PL: Liverpool are champions

The race for the CL slots gets tighter and it's probably gonna require 64-68 points. That means that Chelsea need 4-8 more points, Forest need 3-7 points, Newcastle need 2-6 points, and City need 3-7 points.

Chelase and Forest play on the last match day, which very well can be a decider, but Chelase play both Liverpool and Newcastle before that. 

 

Average Simulated Season

Probabilities

Pts

Team

Pts

GD

Relegated

Top 7

Top 6

Top 5

Top 4

Win League

ECL

EL

CL

82

Liverpool

89.5

+51

< 1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

67

Arsenal

74.8

+38

< 1%

100%

>99.99%

99.99%

99.74%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

>99.99%

61

Man City

69.3

+28

< 1%

99.99%

99.21%

95.3%

82%

< 1%

< 1%

4.4%

95.3%

60

Forest

67.8

+15

< 1%

99.87%

94%

74%

47%

< 1%

2.1%

23%

74%

62

Newcastle

67.4

+21

< 1%

99.96%

95.5%

77%

47%

< 1%

1.7%

21%

77%

60

Chelsea

65.5

+19

< 1%

99.67%

84%

46%

23%

< 1%

2.5%

51%

46%

57

Aston Villa

62.6

+5

< 1%

88%

26%

7%

1.8%

< 1%

29%

57%

7%

51

Fulham

56.1

+3

< 1%

7%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

21%

4.1%

< 1%

51

Brighton

56.0

+0

< 1%

3.4%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

18%

2.2%

< 1%

50

Bournemouth

55.3

+11

< 1%

2.2%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

16%

1.4%

< 1%

46

Brentford

53.3

+7

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

8%

< 1%

< 1%

45

Crystal Palace

50.4

-4

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

38%

< 1%

41

Wolves

45.0

-13

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

38

Everton

44.3

-6

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

39

Man United

44.3

-8

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

21%

37

Tottenham

42.8

+6

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

39%

36

West Ham

41.6

-19

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

21

Ipswich

25.0

-44

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

18

Leicester

22.7

-51

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

11

Southampton

13.5

-60

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Liverpool	100%
Arsenal				32%
Man City		46%
Forest		15%
Newcastle			100%
Chelsea				59%
Crystal Palace		38%
Man United				21%
Tottenham				39%

Important matches for CL race
Chelsea vs Liverpool (8.8%)	Home Win (31%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (46%)
Chelsea	66%	44%	34%
Newcastle	69%	78%	82%
Forest	67%	75%	79%
Man City	93%	95.8%	96.7%
Forest vs Brentford (7.9%)	Home Win (52%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (25%)
Forest	86%	68%	57%
Chelsea	41%	49%	55%
Newcastle	73%	79%	82%
Brighton vs Newcastle (7.2%)	Home Win (45%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (31%)
Newcastle	66%	78%	92%
Chelsea	51%	46%	40%
Forest	78%	74%	70%
Crystal Palace vs Forest (5.9%)	Home Win (51%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (26%)
Forest	66%	76%	90%
Chelsea	51%	45%	39%
Newcastle	80%	76%	72%

	Man City			Newcastle			Forest			Chelsea			Tottenham			Man United			Aston Villa
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
74	< 1%	< 1%	-	1.2%	1.2%	100%	1.2%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
73	14%	14%	100%	1.2%	< 1%	-	4.9%	3.7%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
72	14%	< 1%	-	4.9%	3.6%	100%	11%	6%	100%	1.7%	1.7%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
71	33%	19%	100%	14%	9%	>99.99%	15%	4.1%	100%	1.7%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
70	52%	19%	>99.99%	17%	3.6%	>99.99%	28%	13%	99.93%	6%	4.7%	99.9%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
69	61%	9%	99.98%	33%	16%	99.5%	41%	13%	98.4%	15%	8%	98.4%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	2.0%	2.0%	89%
68	78%	17%	98.9%	51%	17%	95.6%	51%	10%	95.1%	19%	4.6%	95%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	2.0%	< 1%	-
67	88%	10%	96.9%	60%	9%	91%	67%	16%	83%	35%	16%	81%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	7%	5%	48%
66	93%	5.0%	87%	77%	17%	70%	79%	11%	57%	51%	16%	54%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	16%	9%	23%
65	97.1%	4.6%	64%	89%	11%	42%	86%	8%	36%	61%	10%	34%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	21%	4.9%	8%
64	98.9%	1.8%	46%	93%	4.5%	27%	94%	8%	16%	78%	17%	13%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	38%	17%	2.0%
63	99.57%	< 1%	21%	98.2%	4.8%	8%	97.2%	3.6%	4%	89%	11%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	53%	16%	< 1%

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for EL race (EL or CL)
Aston Villa vs Fulham (12.7%)	Home Win (51%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (26%)
Fulham	< 1%	2.5%	13%
Aston Villa	75%	60%	45%
Bournemouth	< 1%	2.2%	2.6%
Brighton	< 1%	2.8%	3.9%

 

PL: Liverpool one point from clinching league title

City grabbed a late winner against Villa and are now reaching CL in 85% of simulations. If they take six points in the last four matches they'll have good chances. Forest probably need 2-7 points in their last five matches; Newcastle probably need 3-9 points in their last five matches; Chelsea probably need 6-11 points in their last five matches; and Villa probably need 7-12 points in their last four matches.

Average Simulated Season

Probabilities

Pts

Team

Pts

GD

Relegated

Top 7

Top 6

Top 5

Top 4

Win League

ECL

EL

CL

79

Liverpool

88.8

+49

< 1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

>99.99%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

67

Arsenal

74.8

+38

< 1%

100%

100%

>99.99%

99.80%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

>99.99%

61

Man City

69.3

+28

< 1%

99.99%

99.40%

96.5%

85%

< 1%

< 1%

3.4%

96.5%

60

Forest

67.8

+15

< 1%

99.86%

95.3%

80%

52%

< 1%

1.0%

19%

80%

59

Newcastle

66.8

+19

< 1%

99.73%

93%

73%

42%

< 1%

1.6%

25%

73%

57

Chelsea

64.5

+19

< 1%

97.8%

76%

40%

19%

< 1%

2.5%

57%

40%

57

Aston Villa

62.6

+5

< 1%

88%

35%

10%

2.5%

< 1%

16%

70%

10%

49

Bournemouth

56.1

+12

< 1%

7%

1.0%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

34%

5.0%

< 1%

48

Fulham

54.9

+3

< 1%

4.0%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

18%

2.7%

< 1%

48

Brighton

54.8

-0

< 1%

2.4%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

16%

1.6%

< 1%

46

Brentford

53.3

+7

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

10%

< 1%

< 1%

45

Crystal Palace

50.4

-4

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

20%

< 1%

38

Everton

45.1

-6

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

38

Man United

44.2

-9

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

21%

38

Wolves

44.0

-15

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

37

Tottenham

43.3

+9

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

39%

36

West Ham

42.5

-19

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

21

Ipswich

25.5

-42

>99.99%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

18

Leicester

23.5

-49

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

11

Southampton

14.5

-60

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Liverpool	>99.99%
Arsenal	< 1%			32%
Man City		47%
Forest		16%
Newcastle			100%
Chelsea				59%
Aston Villa		18%
Crystal Palace		20%
Man United				21%
Tottenham				39%

Important matches for CL race
Chelsea vs Everton (7.3%)	Home Win (60%)	Draw (21%)	Away Win (19%)
Chelsea	50%	30%	21%
Newcastle	69%	78%	81%
Forest	76%	84%	86%
Forest vs Brentford (6.8%)	Home Win (52%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (25%)
Forest	90%	75%	64%
Chelsea	36%	42%	47%
Newcastle	70%	75%	78%
Aston Villa	8%	11%	13%
Newcastle vs Ipswich (6.1%)	Home Win (74%)	Draw (16%)	Away Win (11%)
Newcastle	80%	60%	48%
Chelsea	38%	47%	52%
Aston Villa	8%	13%	16%
Forest	78%	83%	86%

	Man City			Forest			Newcastle			Chelsea			Tottenham			Man United			Aston Villa
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
75	< 1%	< 1%	-	1.3%	1.3%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
74	< 1%	< 1%	-	1.3%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
73	14%	14%	100%	4.9%	3.7%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
72	14%	< 1%	-	11%	6%	100%	3.7%	2.8%	100%	1.1%	1.1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
71	33%	19%	100%	15%	4.1%	100%	10%	7%	>99.99%	1.1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
70	52%	19%	>99.99%	28%	13%	99.96%	13%	3.2%	99.98%	4.3%	3.2%	99.9%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
69	61%	9%	99.98%	41%	13%	99.2%	27%	14%	99.6%	10%	5%	99.0%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	2.0%	2.0%	91%
68	78%	17%	99.3%	51%	10%	97.3%	41%	14%	97.0%	13%	3.7%	96.7%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	2.0%	< 1%	-
67	88%	10%	98.0%	67%	16%	89%	51%	10%	93%	25%	12%	86%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	7%	5%	58%
66	93%	5.0%	91%	79%	11%	71%	69%	17%	76%	37%	12%	64%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	16%	9%	33%
65	97.2%	4.6%	74%	86%	8%	52%	80%	12%	53%	47%	10%	44%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	21%	4.9%	16%
64	98.9%	1.8%	57%	94%	7%	29%	87%	7%	37%	64%	16%	22%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	38%	17%	6%
63	99.56%	< 1%	33%	97.2%	3.6%	12%	95%	7%	15%	76%	12%	8%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	53%	16%	1.3%
62	99.92%	< 1%	14%	98.7%	1.5%	5%	97.8%	3.2%	5%	84%	8%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	63%	10%	< 1%

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL)
Bournemouth vs Man United (9.2%)	Home Win (53%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (24%)
Bournemouth	52%	29%	20%
Fulham	16%	24%	27%
Brighton	14%	20%	23%
Brentford	8%	13%	16%
Southampton vs Fulham (5.3%)	Home Win (25%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (52%)
Fulham	8%	13%	29%
Bournemouth	45%	43%	35%
Brighton	21%	19%	15%

	Aston Villa			Bournemouth			Tottenham			Man United			Fulham			Crystal Palace			Brighton			Brentford
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
69	2.0%	2.0%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
68	2.0%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
67	7%	5%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
66	16%	9%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
65	21%	4.9%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
64	38%	17%	99.96%	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
63	53%	16%	99.7%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	98%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	95%	< 1%	< 1%	-
62	63%	10%	99.6%	1.9%	1.5%	94%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
61	79%	16%	97.2%	6%	4.2%	92%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	2.8%	2.2%	90%	< 1%	< 1%	-	2.7%	2.1%	85%	< 1%	< 1%	88%
60	89%	10%	93%	8%	2.0%	84%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	7%	3.9%	82%	< 1%	< 1%	-	6%	3.7%	78%	< 1%	< 1%	-
59	94%	4.4%	88%	19%	10%	75%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	9%	2.8%	70%	< 1%	< 1%	-	9%	2.7%	63%	4.0%	3.0%	68%
58	98.3%	4.5%	68%	33%	14%	68%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	19%	10%	52%	< 1%	< 1%	-	19%	10%	45%	9%	4.8%	54%

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

	Europe	EL (or CL)	CL
Fourth team	100%	100%	100%
Fifth team	100%	100%	100%
FA cup winners	100%	100%	59%
League cup winners	100%	98.4%	73%
Sixth team	100%	100%	< 1%
Seventh team	99.95%	81%	< 1%
Eighth team	83%	2.9%	< 1%

 

PL: City vs Villa in CL race

Five teams are fighting over the remaining three CL slots. Two of them, City and Villa, play a crucial match already tonight. City >95% if they win compared with 71% if they lose. Even larger swing for Villa with 45% if they win and 10% if they lose.

Average Simulated Season

Probabilities

Pts

Team

Pts

GD

Relegated

Top 7

Top 6

Top 5

Top 4

Win League

ECL

EL

CL

79

Liverpool

88.8

+49

< 1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

99.91%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

66

Arsenal

76.1

+39

< 1%

100%

>99.99%

>99.99%

99.90%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

>99.99%

58

Man City

68.4

+28

< 1%

99.85%

97.1%

90%

75%

< 1%

< 1%

9%

90%

60

Forest

67.8

+15

< 1%

99.84%

94%

79%

54%

< 1%

1.2%

19%

79%

59

Newcastle

66.8

+19

< 1%

99.70%

91%

73%

44%

< 1%

2.0%

25%

73%

57

Chelsea

64.5

+19

< 1%

97.7%

72%

40%

20%

< 1%

2.8%

57%

40%

57

Aston Villa

63.3

+5

< 1%

91%

44%

18%

7%

< 1%

14%

66%

18%

49

Bournemouth

56.1

+12

< 1%

6%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

35%

4.2%

< 1%

48

Fulham

54.9

+3

< 1%

3.3%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

18%

2.2%

< 1%

48

Brighton

54.8

-0

< 1%

2.0%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

16%

1.4%

< 1%

46

Brentford

53.3

+7

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

10%

< 1%

< 1%

44

Crystal Palace

50.0

-6

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

20%

< 1%

38

Everton

45.1

-6

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

38

Man United

44.2

-9

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

21%

38

Wolves

44.0

-15

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

37

Tottenham

43.3

+9

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

39%

36

West Ham

42.5

-19

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

21

Ipswich

25.5

-42

>99.99%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

18

Leicester

23.5

-49

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

11

Southampton

14.5

-60

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Liverpool	99.91%
Arsenal	< 1%			32%
Man City		47%
Forest		16%
Newcastle			100%
Chelsea				59%
Aston Villa		18%
Crystal Palace		20%
Man United				21%
Tottenham				39%

Important matches for CL race
Man City vs Aston Villa (13.9%)	Home Win (64%)	Draw (19%)	Away Win (16%)
Aston Villa	10%	20%	45%
Man City	96.5%	86%	71%
Chelsea vs Everton (7.1%)	Home Win (60%)	Draw (21%)	Away Win (19%)
Chelsea	50%	29%	21%
Newcastle	69%	77%	80%
Forest	76%	83%	86%
Forest vs Brentford (6.8%)	Home Win (52%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (25%)
Forest	89%	74%	63%
Chelsea	36%	42%	46%
Newcastle	70%	74%	77%
Newcastle vs Ipswich (6%)	Home Win (74%)	Draw (16%)	Away Win (10%)
Newcastle	79%	59%	47%
Chelsea	37%	46%	50%
Aston Villa	16%	21%	24%
Forest	78%	82%	85%

	Man City			Forest			Newcastle			Chelsea			Tottenham			Man United			Aston Villa
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
75	< 1%	< 1%	-	1.3%	1.3%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
74	< 1%	< 1%	-	1.3%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
73	9%	9%	100%	4.9%	3.7%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
72	9%	< 1%	-	11%	6%	100%	3.8%	2.9%	100%	1.0%	1.0%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	100%
71	24%	15%	100%	15%	4.1%	100%	10%	7%	>99.99%	1.0%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
70	38%	15%	>99.99%	28%	13%	99.96%	14%	3.2%	99.99%	4.2%	3.1%	99.9%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	1.6%	1.2%	99.4%
69	48%	9%	99.97%	41%	13%	99.3%	27%	14%	99.6%	9%	5%	99.1%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	4.4%	2.8%	95%
68	65%	18%	99.0%	51%	10%	97.2%	41%	14%	97.1%	13%	3.7%	96.9%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	6%	1.8%	87%
67	77%	11%	96.6%	68%	16%	89%	51%	10%	92%	25%	12%	86%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	14%	8%	65%
66	84%	8%	87%	79%	11%	70%	69%	17%	75%	37%	12%	64%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	23%	9%	39%
65	92%	8%	66%	86%	8%	51%	80%	12%	52%	47%	10%	44%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	31%	8%	20%
64	95.8%	3.7%	46%	94%	8%	27%	87%	7%	34%	64%	16%	21%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	48%	16%	7%
63	97.9%	2.1%	22%	97.2%	3.5%	10%	95%	7%	14%	75%	12%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	61%	14%	1.6%
62	99.27%	1.3%	8%	98.8%	1.5%	4%	97.8%	3.3%	4%	84%	8%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	72%	10%	< 1%

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points