CL: Match Day 6

Group A
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	15	12-3	Man United
100%	6	12	11-5	Basel
0%	6	9	8-10	CSKA Moskva
0%	6	0	1-14	Benfica

Basel scored an early goal giving them some space. CSKA did what they could and took the lead against Man U, but with two quick goals by Man U the hope was out for CSKA.

Group B
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	15	25-4	Paris SG
100%	6	15	13-6	Bayern
0%	6	3	5-18	Celtic
0%	6	3	2-17	Anderlecht

Group C
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	11	9-6	Roma
100%	6	11	15-8	Chelsea
0%	6	7	5-4	Atletico
0%	6	2	2-13	Qarabag

Atletico needed to win and for long they were only one goal from advancement as Roma's match was scoreless, but early in second half Roma took the lead and the group was decided.

Group D
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	14	9-1	Barcelona
100%	6	11	7-5	Juventus
0%	6	7	8-9	Sporting
0%	6	1	4-13	Olympiakos

Juventus took an early lead and killed Sporting's chances.

Here are the probabilities for possible matches in round of 16

Winner \ Runner-up	Live	Sevi	Spar	Baye	Shak	Napo	Juve	Port	RB L	Real	Base	Chel	Total
Man United		15%	1%	14%	12%	3%	18%	8%	6%	19%			100%
Paris SG	1%	10%	<1%		9%	2%	12%	6%	4%	13%	11%	26%	100%
Roma	2%	16%	1%	15%	12%			9%	6%	19%	16%		100%
Barcelona	2%		1%	13%	12%	2%		7%	5%		14%	40%	100%
Tottenham		15%	1%	15%	13%	3%	19%	9%	6%		15%		99%
Besiktas	1%	10%	1%	10%	9%	2%	13%			13%	11%	26%	100%
Man City		15%	1%	15%			18%	8%	6%	19%	15%		100%
Liverpool				12%	10%	2%	15%	7%	5%	15%	12%		80%
Sevilla				2%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	<1%		2%	4%	15%
Spartak Mosk				<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	4%
Total	7%	83%	8%	100%	82%	17%	99%	58%	41%	100%	100%	100%