EL & ECL: Match day 2

 

Europa League

		Chance in Group		Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	2nd	1st	Last 24	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
E	Liverpool	7%	93%	99.15%	97.9%	82%	66%	51%	36%
A	West Ham	16%	82%	97.8%	91%	56%	30%	14%	6%
B	Brighton	28%	38%	66%	56%	38%	23%	12%	6%
H	Leverkusen	16%	84%	99.16%	93%	55%	29%	14%	6%
D	Atalanta	19%	76%	95%	86%	50%	25%	11%	4.5%
G	Roma	31%	68%	99.04%	85%	47%	22%	9%	3.7%
	Man United			39%	29%	20%	12%	7%	3.3%
	Milan			30%	23%	14%	9%	5%	2.6%
D	Sporting	62%	20%	82%	54%	28%	13%	6%	2.3%
	Dortmund			28%	21%	13%	8%	4.3%	2.2%
	Newcastle			15%	12%	9%	6%	3.5%	1.9%
	Paris SG			27%	20%	12%	7%	3.8%	1.9%
	Napoli			13%	11%	7%	5%	3.2%	1.8%
	Arsenal			9%	8%	6%	4.5%	3.0%	1.8%
	Inter			11%	9%	6%	4.2%	2.7%	1.5%
C	Betis	30%	49%	80%	63%	29%	12%	4.1%	1.4%
A	Freiburg	73%	17%	90%	53%	24%	10%	3.9%	1.4%
F	Rennes	31%	41%	71%	55%	25%	10%	3.7%	1.3%
F	Villarreal	34%	37%	72%	53%	25%	10%	3.5%	1.2%
	Feyenoord			46%	29%	14%	6%	2.7%	1.0%
	Atletico			11%	9%	5%	3.4%	1.9%	< 1%
	PSV			30%	20%	10%	5.0%	2.2%	< 1%
	Benfica			23%	16%	9%	4.5%	2.1%	< 1%
	Lazio			31%	20%	10%	5.0%	2.2%	< 1%
	Sociedad			23%	15%	8%	3.9%	1.8%	< 1%
	Porto			11%	8%	5%	2.9%	1.5%	< 1%
	Salzburg			43%	26%	12%	5%	2.0%	< 1%
B	Marseille	28%	25%	53%	37%	16%	6%	2.1%	< 1%
	Sevilla			35%	21%	9%	4.0%	1.6%	< 1%
	RB Leipzig			6%	4.5%	2.9%	1.8%	1.0%	< 1%
	Real Madrid			3.3%	2.7%	1.9%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Slavia Praha	65%	32%	96.8%	55%	19%	6%	1.4%	< 1%
	Lens			25%	15%	7%	2.8%	1.1%	< 1%
	Galatasaray			34%	19%	8%	3.0%	1.0%	< 1%
B	Ajax	21%	15%	35%	23%	9%	3.4%	1.1%	< 1%
	Union Berlin			23%	14%	6%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%
	Bayern			1.5%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Braga			60%	30%	11%	3.5%	1.0%	< 1%
C	Rangers	31%	25%	55%	36%	12%	3.6%	< 1%	< 1%
	Barcelona			1.9%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	St Gillis	48%	4.6%	53%	22%	8%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Sparta Praha	30%	22%	52%	33%	10%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%
	Young Boys			57%	24%	7%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
B	AEK	23%	23%	46%	29%	8%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%
	FC Kobenhavn			25%	12%	3.8%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Karabakh Agdam	72%	16%	88%	35%	9%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%
	Antwerp			23%	10%	3.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Shakhtar			64%	24%	6%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Panathinaikos	27%	19%	46%	26%	7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
	Man City			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Toulouse	39%	2.8%	41%	14%	3.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Celtic			11%	5%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Sturm Graz	15%	4.2%	19%	9%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Crvena Zvezda			37%	13%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Olympiakos	9%	1.3%	11%	4.1%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Maccabi Haifa	9%	3.1%	12%	5%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Molde	10%	< 1%	10%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Rakow	3.6%	< 1%	3.8%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	LASK	7%	< 1%	7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Aris Limassol	9%	3.5%	13%	4.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Servette	1.4%	< 1%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Sheriff Tiraspol	2.6%	< 1%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Backa Topola	1.3%	< 1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Haecken	3.0%	< 1%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

 Europa Conference League

		Chance in Group		Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	2nd	1st	Last 24	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
E	Aston Villa	21%	69%	90%	86%	69%	52%	38%	25%
F	Fiorentina	36%	53%	89%	80%	57%	38%	23%	13%
H	Fenerbahce	11%	86%	97.6%	94%	62%	36%	20%	10%
G	Frankfurt	49%	49%	97.7%	82%	54%	32%	17%	9%
A	Lille	18%	81%	99.0%	93%	59%	32%	16%	8%
	Brighton			19%	16%	13%	9%	7%	4.3%
B	Gent	27%	67%	94%	83%	46%	22%	9%	3.8%
D	Brugge	23%	60%	84%	74%	41%	20%	8%	3.4%
F	Genk	44%	38%	82%	61%	30%	13%	4.8%	1.8%
	Sporting			15%	11%	8%	5.0%	3.0%	1.6%
E	Alkmaar	36%	17%	53%	38%	19%	9%	3.9%	1.6%
	Rennes			22%	16%	10%	6%	2.9%	1.5%
	Marseille			25%	17%	10%	6%	2.9%	1.4%
D	Besiktas	28%	16%	44%	32%	17%	8%	3.2%	1.3%
	Villarreal			20%	14%	8%	4.8%	2.6%	1.3%
C	Dinamo Zagreb	52%	36%	88%	62%	28%	11%	3.6%	1.2%
	Ajax			28%	19%	10%	5%	2.6%	1.2%
B	M Tel Aviv	46%	26%	72%	48%	21%	8%	2.7%	< 1%
	Betis			15%	10%	6%	3.5%	1.9%	< 1%
	Olympiakos			75%	42%	17%	7%	2.5%	< 1%
	St Gillis			33%	21%	10%	4.9%	2.1%	< 1%
G	PAOK	47%	50%	97.8%	71%	27%	9%	2.5%	< 1%
	Rangers			30%	19%	9%	4.0%	1.7%	< 1%
	Sturm Graz			65%	35%	14%	5%	1.9%	< 1%
	Freiburg			9%	6%	3.9%	2.3%	1.3%	< 1%
	Atalanta			4.9%	3.8%	2.6%	1.7%	1.1%	< 1%
C	Viktoria Plzen	33%	62%	95.1%	75%	28%	8%	2.1%	< 1%
	Sparta Praha			32%	19%	8%	3.7%	1.5%	< 1%
	Toulouse			44%	23%	9%	3.5%	1.2%	< 1%
	Liverpool			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Nordsjaelland	61%	9%	70%	36%	13%	4.3%	1.3%	< 1%
	West Ham			2.1%	1.7%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	AEK			28%	15%	6%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
	Panathinaikos			38%	20%	7%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
	Molde			59%	28%	10%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Legia	38%	14%	51%	29%	10%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Bodoe Glimt	21%	6%	27%	16%	6%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%
	Maccabi Haifa			20%	10%	3.6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
	Leverkusen			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Roma			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Lugano	28%	17%	45%	27%	8%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%
	Karabakh Agdam			11%	6%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Sheriff Tiraspol			58%	23%	6%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
	Slavia Praha			3.2%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Rakow			15%	7%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	LASK			23%	10%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Razgrad	23%	4.3%	28%	12%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Ferencvaros	20%	9%	29%	14%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Haecken			29%	10%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Servette			38%	12%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Zorya	26%	7%	33%	14%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Slovan Bratislava	70%	18%	88%	32%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Aris Limassol			23%	7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	FK Astana	8%	< 1%	9%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Trnava	4.3%	< 1%	4.4%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Backa Topola			14%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Olimpija Ljubljana	9%	< 1%	9%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Zrinjski Mostar	5%	< 1%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Breidablik	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Cukaricki	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Klaksvik	3.2%	< 1%	3.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Aberdeen	2.4%	< 1%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	HJK Helsinki	1.6%	< 1%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Ballkani	7%	< 1%	8%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%