Sixteen teams have qualified for the knockout stage and 16 teams fighting over the remaining eight slots. Conditions are listed below with Brugge vs Marseille being the most important - statistically speaking.
Two teams have qualified for the top-8 (avoiding the playoff round) and 15 teams are fighting over the remaining six spots. Below are the conditions listed with PSG vs Newcastle being listed as the most important, as basically the winner clinch top-8, while the loser is out of chance.
| Pos | Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | R16 | QF | Semi | Final | Champ | ||||
| 1 | 21 | Arsenal | 24 | 25-3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% | 59% | 41% | 26% | ||||
| 2 | 18 | Bayern | 19 | 22-9 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 73% | 47% | 29% | 15% | ||||
| 3 | 15 | Liverpool | 18 | 18-10 | 100% | 100% | 95.1% | 99.0% | 65% | 35% | 17% | 8% | ||||
| 4 | 13 | Paris SG | 16 | 22-11 | 100% | 100% | 64% | 94% | 63% | 37% | 19% | 9% | ||||
| 5 | 15 | Real Madrid | 16 | 20-9 | 100% | 100% | 80% | 95% | 56% | 26% | 11% | 4.8% | ||||
| 6 | 13 | Barcelona | 16 | 21-14 | 100% | 100% | 81% | 96.5% | 61% | 32% | 16% | 7% | ||||
| 7 | 13 | Man City | 16 | 15-9 | 100% | >99.99% | 66% | 95% | 67% | 39% | 24% | 13% | ||||
| 8 | 13 | Atletico | 16 | 18-13 | 100% | >99.99% | 55% | 88% | 43% | 16% | 6% | 2.5% | ||||
| 9 | 14 | Tottenham | 15 | 16-8 | 100% | 100% | 45% | 80% | 33% | 10% | 2.9% | < 1% | ||||
| 10 | 13 | Chelsea | 14 | 15-9 | 100% | >99.99% | 33% | 81% | 39% | 17% | 7% | 2.7% | ||||
| 11 | 13 | Sporting | 14 | 15-10 | 100% | >99.99% | 34% | 77% | 30% | 10% | 3.1% | 1.1% | ||||
| 12 | 13 | Atalanta | 14 | 11-10 | 100% | 99.94% | 15% | 64% | 20% | 5% | 1.5% | < 1% | ||||
| 13 | 13 | Newcastle | 13 | 17-8 | 100% | 100% | 20% | 77% | 34% | 14% | 4.9% | 1.8% | ||||
| 14 | 12 | Inter | 13 | 14-8 | 100% | 95.4% | 6% | 77% | 35% | 17% | 8% | 3.7% | ||||
| 15 | 12 | Juventus | 13 | 15-11 | 100% | 95% | 4.6% | 61% | 18% | 6% | 1.8% | < 1% | ||||
| 16 | 11 | Dortmund | 12 | 21-17 | 100% | 69% | 1.3% | 65% | 23% | 9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | ||||
| 17 | 9 | Leverkusen | 12 | 12-15 | 93% | 12% | < 1% | 48% | 15% | 6% | 2.3% | < 1% | ||||
| 18 | 9 | Marseille | 10 | 12-12 | 93% | 13% | < 1% | 36% | 9% | 2.6% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 19 | 10 | Galatasaray | 10 | 10-12 | 99.84% | 9% | < 1% | 29% | 5% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 20 | 10 | Karabakh Agdam | 10 | 13-17 | 99.45% | 4.6% | < 1% | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 21 | 9 | Monaco | 10 | 9-15 | 76% | 3.2% | < 1% | 22% | 3.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 22 | 8 | PSV | 9 | 15-14 | 57% | < 1% | < 1% | 24% | 7% | 2.2% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 23 | 8 | Bilbao | 9 | 8-12 | 54% | < 1% | < 1% | 15% | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 24 | 8 | Olympiakos | 9 | 9-14 | 49% | < 1% | < 1% | 11% | 1.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 25 | 8 | Napoli | 9 | 8-13 | 55% | < 1% | < 1% | 24% | 8% | 2.6% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 26 | 7 | Brugge | 8 | 13-18 | 42% | < 1% | < 1% | 12% | 2.3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 27 | 8 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 11-19 | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 28 | 6 | Benfica | 7 | 7-11 | 28% | < 1% | < 1% | 11% | 4.0% | 1.1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 29 | 6 | Paphos | 7 | 5-11 | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 30 | 6 | St Gillis | 7 | 8-18 | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 31 | 6 | Ajax | 7 | 8-20 | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| 32 | 6 | Bodoe Glimt | 6 | 14-18 | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Expected Requirement
| Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | ||||
| Pts | GD | Pts | GD | Pts | GD | |
| 1% | 10 | 13-16 | 13 | 13-12 | 16 | 23-15 |
| 5% | 10 | 11-17 | 13 | 17-18 | 16 | 22-15 |
| 25% | 9 | 11-13 | 12 | 21-17 | 16 | 19-13 |
| 50% | 9 | 11-16 | 12 | 15-12 | 16 | 15-10 |
| 75% | 9 | 10-17 | 12 | 14-13 | 15 | 17-7 |
| 95% | 8 | 16-16 | 12 | 9-14 | 14 | 20-10 |
| 99% | 8 | 13-18 | 11 | 19-17 | 14 | 15-9 |
| Important for Top-8 | |||
| Paris SG vs Newcastle (153.1%) | Home Win (61%) | Draw (21%) | Away Win (19%) |
| Paris SG | 100% | 18% | < 1% |
| Newcastle | < 1% | 4.7% | >99.99% |
| Napoli vs Chelsea (87.9%) | Home Win (42%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (34%) |
| Chelsea | < 1% | 2.4% | 94% |
| Bilbao vs Sporting (78.7%) | Home Win (36%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (40%) |
| Sporting | < 1% | < 1% | 84% |
| Frankfurt vs Tottenham (78.7%) | Home Win (39%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (36%) |
| Tottenham | 5% | 26% | 100% |
| Barcelona vs FC Kobenhavn (65.7%) | Home Win (82%) | Draw (11%) | Away Win (6%) |
| Barcelona | 97.9% | 2.4% | < 1% |
| Man City vs Galatasaray (60.7%) | Home Win (77%) | Draw (14%) | Away Win (9%) |
| Man City | 86% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Atletico vs Bodoe Glimt (55.7%) | Home Win (73%) | Draw (16%) | Away Win (11%) |
| Atletico | 76% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Benfica vs Real Madrid (40.3%) | Home Win (37%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (39%) |
| Real Madrid | 47% | 100% | 100% |
| Atletico | 66% | 49% | 49% |
| St Gillis vs Atalanta (30%) | Home Win (39%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (37%) |
| Atalanta | < 1% | < 1% | 41% |
| Real Madrid | 84% | 85% | 73% |
| Liverpool vs Karabakh Agdam (20.9%) | Home Win (85%) | Draw (10%) | Away Win (5%) |
| Liverpool | 100% | 88% | 24% |
| Dortmund vs Inter (12.7%) | Home Win (42%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (34%) |
| Inter | < 1% | < 1% | 17% |
| Dortmund | 3.1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Juventus | 6% | 6% | 2.1% |
| Monaco vs Juventus (7.8%) | Home Win (38%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (38%) |
| Juventus | < 1% | < 1% | 12% |
| Dortmund | 1.9% | 1.9% | < 1% |
| Important for Knockout Stage | |||
| Brugge vs Marseille (112.2%) | Home Win (41%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (34%) |
| Brugge | 99.88% | 2.5% | < 1% |
| Marseille | 82% | 99.98% | 100% |
| Ajax vs Olympiakos (98.2%) | Home Win (40%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (35%) |
| Olympiakos | < 1% | 58% | >99.99% |
| Ajax | 24% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Bilbao vs Sporting (86.1%) | Home Win (36%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (40%) |
| Bilbao | >99.99% | 72% | 1.6% |
| Napoli vs Chelsea (85.6%) | Home Win (42%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (34%) |
| Napoli | >99.99% | 55% | < 1% |
| PSV vs Bayern (81.8%) | Home Win (29%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (48%) |
| PSV | 100% | 96.4% | 11% |
| Benfica vs Real Madrid (64.4%) | Home Win (37%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (39%) |
| Benfica | 76% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Monaco vs Juventus (47.6%) | Home Win (38%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (38%) |
| Monaco | 100% | 98.5% | 37% |
| Atletico vs Bodoe Glimt (43.7%) | Home Win (73%) | Draw (16%) | Away Win (11%) |
| Bodoe Glimt | < 1% | < 1% | 87% |
| Barcelona vs FC Kobenhavn (40.2%) | Home Win (82%) | Draw (11%) | Away Win (6%) |
| FC Kobenhavn | < 1% | 32% | 99.9% |
| Paphos vs Slavia Praha (37.5%) | Home Win (34%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (42%) |
| Paphos | 49% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Leverkusen vs Villarreal (20.2%) | Home Win (59%) | Draw (21%) | Away Win (20%) |
| Leverkusen | 100% | 99.6% | 65% |
| St Gillis vs Atalanta (14.2%) | Home Win (39%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (37%) |
| St Gillis | 21% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Ajax | 5% | 12% | 12% |
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