CL: Match Day 6

Group E
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	12	23-6	Liverpool
100%	6	9	12-12	Sevilla
0%	6	6	9-13	Spartak Moskva
0%	6	3	3-16	Maribor

Spartak needed to win against Liverpool, so when Liverpool got a penalty in 4th minute and scored a 2nd goal in 15th minute the group was dead.

Group F
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	15	14-5	Man City
100%	6	12	9-9	Shakhtar
0%	6	6	11-11	Napoli
0%	6	3	5-14	Feyenoord

Napoli needed a win and that Man City won against Shakhtar. In the middle of first half Feyernord took the lead against Napoli and Shakhtar scored twice against Man City, Shakhtar had virtually clinched a place in last 16.

Group G
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	14	11-5	Besiktas
100%	6	10	15-10	Porto
0%	6	7	10-11	RB Leipzig
0%	6	2	6-16	Monaco

Porto needed to as many points as Leipzig. With an early goal by Porto and Besiktas took the lead against Leipzig the group was decided.

Group H
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	16	15-3	Tottenham
100%	6	13	17-7	Real Madrid
0%	6	2	6-13	Dortmund
0%	6	2	2-17	APOEL

Group H was already decided.

Here are the probability for different match-ups in last 16 stage:

Winner \ Runner-up	Baye	Shak	Juve	Sevi	Port	Real	Base	Chel	Total
Man United	14%	15%	18%	18%	14%	18%			100%
Paris SG		11%	12%	12%	10%	12%	11%	28%	100%
Roma	15%	15%		18%	15%	18%	15%		99%
Barcelona	13%	14%			13%		14%	43%	100%
Liverpool	15%	15%	18%		15%	18%	15%		100%
Besiktas	10%	11%	13%	12%		12%	11%	28%	100%
Tottenham	15%	16%	18%	18%	15%		15%		100%
Man City	14%		18%	18%	14%	18%	15%		100%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%