PL: Match week 2

 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
6	Liverpool	76.2	+37	< 1%	99.35%	98.8%	97.6%	95%	43%	< 1%	2.6%	96.4%
6	Arsenal	75.8	+39	< 1%	99.24%	98.6%	97.2%	94%	41%	< 1%	2.7%	96.1%
3	Man City	68.9	+29	< 1%	94%	91%	85%	76%	11%	3.1%	11%	81%
4	Chelsea	63.8	+20	< 1%	82%	74%	64%	49%	3.5%	7%	19%	57%
1	Newcastle	57.8	+10	< 1%	54%	44%	32%	19%	< 1%	10%	21%	27%
1	Aston Villa	57.6	+10	< 1%	53%	43%	31%	19%	< 1%	8%	17%	42%
2	Crystal Palace	54.4	+4	2.5%	36%	27%	18%	10%	< 1%	5%	46%	13%
3	Brentford	52.6	-2	4.1%	27%	19%	12%	6%	< 1%	8%	14%	8%
4	Forest	52.5	-0	4.2%	27%	19%	12%	6%	< 1%	7%	11%	17%
3	Bournemouth	52.3	-2	4.5%	26%	18%	11%	6%	< 1%	8%	13%	8%
1	Brighton	52.1	+0	4.6%	25%	18%	11%	6%	< 1%	9%	11%	8%
6	Tottenham	51.3	-2	6%	22%	15%	9%	4.5%	< 1%	7%	10%	7%
3	Everton	50.2	-4	7%	18%	12%	7%	3.3%	< 1%	7%	9%	4.7%
1	Man United	49.6	-3	9%	16%	11%	6%	2.9%	< 1%	6%	8%	4.1%
2	Fulham	48.0	-6	12%	11%	7%	4.1%	1.8%	< 1%	5%	6%	2.7%
3	Leeds	42.8	-21	33%	2.9%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.0%	4.4%	< 1%
3	Burnley	42.3	-19	35%	2.6%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.0%	4.0%	< 1%
0	West Ham	42.0	-20	37%	2.4%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.2%	1.4%	< 1%
0	Wolves	41.4	-20	40%	2.0%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.9%	6%	< 1%
3	Sunderland	25.2	-51	98.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Chelsea	63%	20%	18%	Fulham
Man United	57%	22%	21%	Burnley
Tottenham	45%	24%	31%	Bournemouth
Wolves	43%	24%	33%	Everton
Sunderland	22%	22%	56%	Brentford
Leeds	33%	24%	43%	Newcastle
Forest	55%	22%	23%	West Ham
Brighton	34%	24%	41%	Man City
Liverpool	49%	23%	28%	Arsenal
Aston Villa	53%	22%	24%	Crystal Palace

Most likely combo of teams in CL

12%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
7%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
4.7%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City
3.9%	Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
2.9%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
2.5%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
2.3%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Forest, Liverpool, Man City
1.8%	Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Liverpool, Man City
1.7%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool
1.7%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle

Most likely combo of teams being relegated

10%	Sunderland, West Ham, Wolves
9%	Burnley, Sunderland, Wolves
8%	Leeds, Sunderland, Wolves
8%	Burnley, Sunderland, West Ham
8%	Leeds, Sunderland, West Ham
7%	Burnley, Leeds, Sunderland
2.7%	Fulham, Sunderland, Wolves
2.4%	Fulham, Sunderland, West Ham
2.2%	Burnley, Fulham, Sunderland
2.1%	Fulham, Leeds, Sunderland

 

Premier League 2025-26

Predictions of Premier League. Of note, the strength of teams are estimated based on their results last year, which may be more or less accurate depending on how their squads  have changed.

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
0	Arsenal	73.9	+36	< 1%	98.2%	96.9%	94%	90%	36%	1.1%	4.7%	93%
0	Liverpool	73.9	+36	< 1%	98.2%	96.9%	94%	90%	36%	1.1%	4.9%	93%
0	Man City	70.0	+29	< 1%	95%	91%	86%	78%	18%	2.9%	10%	82%
0	Chelsea	63.2	+17	< 1%	78%	69%	58%	44%	4.3%	8%	20%	51%
0	Aston Villa	59.6	+11	< 1%	61%	51%	39%	26%	1.7%	7%	17%	47%
0	Newcastle	59.1	+11	< 1%	59%	48%	36%	24%	1.5%	10%	21%	31%
0	Crystal Palace	55.1	+4	2.5%	38%	28%	19%	11%	< 1%	5%	45%	14%
0	Brighton	54.1	+2	3.2%	33%	24%	16%	9%	< 1%	10%	14%	12%
0	Brentford	52.2	-1	5%	25%	17%	11%	6%	< 1%	8%	13%	8%
0	Bournemouth	51.8	-1	6%	23%	16%	10%	5%	< 1%	8%	11%	7%
0	Forest	51.1	-3	7%	20%	14%	8%	4.4%	< 1%	6%	9%	15%
0	Man United	50.7	-3	8%	19%	13%	8%	4.0%	< 1%	7%	9%	5%
0	Everton	50.0	-4	9%	17%	11%	7%	3.3%	< 1%	6%	9%	4.6%
0	Fulham	48.6	-7	12%	13%	8%	4.7%	2.3%	< 1%	5%	6%	3.2%
0	Tottenham	47.8	-8	14%	10%	7%	3.7%	1.8%	< 1%	4.7%	5%	3.1%
0	West Ham	44.9	-13	24%	5%	3.2%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	3.0%	2.7%	1.1%
0	Wolves	43.2	-16	32%	3.3%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	6%	< 1%
0	Burnley	42.5	-17	36%	2.8%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.0%	4.0%	< 1%
0	Leeds	41.7	-19	40%	2.2%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.8%	4.0%	< 1%
0	Sunderland	23.8	-54	98.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%