Friday, August 15, 2025

Premier League 2025-26

Predictions of Premier League. Of note, the strength of teams are estimated based on their results last year, which may be more or less accurate depending on how their squads  have changed.



Average Simulated
Season
Probabilities
PtsTeamPtsGDRelegatedTop 7Top 6Top 5Top 4Win LeagueECLELCL
0Arsenal73.9+36< 1%98.2%96.9%94%90%36%1.1%4.7%93%
0Liverpool73.9+36< 1%98.2%96.9%94%90%36%1.1%4.9%93%
0Man City70.0+29< 1%95%91%86%78%18%2.9%10%82%
0Chelsea63.2+17< 1%78%69%58%44%4.3%8%20%51%
0Aston Villa59.6+11< 1%61%51%39%26%1.7%7%17%47%
0Newcastle59.1+11< 1%59%48%36%24%1.5%10%21%31%
0Crystal Palace55.1+42.5%38%28%19%11%< 1%5%45%14%
0Brighton54.1+23.2%33%24%16%9%< 1%10%14%12%
0Brentford52.2-15%25%17%11%6%< 1%8%13%8%
0Bournemouth51.8-16%23%16%10%5%< 1%8%11%7%
0Forest51.1-37%20%14%8%4.4%< 1%6%9%15%
0Man United50.7-38%19%13%8%4.0%< 1%7%9%5%
0Everton50.0-49%17%11%7%3.3%< 1%6%9%4.6%
0Fulham48.6-712%13%8%4.7%2.3%< 1%5%6%3.2%
0Tottenham47.8-814%10%7%3.7%1.8%< 1%4.7%5%3.1%
0West Ham44.9-1324%5%3.2%1.6%< 1%< 1%3.0%2.7%1.1%
0Wolves43.2-1632%3.3%1.9%< 1%< 1%< 1%2.3%6%< 1%
0Burnley42.5-1736%2.8%1.5%< 1%< 1%< 1%2.0%4.0%< 1%
0Leeds41.7-1940%2.2%1.2%< 1%< 1%< 1%1.8%4.0%< 1%
0Sunderland23.8-5498.9%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%


 

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