PL: Match week 2

 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
6	Liverpool	76.2	+37	< 1%	99.35%	98.8%	97.6%	95%	43%	< 1%	2.6%	96.4%
6	Arsenal	75.8	+39	< 1%	99.24%	98.6%	97.2%	94%	41%	< 1%	2.7%	96.1%
3	Man City	68.9	+29	< 1%	94%	91%	85%	76%	11%	3.1%	11%	81%
4	Chelsea	63.8	+20	< 1%	82%	74%	64%	49%	3.5%	7%	19%	57%
1	Newcastle	57.8	+10	< 1%	54%	44%	32%	19%	< 1%	10%	21%	27%
1	Aston Villa	57.6	+10	< 1%	53%	43%	31%	19%	< 1%	8%	17%	42%
2	Crystal Palace	54.4	+4	2.5%	36%	27%	18%	10%	< 1%	5%	46%	13%
3	Brentford	52.6	-2	4.1%	27%	19%	12%	6%	< 1%	8%	14%	8%
4	Forest	52.5	-0	4.2%	27%	19%	12%	6%	< 1%	7%	11%	17%
3	Bournemouth	52.3	-2	4.5%	26%	18%	11%	6%	< 1%	8%	13%	8%
1	Brighton	52.1	+0	4.6%	25%	18%	11%	6%	< 1%	9%	11%	8%
6	Tottenham	51.3	-2	6%	22%	15%	9%	4.5%	< 1%	7%	10%	7%
3	Everton	50.2	-4	7%	18%	12%	7%	3.3%	< 1%	7%	9%	4.7%
1	Man United	49.6	-3	9%	16%	11%	6%	2.9%	< 1%	6%	8%	4.1%
2	Fulham	48.0	-6	12%	11%	7%	4.1%	1.8%	< 1%	5%	6%	2.7%
3	Leeds	42.8	-21	33%	2.9%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.0%	4.4%	< 1%
3	Burnley	42.3	-19	35%	2.6%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.0%	4.0%	< 1%
0	West Ham	42.0	-20	37%	2.4%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.2%	1.4%	< 1%
0	Wolves	41.4	-20	40%	2.0%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.9%	6%	< 1%
3	Sunderland	25.2	-51	98.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Chelsea	63%	20%	18%	Fulham
Man United	57%	22%	21%	Burnley
Tottenham	45%	24%	31%	Bournemouth
Wolves	43%	24%	33%	Everton
Sunderland	22%	22%	56%	Brentford
Leeds	33%	24%	43%	Newcastle
Forest	55%	22%	23%	West Ham
Brighton	34%	24%	41%	Man City
Liverpool	49%	23%	28%	Arsenal
Aston Villa	53%	22%	24%	Crystal Palace

Most likely combo of teams in CL

12%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
7%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
4.7%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City
3.9%	Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
2.9%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
2.5%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
2.3%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Forest, Liverpool, Man City
1.8%	Arsenal, Crystal Palace, Liverpool, Man City
1.7%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool
1.7%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle

Most likely combo of teams being relegated

10%	Sunderland, West Ham, Wolves
9%	Burnley, Sunderland, Wolves
8%	Leeds, Sunderland, Wolves
8%	Burnley, Sunderland, West Ham
8%	Leeds, Sunderland, West Ham
7%	Burnley, Leeds, Sunderland
2.7%	Fulham, Sunderland, Wolves
2.4%	Fulham, Sunderland, West Ham
2.2%	Burnley, Fulham, Sunderland
2.1%	Fulham, Leeds, Sunderland