CL: Match Day 4

Group E
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
85%	4	8	7-3	Monaco	qualified if they draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 57%
79%	4	6	4-3	Leverkusen	qualified if they win against Monaco; otherwise 54%
31%	4	4	2-3	Tottenham	70% if they win against Monaco; otherwise 9.2%
5%	4	2	3-7	CSKA Moscow	13% if they draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 0%

 Monaco won against Moscow. In London Tottenham hosted Leverkusen and the Germans took a very important win giving them 80% chance while Tottenham only have 30% chance to survive the group.

Group F
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	4	10	11-3	Dortmund
98%	4	8	12-7	Real Madrid	qualified if they draw (or win) against Sporting; otherwise 89%
2%	4	3	4-5	Sporting	11% if they win against Real Madrid; otherwise 0%
0%	4	1	4-16	Legia

Dortmund won against Sporting, which means they have secured qualification. Real Madrid failed to beat Legia, but can secure qualification with a draw against Sporting in next match.

Group G Chance m p +/- Key 99.7% 4 10 5-0 Leicester qualified if they draw (or win) against Brugge; otherwise 98% 71% 4 7 4-3 Porto 94% if they draw (or win) against FC Kobenhavn; otherwise 31% 29% 4 5 5-2 FC Kobenhavn 70% if they win against Porto; otherwise 6% 0% 4 0 1-10 Brugge

 Leicester failed to win in Copenhagen and secure qualification. Porto
won against Brugge giving the some advantage against Kobenhavn.

Group H
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
96%	4	10	6-0	Sevilla	qualified if they draw (or win) against Lyon; otherwise 90%
98.8%	4	8	6-1	Juventus	qualified if they win against Dinamo Zagreb; otherwise 94%
5%	4	4	4-3	Lyon	14% if they win against Sevilla; otherwise 0%
0%	4	0	0-12	Dinamo Zagreb

Lyon grabbed their last chance with a late (85th) goal against
Juventus. Sevilla only need one more point to secure a spot in round
of last 16, while Juventus need a win to be certain.

Winner \ Runner-up Barc Leic Atle Sevi Arse Mona Real Dort Benf Napo Pari Juve Leve Baye Port Besi Tott Man FCK Glad PSV Rost Dyna CSKA Spor Lyon Celt Total Barcelon 2% 7% 4% 8% 4% 5% 9% 8% 6% 12% 8% 3% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 93% Leiceste 1% 3% 7% 4% 8% 8% 4% 5% 7% 8% 6% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 82% Atletico 2% 5% 3% 6% 3% 4% 7% 7% 5% 6% 3% 3% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 79% Sevilla 1% 4% 2% 5% 2% 3% 5% 4% 7% 5% 2% 2% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 60% Arsenal <1% 2% 4% 2% 5% 5% 2% 3% 5% 4% 7% 5% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 58% Monaco <1% 1% 2% 4% 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 5% 6% 4% 1% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 56% Real Mad 1% 4% 2% 2% 3% 5% 4% 3% 6% 4% 2% 2% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 56% Dortmund <1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 43% Benfica <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 1% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 43% Napoli <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 1% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 42% Paris SG <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 41% Juventus <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 4% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 39% Leverkus <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 36% Bayern <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 20% Porto <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 16% Besiktas <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 14% Tottenha <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% Man City <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% FC Koben <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% Gladbach <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% PSV <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% Rostov <1% <1% <1% Total 6% 16% 20% 35% 41% 30% 41% 56% 32% 37% 58% 59% 43% 77% 53% 26% 20% 91% 29% 1% 1% <1% 2% 6% 2% 5% <1%