Group finals i Asia

The winners between UAE and Qatar and between Saudi and Iraq clinch qualifications. For UAE and Saudi a draw will suffice. The runner-ups in the groups will advance to the playoff. 

The winners qualify for the world cup.
Runners-up play playoff in which the winners advance
to the intercontinental playoff. 

Group A
United Arab Emirates clinch qualifications if they draw (or win) against Qatar (52%)
Qatar clinch qualifications if they win against United Arab Emirates (48%)
Qatar clinch playoff if they draw (or win) against United Arab Emirates (72%)
Oman clinch playoff if United Arab Emirates win against Qatar with at least 2 goals (12%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	At least Playoff	Winner	World Cup
1	3	United Arab Emirates	4.1	+1	100%	52%	62%
1	1	Qatar	2.7	0	78%	48%	54%
2	1	Oman	1	-1	22%	< 1%	3.9%

Group B
Saudi Arabia clinch qualifications if they draw (or win) against Iraq (68%)
Iraq clinch qualifications if they win against Saudi Arabia (32%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	At least Playoff	Winner	World Cup
1	3	Saudi Arabia	4.6	+1	100%	68%	72%
1	3	Iraq	4.2	+1	100%	32%	45%
2	0	Indonesia	0	-2