Thursday, October 8, 2015

Euro 16 group D, F, and I

Group D mpqual1st2ndbest 3rdplayoffoutComment
Germany91999.343480.0490qualified if they draw (or win) against Georgia; otherwise 89%
Poland9188832420250qualified if they draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 50%
Ireland91866249.50.03660qualified if they win against Poland; otherwise 56%
Scotland91200000100
Georgia9900000100
Gibraltar9000000100

Germany need a point against Georgia to clinch qualification. If that happens, Ireland and Poland play about the second spot. Ireland need to win or draw with 2-2 (or more). If Germany lose and Ireland and Poland draw, all three countries end on 19p. An table with only this teams looks like

Ireland6p
Poland5p
Germany4p

that is Ireland and Poland clinch qualification.


Group F mpqual1st2ndbest 3rdplayoffoutComment
Northern Ire9201005842000qualified
Romania917984251250qualified if they win against Faroe Islands; otherwise 86%
Hungary91678075637091% if Spain draw (or win) against Ukraine; otherwise 62%
Finland91100000100
Faroe Island9600000100
Greece9300000100






Northern Ireland have qualified. Romania and Hungary fight about the second spot. Romania play Faroe Island at home, and Hungary play Greece away. Romania need to take at least as many points as Hungary in last round. If Hungary draws and Romania lose, so both countries end with 17p, Hungary qualifies on more away goals in internal games. Romania and Hungary drew 1-1 in Romania and 0-0 in Hungary. If Hungary ends third, which is very likely, they are the favourites (55%) to be the best 3rd and thereby avoiding playoff


Group I mpqual1st2ndbest 3rdplayoffoutComment
Portugal7181001000000qualified
Denmark812870700300qualified if Portugal draw (or win) against Serbia; otherwise 50%
Serbia7105603005516qualified if they win against Portugal; otherwise 39%
Albania785000168423% if they win against Armenia; otherwise 0%
Armenia7200000100

Portugal qualified. Denmark and Serbia fight about the second spot while Albania fight with Serbia about third spot. Serbia play Portugal in last round while Albania play Armenia. Serbia clinch second spot if they win against Portugal. If they draw they clinch the playoff spot as they have better results against Albania. If they lose and Albania win, Albania grab the playoff ticket.

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