PL: Villa secure a place in Champions League

Villa secured a top-5 place and thereby a place in next season's CL.

Today, Chelsea can win the FA cup which would guarantee them a place in EL next year.  The final outcome also affects other teams. Bournemouth have 71% to reach EL (or CL) if Chelsea win, compared with 92% if City win. Brighton have 46% if Chelsea win, compared with 78% if City win. Brentford have 5% if Chelsea win compared with 25% if City win. Everton have 2.5% if Chelsea win compared with 15% if City win.

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
79	Arsenal	83.5	+45	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	100%	85%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
77	Man City	80.4	+44	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	100%	15%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
65	Man United	68.1	+16	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
62	Aston Villa	62.8	+6	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	65%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
59	Liverpool	61.0	+10	< 1%	100%	99.65%	93%	35%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	93%
55	Bournemouth	57.5	+4	< 1%	91%	62%	4.8%	< 1%	< 1%	12%	64%	20%
53	Brighton	55.8	+10	< 1%	75%	32%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	22%	56%	11%
51	Brentford	53.6	+4	< 1%	17%	3.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	30%	18%	< 1%
49	Chelsea	52.4	+7	< 1%	11%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	14%	45%	< 1%
49	Everton	52.3	+1	< 1%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	13%	7%	< 1%
48	Fulham	51.1	-6	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	5.0%	1.4%	< 1%
48	Sunderland	50.0	-10	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%
46	Newcastle	49.1	-1	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
44	Leeds	46.7	-5	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
44	Crystal Palace	45.8	-11	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	64%	< 1%
43	Forest	45.5	-2	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
38	Tottenham	40.4	-10	19%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
36	West Ham	38.4	-21	81%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
21	Burnley	22.9	-38	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
18	Wolves	20.4	-42	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%