CL: Bayern can clinch a top-8 spot

Twelve teams have secured a spot in the playoff and another seven have the chance to clinch a spot tonight, as listed below.

Arsenal have clinched a spot in top-8 and Bayern can secure a spot with a win tonight. 

Clinching Scenarios

• Chelsea clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Paphos (93%)
• Bayern clinch Top8 if they win against St Gillis (79%)
• Barcelona clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Slavia Praha (78%)
• Newcastle clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against PSV (78%)
• Juventus clinch knockout stage if they win against Benfica (50%)
• Galatasaray clinch knockout stage if they win against Atletico (32%)
• Marseille clinch knockout stage if they win against Liverpool (32%)
• PSV clinch knockout stage if they win against Newcastle (22%)

Pos	Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Top 24	Top 16	Top 8	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	21	Arsenal	24	25-3	100%	100%	100%	100%	80%	58%	41%	26%
2	15	Bayern	19	22-9	100%	100%	99.08%	99.87%	72%	46%	28%	15%
3	13	Paris SG	16	22-11	100%	>99.99%	64%	93%	61%	37%	19%	10%
4	15	Real Madrid	16	20-9	100%	100%	87%	96.8%	56%	27%	12%	5%
5	13	Man City	16	15-9	100%	99.89%	68%	95%	66%	40%	24%	13%
6	12	Liverpool	16	14-8	100%	99.14%	67%	93%	58%	31%	15%	7%
7	12	Atletico	16	19-15	100%	98.6%	60%	88%	44%	18%	7%	2.7%
8	13	Atalanta	16	13-10	100%	99.95%	66%	85%	32%	10%	2.5%	< 1%
9	14	Tottenham	15	16-8	100%	100%	49%	81%	32%	10%	3.0%	< 1%
10	10	Barcelona	14	20-13	>99.99%	95%	44%	87%	52%	28%	14%	7%
11	10	Chelsea	14	15-9	>99.99%	92%	28%	76%	38%	17%	7%	2.7%
12	13	Sporting	14	15-10	100%	99.96%	34%	74%	30%	10%	3.2%	1.1%
13	10	Newcastle	13	14-7	>99.99%	72%	12%	67%	28%	12%	4.3%	1.6%
14	12	Inter	13	14-8	100%	93%	11%	75%	37%	18%	9%	3.9%
15	11	Dortmund	12	21-17	100%	67%	1.4%	63%	24%	10%	3.6%	1.3%
16	9	Juventus	12	14-11	98.5%	62%	4.3%	52%	16%	5%	1.6%	< 1%
17	9	Marseille	12	13-11	98.0%	48%	3.9%	44%	12%	3.6%	< 1%	< 1%
18	9	Leverkusen	12	12-15	95.1%	19%	< 1%	49%	17%	7%	2.6%	< 1%
19	9	Galatasaray	10	11-13	93%	19%	< 1%	28%	5%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
20	9	Monaco	10	9-15	80%	8%	< 1%	23%	4.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
21	8	PSV	9	20-17	78%	20%	< 1%	35%	11%	3.5%	1.0%	< 1%
22	6	Benfica	9	10-14	50%	6%	< 1%	21%	7%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%
23	8	Olympiakos	9	9-14	53%	< 1%	< 1%	12%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
24	8	Napoli	9	8-13	59%	< 1%	< 1%	25%	9%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	7	Brugge	8	13-18	43%	< 1%	< 1%	11%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	7	Karabakh Agdam	8	12-18	35%	1.4%	< 1%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
27	8	FC Kobenhavn	8	11-19	12%	< 1%	< 1%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	5	Bilbao	7	7-12	18%	< 1%	< 1%	4.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	6	Paphos	7	7-14	22%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	4	Frankfurt	7	13-21	19%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
31	6	St Gillis	7	9-18	20%	< 1%	< 1%	4.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	6	Ajax	7	8-20	13%	< 1%	< 1%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	6	Bodoe Glimt	6	14-18	9%	< 1%	< 1%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
34	3	Slavia Praha	6	5-16	4.6%	< 1%	< 1%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Expected Requirement

	Top 24		Top 16		Top 8
	Pts	GD	Pts	GD	Pts	GD
1%	10	15-18	13	17-13	16	21-10
5%	10	11-16	13	16-14	16	23-15
25%	9	11-14	12	20-16	16	16-10
50%	9	8-13	12	15-13	16	10-9
75%	9	8-16	12	13-15	15	16-9
95%	8	10-14	11	20-17	14	16-7
99%	8	7-13	11	13-11	14	15-9