PL: mid-week and key matches in race for Europe

 Mid-week and matches already tomorrow, but most interesting looks Wednesday with two key matches for the qualifications of the continental tournaments. Brighton host Villa in a key match, while Tottenham travel to Newcastle and St James's Park. 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
30	Arsenal	82.2	+48	< 1%	99.99%	99.97%	99.90%	99.69%	86%	< 1%	< 1%	99.87%
25	Man City	71.2	+34	< 1%	97.8%	96.0%	93%	86%	10%	1.2%	6%	92%
24	Chelsea	65.8	+24	< 1%	89%	82%	73%	59%	2.0%	6%	17%	71%
21	Liverpool	65.6	+16	< 1%	87%	80%	70%	56%	1.7%	4.5%	18%	69%
24	Aston Villa	62.9	+12	< 1%	76%	65%	53%	37%	< 1%	6%	17%	64%
22	Brighton	59.1	+9	< 1%	54%	42%	30%	18%	< 1%	11%	25%	28%
18	Newcastle	56.9	+8	< 1%	41%	30%	19%	11%	< 1%	16%	24%	18%
20	Crystal Palace	56.7	+8	< 1%	40%	29%	19%	11%	< 1%	7%	12%	53%
21	Man United	56.6	+2	< 1%	38%	27%	17%	10%	< 1%	11%	21%	17%
19	Bournemouth	53.6	-2	< 1%	22%	14%	8%	4.1%	< 1%	9%	15%	8%
19	Brentford	53.4	+1	< 1%	21%	13%	8%	3.6%	< 1%	11%	14%	7%
18	Tottenham	52.1	+4	1.1%	17%	11%	6%	2.8%	< 1%	7%	13%	6%
18	Everton	50.8	-6	2.0%	11%	6%	3.4%	1.5%	< 1%	6%	9%	3.2%
17	Fulham	48.5	-7	4.5%	6%	3.4%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	5%	1.6%
12	Forest	43.4	-14	17%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	8%
22	Sunderland	42.6	-21	20%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	West Ham	38.8	-24	44%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Leeds	37.3	-26	55%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
10	Burnley	36.9	-25	57%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
2	Wolves	25.1	-41	97.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Arsenal	86%	29%	39%	24%
Man City	10%	14%	23%	9%
Chelsea	2.0%	9%	20%	4.9%
Liverpool	1.7%	10%		4.4%
Aston Villa	< 1%	6%		28%
Brighton	< 1%	3.9%
Newcastle	< 1%	4.8%	10%	1.4%
Crystal Palace	< 1%	4.0%	3.4%	43%
Man United	< 1%	2.7%
Bournemouth	< 1%	2.9%
Brentford	< 1%	2.7%	2.7%
Tottenham	< 1%	2.6%		< 1%
Everton	< 1%	2.4%
Fulham	< 1%	1.5%	2.0%
Forest	< 1%	1.7%		8%
Sunderland		< 1%
West Ham		< 1%
Leeds		< 1%
Burnley		< 1%
Wolves		< 1%