With first leg played 13 teams are still in the competition. Curves below show how each teams chance (to win the tournament) developed over the first 90 minutes. Most notably, Real's comeback against PSG, Barcelona's equalizer against Chelsea, and Tottenham's comeback against Juventus changed the chances significantly for Tottenham and Juventus.
The four favourites are still favourites Real increased their chances against PSG from 70% to 87%. Barcelona increased their chances slighly with their draw away (+3%). Man City and Bayern virtually secured advancement in first leg. Liverpool killed thei match in the first leg as well. Tottenham turned around 44% chance against Juventus to 64% with a 2-2 draw away. Shakhtar increased chances against Roma to 49% (+14%) with a 2-1 win at home. Sevilla increaed their chances slightly against Man United to 35% (+4%) with a 0-0 draw at home.
| Team | QF | Semi | Final | Champion |
| Real Madrid | 87% | 57% | 37% | 22% |
| Barcelona | 71% | 47% | 30% | 18% |
| Man City | 100% | 57% | 31% | 16% |
| Bayern | 100% | 54% | 27% | 13% |
| Liverpool | 100% | 42% | 16% | 6% |
| Tottenham | 64% | 30% | 13% | 6% |
| Man United | 65% | 30% | 13% | 6% |
| Juventus | 36% | 19% | 10% | 5% |
| Chelsea | 29% | 14% | 7% | 3% |
| Roma | 51% | 20% | 7% | 3% |
| Paris SG | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Shakhtar | 49% | 13% | 3% | <1% |
| Sevilla | 35% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Besiktas | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Porto | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Basel | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
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