CL: Advantage Dortmund (57%) against PSG

 

Champions League

Team	Final	Champion
Real Madrid	68%	41%
Dortmund	57%	22%
Paris SG	43%	19%
Bayern	32%	18%

 

Germany can clinch the extra CL spot tonight. Either if Leverkusen at least draw against Roma or if Olympiakos win against Aston Villa.

 Which countries get extra CL spots

		Score
Country	Probability	Average	Min	Max
ITA	100%	20.88	19.57	22.29
GER	99.14%	19.49	18.5	20.64
ENG	< 1%	18.34	17.75	18.63

Important factors
GER 100% if Leverkusen reaches the EL final; otherwise 98%
GER 100% if Dortmund reaches the CL final; otherwise 98%
GER 100% if Leverkusen wins the Europa League; otherwise 98.6%
ENG 1.7% if Aston Villa wins the Europa Conference League; otherwise 0.082%
GER 100% if Bayern reaches the CL final; otherwise 98.7%
GER 100% if Dortmund wins the Champions League; otherwise 98.9%
GER 100% if Bayern wins the Champions League; otherwise 99%
ENG 1% if Aston Villa reaches the ECL final; otherwise 0%