Euro 16 - Day 8

Four more countries clinched their tickets to France: Portugal, Austria, Iceland, and Czechia. That means there are 18 seats available.

Country	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
Portugal	6	15	100	100	0	0	0	0	qualified
England	8	24	100	100	0	0	0	0	qualified
Austria	8	22	100	100	0	0	0	0	qualified
Iceland	8	19	100	59	41	0	0	0	qualified
Czechia	8	19	100	41	59	0	0	0	qualified
Germany	8	19	99.92	86	13	0.09	0.9	0	qualified if they draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 97%
Wales	8	18	99.83	47	53	0.1	0.3	0	qualified if Belgium draw (or win) against Israel; otherwise 98.2%
Slovakia	8	19	99.8	61	38	0.5	0.6	0	qualified if they win against Luxembourg; otherwise 98.3%
Spain	8	21	99.6	39	50	9	2	0	qualified if they draw (or win) against Ukraine; otherwise 97%
Romania	8	16	99.4	77	21	0.2	1	0.08	qualified if they win against Faroe Islands; otherwise 96%
Belgium	8	17	99.3	52	44	1	3	0	qualified if they draw (or win) against Israel; otherwise 85%
Italy	8	18	98.8	84	9.4	2	4	0	qualified if they win against Norway; otherwise 91%
Switzerland	8	15	97	0	92	0.4	8	0.1	qualified if they win against Estonia; otherwise 90%
Northern Ire	8	17	95	22	67	5	6	0	qualified if Greece draw (or win) against Hungary; otherwise 90%
Croatia	8	15	95	8	74	4	14	0	99.3% chance to qualify if they win against Bulgaria; otherwise 76%
Russia	8	14	90	0	75	8	13	4	97% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Montenegro; otherwise 45%
Denmark	7	12	89	0	73	0.008	27	0	97% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 80%
Poland	8	17	85	11	69	0.2	9.4	10	99% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 43%
Ukraine	8	16	79	0.6	11	30	58	0	92% chance to qualify if they win against Spain; otherwise 61%
Sweden	8	12	72	0	24	0.02	74	1	89% chance to qualify if Moldova win against Russia; otherwise 56%
Hungary	8	13	67	0.6	12	31	56	0.8	86% chance to qualify if they win against Greece; otherwise 65%
Norway	8	16	51	8	16	4	72	0	98.9% chance to qualify if they win against Italy; otherwise 61%
Netherlands	8	10	49	0	0	0	55	45	40% chance to qualify if Czechia win against Turkey; otherwise 14%
Ireland	8	15	43	3	18	0.06	43	36	88% chance to qualify if they win against Poland; otherwise 27%
Slovenia	8	12	39	0	8	0.009	89	3	54% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Lithuania; otherwise 38%
Albania	6	8	32	0	20	0.5	38	42	61% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Serbia; otherwise 8%
Turkey	8	12	25	0	0	3	42	55	40% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Czechia; otherwise 10%
Serbia	6	7	25	0	7	0.4	34	58	52% chance to qualify if they win against Albania; otherwise 6%
Scotland	8	11	24	0	0	0	46	54	33% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Poland; otherwise 0%
Bosnia and H	8	11	22	0	0	0	43	57	31% chance to qualify if they win against Cyprus; otherwise 5%
Israel	8	13	21	0.7	3	0.2	50	46	38% chance to qualify if they win against Cyprus; otherwise 9.4%
Montenegro	8	11	2	0	0.9	0	5	94	21% chance to qualify if they win against Russia; otherwise 0.2%
Estonia	8	10	0.4	0	0.1	0	1	98.6	4% chance to qualify if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 0.1%
Cyprus	8	9	0.3	0	0	0	3	97	10% chance to qualify if they win against Israel; otherwise 0%
Lithuania	8	9	0.3	0	0	0	2	98	9% chance to qualify if they win against Slovenia; otherwise 0%
Finland	8	10	0.2	0	0.01	0.0001	0.8	99.1	3% chance to qualify if Faroe Islands draw (or win) against Hungary; otherwise 0.04%
Group A	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. Czechia	8	19	100	41	59	0	0	0	qualified
2. Iceland	8	19	100	59	41	0	0	0	qualified
3. Turkey	8	12	25	0	0	3	42	55	40% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Czechia; otherwise 10%
4. Netherlands	8	10	49	0	0	0	55	45	40% chance to qualify if Czechia win against Turkey; otherwise 14%
5. Latvia	8	4	0	0	0	0	0	100
6. Kazakhstan	8	2	0	0	0	0	0	100
Group B	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. Wales	8	18	99.83	47	53	0.1	0.3	0	qualified if Belgium draw (or win) against Israel; otherwise 98.2%
2. Belgium	8	17	99.3	52	44	1	3	0	qualified if they draw (or win) against Israel; otherwise 85%
3. Israel	8	13	21	0.7	3	0.2	50	46	38% chance to qualify if they win against Cyprus; otherwise 9.4%
4. Bosnia and H	8	11	22	0	0	0	43	57	31% chance to qualify if they win against Cyprus; otherwise 5%
5. Cyprus	8	9	0.3	0	0	0	3	97	10% chance to qualify if they win against Israel; otherwise 0%
6. Andorra	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Group C	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. Spain	8	21	99.6	39	50	9	2	0	qualified if they draw (or win) against Ukraine; otherwise 97%
2. Slovakia	8	19	99.8	61	38	0.5	0.6	0	qualified if they win against Luxembourg; otherwise 98.3%
3. Ukraine	8	16	79	0.6	11	30	58	0	92% chance to qualify if they win against Spain; otherwise 61%
4. Belarus	8	7	0	0	0	0	0	100
5. Luxembourg	8	4	0	0	0	0	0	100
6. Macedonia	8	3	0	0	0	0	0	100
Group D	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. Germany	8	19	99.92	86	13	0.09	0.9	0	qualified if they draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 97%
2. Poland	8	17	85	11	69	0.2	9.4	10	99% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 43%
3. Ireland	8	15	43	3	18	0.06	43	36	88% chance to qualify if they win against Poland; otherwise 27%
4. Scotland	8	11	24	0	0	0	46	54	33% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Poland; otherwise 0%
5. Georgia	8	6	0	0	0	0	0	100
6. Gibraltar	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Group E	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. England	8	24	100	100	0	0	0	0	qualified
2. Switzerland	8	15	97	0	92	0.4	8	0.1	qualified if they win against Estonia; otherwise 90%
3. Slovenia	8	12	39	0	8	0.009	89	3	54% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Lithuania; otherwise 38%
4. Estonia	8	10	0.4	0	0.1	0	1	98.6	4% chance to qualify if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 0.1%
5. Lithuania	8	9	0.3	0	0	0	2	98	9% chance to qualify if they win against Slovenia; otherwise 0%
6. San Marino	8	1	0	0	0	0	0	100
Group F	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. Northern Ire	8	17	95	22	67	5	6	0	qualified if Greece draw (or win) against Hungary; otherwise 90%
2. Romania	8	16	99.4	77	21	0.2	1	0.08	qualified if they win against Faroe Islands; otherwise 96%
3. Hungary	8	13	67	0.6	12	31	56	0.8	86% chance to qualify if they win against Greece; otherwise 65%
4. Finland	8	10	0.2	0	0.01	0.0001	0.8	99.1	3% chance to qualify if Faroe Islands draw (or win) against Hungary; otherwise 0.04%
5. Faroe Island	8	6	0	0	0	0	0	100
6. Greece	8	3	0	0	0	0	0	100
Group G	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. Austria	8	22	100	100	0	0	0	0	qualified
2. Russia	8	14	90	0	75	8	13	4	97% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Montenegro; otherwise 45%
3. Sweden	8	12	72	0	24	0.02	74	1	89% chance to qualify if Moldova win against Russia; otherwise 56%
4. Montenegro	8	11	2	0	0.9	0	5	94	21% chance to qualify if they win against Russia; otherwise 0.2%
5. Liechtenstei	8	5	0	0	0	0	0	100
6. Moldova	8	2	0	0	0	0	0	100
Group H	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. Italy	8	18	98.8	84	9.4	2	4	0	qualified if they win against Norway; otherwise 91%
2. Norway	8	16	51	8	16	4	72	0	98.9% chance to qualify if they win against Italy; otherwise 61%
3. Croatia	8	15	95	8	74	4	14	0	99.3% chance to qualify if they win against Bulgaria; otherwise 76%
4. Bulgaria	8	8	0	0	0	0	0	100
5. Azerbaijan	8	6	0	0	0	0	0	100
6. Malta	8	2	0	0	0	0	0	100
Group I	m	p	qual	1st	2nd	best 3rd	playoff	Not Top3	Comment
1. Portugal	6	15	100	100	0	0	0	0	qualified
2. Denmark	7	12	89	0	73	0.008	27	0	97% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 80%
3. Albania	6	8	32	0	20	0.5	38	42	61% chance to qualify if they draw (or win) against Serbia; otherwise 8%
4. Serbia	6	7	25	0	7	0.4	34	58	52% chance to qualify if they win against Albania; otherwise 6%
5. Armenia	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	100