PL: Brighton hosting Brentford in CL clash

 

Important match for CL race
Brighton vs Brentford (2.4%)
	Home Win (51%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (26%)
Brighton	82%	74%	68%
Brentford	10%	14%	21%

 

	Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
24	Arsenal	88.3	+48		>99.99%	>99.99%	99.99%	99.94%	74%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	>99.99%
21	Man City	82.1	+45		99.98%	99.93%	99.75%	99.12%	25%	< 0.1%	0.21%	99.76%
15	Liverpool	69.1	+25		95.7%	91%	84%	69%	0.67%	2.8%	12%	84%
19	Brighton	67.2	+30	< 0.1%	93%	87%	77%	60%	0.47%	2.0%	19%	77%
16	Chelsea	62.0	+13	< 0.1%	75%	62%	45%	26%	< 0.1%	9%	29%	44%
12	Aston Villa	61.8	+12	< 0.1%	74%	61%	43%	24%	< 0.1%	9%	30%	44%
12	Bournemouth	57.3	+9	< 0.1%	50%	34%	20%	9%	< 0.1%	12%	23%	35%
14	Brentford	55.4	+9	0.12%	39%	25%	14%	6%	< 0.1%	13%	25%	14%
11	Newcastle	53.8	+1	0.28%	29%	17%	9%	3.6%	< 0.1%	12%	21%	9%
13	Everton	49.4	-5	1.2%	11%	5%	2.4%	0.81%	< 0.1%	11%	9%	2.4%
12	Tottenham	48.8	-6	1.6%	10%	4.8%	2.1%	0.69%		6%	8%	2.1%
11	Leeds	48.8	-3	1.6%	10%	5.0%	2.1%	0.68%	< 0.1%	7%	8%	2.1%
7	Man United	48.4	-3	2.0%	9%	4.7%	2.0%	0.66%		6%	9%	2.2%
7	Crystal Palace	43.7	-18	8%	2.2%	0.93%	0.32%	< 0.1%		6%	3.0%	5%
9	Fulham	43.6	-10	7%	2.2%	0.93%	0.32%	< 0.1%		2.2%	3.1%	0.33%
6	Forest	41.0	-14	15%	0.89%	0.34%	0.10%	< 0.1%		1.0%	1.9%	0.11%
11	Ipswich	35.0	-32	49%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%		< 0.1%	0.26%	< 0.1%
5	Sunderland	32.9	-28	62%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%		0.56%	0.40%	1.3%
9	Coventry	32.6	-35	66%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%		< 0.1%	0.20%	< 0.1%
11	Hull	28.8	-38	86%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%				< 0.1%	< 0.1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Arsenal	74%	28%		22%
Man City	25%	21%	60%	13%
Liverpool	0.67%	10%	25%	4.5%
Brighton	0.47%	5%		41%
Chelsea	< 0.1%	4.5%
Aston Villa	< 0.1%	7%		2.2%
Bournemouth	< 0.1%	3.9%	5%	19%
Brentford	< 0.1%	3.0%
Newcastle	< 0.1%	3.5%
Everton	< 0.1%	1.6%	4.3%
Tottenham		1.6%
Leeds	< 0.1%	1.6%
Man United		2.8%		0.18%
Crystal Palace		1.5%	4.6%	5%
Fulham		1.4%
Forest		1.2%
Ipswich		0.21%
Sunderland		0.38%	0.52%	1.2%
Coventry		0.19%
Hull		< 0.1%

 Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Everton	61%	23%	16%	Coventry
Leeds	45%	25%	30%	Tottenham
Arsenal	90%	8%	2.4%	Hull
Fulham	36%	25%	39%	Newcastle
Forest	16%	21%	62%	Man City
Brighton	51%	23%	26%	Brentford
Crystal Palace	26%	24%	50%	Liverpool
Ipswich	22%	22%	56%	Bournemouth
Sunderland	23%	25%	51%	Chelsea

Most likely combo of teams in CL

14%	Arsenal, Brighton, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
14%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City
6%	Arsenal, Bournemouth, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City
4.6%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City
4.6%	Arsenal, Bournemouth, Brighton, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
4.2%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
3.6%	Arsenal, Brentford, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City
3.1%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Brighton, Chelsea, Man City
2.4%	Arsenal, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
2.1%	Arsenal, Bournemouth, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City

Most likely combo of teams being relegated

26%	Coventry, Hull, Sunderland
17%	Coventry, Hull, Ipswich
16%	Hull, Ipswich, Sunderland
6%	Coventry, Ipswich, Sunderland
4.4%	Coventry, Forest, Hull
3.4%	Forest, Hull, Sunderland
2.6%	Forest, Hull, Ipswich
2.3%	Coventry, Crystal Palace, Hull
2.1%	Coventry, Fulham, Hull
1.9%	Crystal Palace, Hull, Sunderland