Euro: Predictions of the knockout stage

Probabilities for the 16 countries in the knockout stage.

Team	Quarterfinals	Semifinals	Final	Champion
France	61%	39%	23%	15%
Spain	86%	48%	24%	14%
Netherlands	84%	57%	31%	14%
England	82%	49%	29%	13%
Germany	71%	39%	20%	12%
Portugal	79%	36%	18%	11%
Italy	67%	35%	19%	8%
Belgium	39%	21%	11%	6%
Austria	64%	27%	11%	3.6%
Switzerland	33%	12%	4.6%	1.2%
Denmark	29%	10%	2.9%	1.1%
Turkey	36%	11%	3.3%	< 1%
Slovakia	18%	4.3%	1.1%	< 1%
Romania	16%	4.9%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovenia	21%	3.7%	< 1%	< 1%
Georgia	14%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%

Last 16		Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Spain (100%)
		Spain (86%)
Georgia (100%)
				Spain (48%) Germany (39%)
Germany (100%)
		Germany (71%) Denmark (29%)
Denmark (100%)
						Spain (24%) France (23%) Germany (20%) Portugal (18%)
Portugal (100%)
		Portugal (79%) Slovenia (21%)
Slovenia (100%)
				France (39%) Portugal (36%) Belgium (21%)
France (100%)
		France (61%) Belgium (39%)
Belgium (100%)
								France (15%) Spain (14%) Netherlands (14%) England (13%) Germany (12%)
Romania (100%)
		Netherlands (84%)
Netherlands (100%)
				Netherlands (57%) Austria (27%)
Austria (100%)
		Austria (64%) Turkey (36%)
Turkey (100%)
						Netherlands (31%) England (29%) Italy (19%) Austria (11%)
England (100%)
		England (82%) Slovakia (18%)
Slovakia (100%)
				England (49%) Italy (35%) Switzerland (12%)
Switzerland (100%)
		Italy (67%) Switzerland (33%)
Italy (100%)