Monday, September 14, 2026

PL: Arsenal and City yet to lose a point.

Coventry yet to take a point. 



Average Simulated
Season
Probabilities
PtsTeamPtsGDRelegatedTop 7Top 6Top 5Top 4Win LeagueECLELCL
12Arsenal84.7+50
99.98%99.96%99.91%99.76%80%< 0.1%< 0.1%99.93%
12Man City75.6+33< 0.1%99.11%98.4%97.2%95%18%0.38%1.8%97.3%
6Liverpool62.6+18< 0.1%76%68%58%46%0.81%6%17%60%
4Man United60.8+16< 0.1%68%59%49%36%0.46%7%19%50%
1Aston Villa59.2+120.17%60%51%40%28%0.25%8%20%43%
7Brighton56.4+120.44%46%36%27%17%0.12%5%37%26%
3Bournemouth56.3+90.49%45%35%26%17%0.10%8%14%43%
7Chelsea55.3+30.72%38%29%21%13%< 0.1%8%17%21%
6Brentford54.6+60.81%35%27%19%12%< 0.1%12%16%19%
5Newcastle54.3+30.95%33%25%17%10%< 0.1%8%16%17%
8Leeds52.8+01.5%26%19%13%7%< 0.1%7%13%13%
5Forest52.8+11.6%26%19%13%7%< 0.1%6%14%13%
6Everton51.6-02.1%21%15%10%6%< 0.1%9%12%10%
3Crystal Palace48.1-86%11%7%4.2%2.2%< 0.1%4.0%6%15%
1Fulham47.4-47%9%6%3.6%1.8%< 0.1%4.3%7%3.5%
2Tottenham44.5-1213%4.2%2.6%1.4%0.65%< 0.1%2.4%3.7%1.4%
4Sunderland42.1-1721%2.1%1.2%0.63%0.27%
2.0%1.8%5%
6Ipswich34.7-3567%< 0.1%< 0.1%< 0.1%< 0.1%
0.26%0.19%< 0.1%
0Coventry30.5-3884%< 0.1%< 0.1%< 0.1%< 0.1%
0.15%0.20%< 0.1%
8Hull27.5-4994%< 0.1%< 0.1%< 0.1%< 0.1%
< 0.1%< 0.1%< 0.1%


Titles
TeamLeagueFA CupLeague CupEurope


Arsenal80%31%34%28%
Man City18%14%13%10%
Liverpool0.81%7%9%4.8%
Man United0.46%8%6%4.5%
Aston Villa0.25%8%6%5%
Brighton0.12%3.3%1.3%34%
Bournemouth0.10%4.7%8%24%
Chelsea< 0.1%2.8%2.0%
Brentford< 0.1%3.0%8%
Newcastle< 0.1%3.1%1.3%
Leeds< 0.1%1.8%0.72%
Forest< 0.1%2.5%

Everton< 0.1%1.9%4.5%
Crystal Palace< 0.1%1.9%1.1%11%
Fulham< 0.1%2.2%1.2%
Tottenham< 0.1%1.3%0.71%
Sunderland
0.69%1.1%4.8%
Ipswich
0.13%0.19%
Coventry
0.18%0.13%
Hull
< 0.1%< 0.1%

 

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