World Cup: Brazil and Ecuador clinch qualifications

Brazil , and Ecuador secured qualification to the world cup. Uruguay and Paraguay need one more point in the last two matches to clinch qualifications mathematically, although Venezuela are unlikely to catch up on their much worse goal difference.

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Top-7	Top-6	World Cup
16	35	Argentina	39.3	+22	100%	100%	100%
16	25	Brazil	29.6	+8	100%	100%	100%
16	24	Uruguay	28.1	+9	100%	>99.99%	100%
16	28	Ecuador	27.6	+8	100%	100%	100%
16	24	Paraguay	26.5	+3	100%	99.92%	99.97%
16	22	Colombia	26.4	+7	99.98%	99.48%	99.90%
16	18	Venezuela	19.2	-7	82%	< 1%	50%
16	17	Bolivia	18	-19	17%	< 1%	9%
16	12	Peru	14	-12	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
16	10	Chile	11.4	-17

First six team qualify for the World Cup finals. The 7th team qualify for the intercontinental playoff.