World Cup: Three open spots in the 3rd round

Honduras, Costa Rica, Haiti, Curacao, Panama, Jamaica, Guatemala, and
Suriname have secured a spot in Round 3.

In Group A we have a decider between Cuba and Bermuda. Bermuda need to beat Cuba away to grab the second spot.

In Group B, Grenada need to beat Saint Kitts in he last match while Trinidad and Tobago lose against Costa Rica - Grenada need to catch up 7 goals to have better goal difference.

In Group F, Puerto Rico need to win against Saint Vincent while El Salvador lose against Suriname. Otherwise, El Salvador take the spot.

Group A
Cuba clinch Round 3 if they draw (or win) against Bermuda (84%)
Bermuda clinch Round 3 if they win against Cuba (16%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Round 3	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
3	9	Honduras	11.9	+12	100%	60%	31%	40%
3	6	Cuba	8.2	+3	84%	6%	2%	2%
3	4	Bermuda	4.7	-1	16%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
4	3	Cayman Islands	3	-8
3	1	Antigua and Barbuda	1.1	-6

Group B
Trinidad and Tobago clinch Round 3 if Saint Kitts and Nevis draw (or win) against Grenada (74%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Round 3	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
3	9	Costa Rica	11.4	+17	100%	81%	58%	69%
3	7	Trinidad and Tobago	7.4	+8	99%	24%	11%	13%
3	4	Grenada	5	+2	< 1%	< 1%
3	3	Saint Kitts and Nevis	4.8	-6
4	0	Bahamas	0	-21

Group C

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Round 3	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
3	9	Haiti	11.3	+9	100%	57%	33%	40%
3	9	Curaçao	9.6	+8	100%	14%	5%	7%
3	1	Saint Lucia	3	-4
4	2	Aruba	2	-7
3	1	Barbados	1.8	-6

Group D

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Round 3	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
3	9	Panama	11.5	+8	100%	88%	70%	79%
3	9	Nicaragua	9.3	+6	100%	19%	7%	9%
3	3	Guyana	5.5	+1
3	3	Montserrat	3.4	-6
4	0	Belize	0	-9

Group E

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Round 3	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
3	9	Jamaica	10.9	+4	100%	66%	38%	49%
3	9	Guatemala	9.8	+10	100%	50%	28%	35%
3	3	Dominican Republic	5.5	+3
3	3	Dominica	3.3	-6
4	0	British Virgin Islands	0	-11

Group F
El Salvador clinch Round 3 if they draw (or win) against Suriname (76%)
Puerto Rico clinch Round 3 if they win against Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Suriname win against El Salvador (13%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Round 3	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
3	9	Suriname	10	+7	100%	16%	6%	9%
3	7	El Salvador	8.8	+6	87%	19%	8%	11%
3	4	Puerto Rico	5.7	+7	13%
3	3	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	4	+1
4	0	Anguilla	0	-21

First two teams in each group qualify for the next round. The twelve teams advancing to that round will be drawn into three groups of four teams. The group winners advance to the World Cup finals and the two best  runner-ups will play intercontinental playoff.