>99.99%99.05%93%92425.7283026.8
Romania48%48%3.8%31416.919304.7
Israel100%35%2.3%11415.918284.7
Kosovo16%15%< 1%11113.61628-0.1
Belarus2.8%2.8%< 1%089.91227-10.4
Andorra< 1%< 1%< 1%012.7419-25.6

 

Ranking

The ranking decides the seeding of the Euro Finals
The ranking is decided by group position, higher number of points, superior goal difference etc.



ProbabilitiesAverage Outcome
GroupCountryEuroPlayoff2nd1stPot 4Pot 3Pot 2Pot 1RankGrp RnkPtsGD
JPortugal99.90%< 1%1.9%97.8%< 1%1.4%26%72%5120.922.1
FBelgium99.80%< 1%6%93%< 1%4.4%21%74%5.21.121.120.6
ISwitzerland99.54%< 1%6%93%1.7%4.1%39%54%6.71.119.818.4
ASpain99.53%1.4%8%91%1.7%6%36%55%6.81.12017.8
BFrance99.37%1.7%19%80%1.2%11%32%55%7.21.219.919.4
CEngland98.6%3.2%22%75%2.5%16%40%40%8.61.319.314.6
GSerbia99.32%1.5%33%66%2.3%22%35%40%8.91.419.413.5
HDenmark98.0%4.7%17%78%7%13%61%17%10.61.317.512.9
DCroatia95%12%31%57%10%24%43%17%121.617.313
ECzechia95.0%8%42%50%6%33%41%15%12.11.617.313
EPoland96.3%6%47%47%7%36%40%14%12.21.617.410.3
GHungary95.6%8%59%34%8%41%29%18%12.61.717.412.2
BNetherlands97.0%10%71%19%10%45%32%9%13.51.917.211.2
CItaly92%23%56%21%19%43%23%7%15.2216.111.3
DWales81%30%41%29%18%32%26%6%16.1215.48.6
FAustria71%43%52%5%27%36%7%1.6%19.32.4143.2
HFinland68%43%45%12%30%26%12%< 1%19.62.413.42.5
DTurkey58%58%28%14%22%21%13%1.6%20.32.513.72.9
AScotland68%51%43%6%36%25%6%< 1%20.42.712.72.8
HSlovenia49%31%33%10%21%17%9%< 1%21.12.712.50.3
FSweden43%< 1%41%1.5%11%28%3.1%< 1%21.32.612.94.5
CUkraine58%73%21%3.7%37%16%4.9%< 1%21.72.812.93.7
IRomania48%< 1%44%3.8%29%15%3.9%< 1%21.72.811.2-0.2
ANorway50%46%33%2.3%29%18%2.9%< 1%21.92.911.70.7
JBosnia and Herzegovina55%57%42%1.1%43%10%1.2%< 1%22.32.910.8-0.6
IIsrael50%65%33%2.3%37%10%2.4%< 1%22.4310.6-0.4
JSlovakia33%< 1%32%< 1%26%6%< 1%< 1%23.23.110.1-2.6
AGeorgia50%82%16%1.3%41%7%1.4%< 1%23.43.49.9-2.5
EAlbania21%76%10%2.7%11%7%2.7%< 1%23.63.1111.1
BGreece52%92%7%1.1%45%5%1.3%< 1%23.83.310.90.6
JIceland20%3.7%19%< 1%17%2.6%< 1%< 1%243.68.4-6.2
IKosovo16%1.1%15%< 1%12%3.2%< 1%< 1%24.13.68.6-4
GMontenegro8%< 1%8%< 1%2.4%5%< 1%< 1%24.33.110.9-2.4
BIreland8%21%3.2%< 1%6%2.3%< 1%< 1%24.63.69.5-0.4
JLuxembourg8%54%5%< 1%8%< 1%< 1%< 1%24.74.46.1-12.5
HNorthern Ireland3.9%< 1%3.5%< 1%2.6%< 1%< 1%< 1%24.74.27.1-6.3
HKazakhstan6%98.3%1.6%< 1%5%< 1%< 1%< 1%24.94.56.7-9.4
CNorth Macedonia1.8%< 1%1.5%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%24.93.97.9-8.7
IBelarus2.8%< 1%2.8%< 1%2.6%< 1%< 1%< 1%24.94.65.2-12.4
FEstonia2.4%96.2%< 1%< 1%2.2%< 1%< 1%< 1%24.94.35.1-11
EFaroe Islands1.2%< 1%1.1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%24.947.3-10.7
GBulgaria< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%2546.8-7
DLatvia1.2%84%< 1%< 1%1.1%< 1%< 1%< 1%254.64.1-14.8
DArmenia< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%254.35.5-9.7
FAzerbaijan1.0%14%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%254.64.2-17.2
ACyprus< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%254.92.6-18.9
EMoldova< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%254.83.6-13.7
GLithuania< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%254.83-16.3
IAndorra< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%255.90.2-1.4
CMalta< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%2551.5-20.9
JLiechtenstein< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%2560-0.3


Playoff teams are selected in each of League A, B and C
from the best-ranked team not yet qualified (in Top 2).
If one of those leagues have fewer than four non-qualified
teams, those spots are taken by League D group winners
(unless already qualified)

League ATop 2PlayoffHome Advantage
BNetherlands90%10%10%
DCroatia88%12%12%
ASpain98.6%1.4%1.4%
CItaly77%23%23%
HDenmark95.3%4.7%4.4%
JPortugal99.75%< 1%< 1%
FBelgium99.43%< 1%< 1%
GHungary92%8%7%
ISwitzerland99.05%< 1%< 1%

Germany


EPoland94%6%5%
BFrance98.3%1.7%1.5%
FAustria57%43%37%
ECzechia92%8%6%
CEngland96.8%3.2%2.4%
DWales70%30%21%
League BTop 2PlayoffHome Advantage
IIsrael35%65%65%
JBosnia and Herzegovina43%57%57%
GSerbia98.5%1.5%< 1%
AScotland49%51%32%
HFinland57%43%23%
CUkraine24%73%35%
EAlbania13%76%28%
ANorway35%46%13%
HSlovenia42%31%8%
BIreland3.4%21%5%
JIceland19%3.7%< 1%
GMontenegro8%< 1%
IRomania48%< 1%
FSweden43%< 1%
DArmenia< 1%< 1%
League CTop 2PlayoffHome Advantage
AGeorgia18%82%82%
BGreece8%92%92%
DTurkey42%58%14%
HKazakhstan1.7%98.3%11%
JLuxembourg5%54%< 1%
FAzerbaijan< 1%14%< 1%
IKosovo15%1.1%< 1%
GBulgaria< 1%< 1%< 1%
EFaroe Islands1.2%< 1%< 1%
CNorth Macedonia1.8%< 1%
JSlovakia33%< 1%
HNorthern Ireland3.9%

ACyprus< 1%

IBelarus2.8%

GLithuania< 1%

BGibraltar


League DTop 2PlayoffHome Advantage
FEstonia< 1%96.2%
DLatvia< 1%84%
EMoldova< 1%

CMalta< 1%

IAndorra< 1%

HSan Marino


JLiechtenstein< 1%



GroupCountryPlayoff2nd1stEuroLast 16QFSemiFinalChamp
ASpain1.4%8%91%99.53%88%60%38%23%13%
BNetherlands10%71%19%97.0%88%60%38%23%13%

Germany


100%77%53%34%21%13%
FBelgium< 1%6%93%99.80%86%56%34%20%11%
BFrance1.7%19%80%99.37%84%54%31%17%9%
JPortugal< 1%1.9%97.8%99.90%84%53%31%17%9%
CItaly23%56%21%92%82%52%29%16%8%
HDenmark4.7%17%78%98.0%82%49%27%13%6%
ISwitzerland< 1%6%93%99.54%76%41%20%9%3.9%
DCroatia12%31%57%95%75%40%19%9%3.6%
CEngland3.2%22%75%98.6%75%40%19%8%3.5%
GSerbia1.5%33%66%99.32%72%36%16%7%2.5%
GHungary8%59%34%95.6%63%26%10%3.3%1.0%
EPoland6%47%47%96.3%61%24%8%2.7%< 1%
CUkraine73%21%3.7%58%41%17%6%2.1%< 1%
ECzechia8%42%50%95.0%56%21%7%2.0%< 1%
DWales30%41%29%81%50%19%6%1.9%< 1%
AScotland51%43%6%68%41%14%4.4%1.2%< 1%
FAustria43%52%5%71%39%12%3.3%< 1%< 1%
ANorway46%33%2.3%50%30%10%2.9%< 1%< 1%
FSweden< 1%41%1.5%43%24%8%2.1%< 1%< 1%
BGreece92%7%1.1%52%28%8%2.0%< 1%< 1%
HFinland43%45%12%68%32%9%2.0%< 1%< 1%
DTurkey58%28%14%58%28%8%1.8%< 1%< 1%
AGeorgia82%16%1.3%50%24%6%1.3%< 1%< 1%
HSlovenia31%33%10%49%20%4.8%< 1%< 1%< 1%
IIsrael65%33%2.3%50%20%4.6%< 1%< 1%< 1%
JBosnia and Herzegovina57%42%1.1%55%21%4.5%< 1%< 1%< 1%
IRomania< 1%44%3.8%48%18%3.6%< 1%< 1%< 1%
JSlovakia< 1%32%< 1%33%11%1.9%< 1%< 1%< 1%
BIreland21%3.2%< 1%8%4.2%1.1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
JIceland3.7%19%< 1%20%6%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
EAlbania76%10%2.7%21%6%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
IKosovo1.1%15%< 1%16%3.8%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
GMontenegro< 1%8%< 1%8%2.2%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
JLuxembourg54%5%< 1%8%1.4%< 1%< 1%< 1%
HNorthern Ireland
3.5%< 1%3.9%1.1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
EFaroe Islands< 1%1.1%< 1%1.2%< 1%< 1%< 1%

DArmenia< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

JLiechtenstein
< 1%
< 1%




DLatvia84%< 1%< 1%1.2%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
CMalta
< 1%
< 1%




IBelarus
2.8%< 1%2.8%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
IAndorra
< 1%
< 1%




CNorth Macedonia< 1%1.5%< 1%1.8%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
FAzerbaijan14%< 1%< 1%1.0%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
HKazakhstan98.3%1.6%< 1%6%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
HSan Marino








EMoldova
< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%



BGibraltar








GLithuania
< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%



GBulgaria< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
ACyprus
< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%


FEstonia96.2%< 1%< 1%2.4%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

 

 

Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)