World Cup: Group H

Group H is the most open and uncertain group (88%). Colombia and Poland are favourites, who meet in the second match. Any team can win against any team, and this group is likely still alive in the last match.

Group H

	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Last 16	Group Winner
Colombia	0	0	0	0	0	79%	52%
Poland	0	0	0	0	0	58%	26%
Senegal	0	0	0	0	0	37%	14%
Japan	0	0	0	0	0	26%	9%

uncertainty: 88%




Probability that teams advance to last 16 given different results in next matches:

Pol - Sen		Colombia - Japan
		3-0	3-1	2-0	3-2	2-1	1-0	0-0	1-1	2-2	3-3	0-1	1-2	2-3	0-2	1-3	0-3
3-0	Col	93%	91%	91%	88%	89%	87%	71%	69%	69%	73%	49%	46%	52%	39%	41%	36%
	Pol	87%	88%	86%	84%	86%	87%	84%	84%	83%	81%	80%	81%	77%	82%	79%	82%
	Sen	10%	10%	10%	11%	11%	11%	15%	16%	15%	15%	13%	13%	14%	13%	12%	16%
	Jap	10%	11%	12%	17%	14%	15%	30%	31%	32%	31%	58%	59%	57%	65%	68%	67%
3-1	Col	93%	92%	91%	87%	87%	87%	70%	70%	72%	70%	45%	48%	48%	36%	38%	32%
	Pol	85%	83%	84%	84%	83%	84%	81%	82%	79%	81%	79%	79%	75%	79%	78%	77%
	Sen	12%	12%	12%	13%	14%	14%	17%	16%	17%	16%	18%	16%	18%	17%	18%	18%
	Jap	10%	13%	12%	16%	16%	15%	32%	32%	33%	32%	58%	57%	59%	68%	66%	73%
2-0	Col	93%	91%	91%	89%	88%	87%	71%	70%	70%	73%	45%	48%	48%	39%	39%	38%
	Pol	84%	83%	84%	81%	82%	83%	80%	82%	82%	81%	79%	78%	76%	76%	79%	78%
	Sen	12%	12%	12%	14%	13%	14%	15%	16%	16%	15%	16%	15%	16%	18%	18%	15%
	Jap	11%	13%	13%	17%	17%	16%	34%	32%	31%	30%	60%	59%	61%	67%	65%	69%
3-2	Col	91%	89%	90%	87%	86%	86%	71%	70%	72%	70%	45%	44%	44%	35%	39%	31%
	Pol	81%	80%	80%	78%	80%	79%	79%	80%	76%	78%	75%	76%	73%	79%	76%	78%
	Sen	17%	18%	17%	18%	18%	19%	20%	19%	19%	17%	24%	22%	23%	23%	19%	22%
	Jap	11%	13%	13%	17%	16%	17%	29%	31%	33%	35%	57%	58%	60%	64%	66%	69%
2-1	Col	92%	91%	91%	87%	88%	86%	69%	71%	69%	73%	45%	47%	49%	39%	40%	36%
	Pol	80%	79%	80%	76%	77%	79%	81%	79%	80%	79%	75%	74%	68%	73%	73%	76%
	Sen	17%	17%	17%	18%	17%	18%	20%	19%	18%	17%	22%	20%	20%	21%	20%	17%
	Jap	11%	13%	13%	19%	18%	17%	30%	32%	34%	31%	58%	59%	62%	66%	67%	71%
1-0	Col	92%	91%	90%	88%	88%	87%	71%	71%	72%	69%	47%	48%	46%	40%	41%	37%
	Pol	80%	79%	78%	77%	77%	78%	78%	79%	77%	78%	75%	74%	71%	73%	74%	73%
	Sen	16%	16%	17%	15%	16%	18%	18%	18%	17%	19%	20%	19%	18%	20%	19%	17%
	Jap	12%	15%	15%	19%	19%	17%	33%	32%	34%	34%	58%	60%	65%	67%	66%	72%
0-0	Col	91%	90%	90%	88%	88%	89%	71%	72%	74%	74%	48%	48%	52%	42%	43%	42%
	Pol	54%	54%	55%	54%	54%	53%	52%	53%	50%	52%	49%	49%	49%	52%	48%	47%
	Sen	38%	38%	38%	39%	38%	39%	40%	39%	38%	38%	38%	37%	34%	39%	37%	38%
	Jap	17%	18%	17%	19%	20%	19%	37%	36%	38%	36%	66%	66%	66%	68%	72%	74%
1-1	Col	91%	91%	90%	88%	89%	88%	70%	70%	73%	71%	47%	47%	47%	42%	43%	41%
	Pol	54%	55%	54%	53%	53%	53%	54%	54%	51%	50%	51%	49%	52%	51%	50%	52%
	Sen	38%	38%	40%	39%	39%	40%	43%	40%	39%	41%	40%	37%	39%	40%	40%	36%
	Jap	17%	17%	17%	20%	19%	19%	33%	36%	37%	37%	63%	66%	63%	68%	67%	71%
2-2	Col	90%	90%	90%	88%	88%	88%	68%	69%	71%	73%	46%	47%	48%	42%	40%	42%
	Pol	54%	54%	54%	54%	54%	55%	56%	55%	52%	50%	52%	50%	52%	52%	53%	47%
	Sen	40%	39%	39%	39%	39%	40%	43%	43%	40%	38%	38%	40%	36%	38%	41%	43%
	Jap	16%	18%	17%	19%	18%	17%	32%	34%	36%	39%	65%	64%	64%	67%	67%	68%
3-3	Col	90%	91%	89%	87%	87%	86%	67%	70%	70%	74%	50%	45%	47%	41%	40%	41%
	Pol	51%	52%	55%	55%	56%	56%	56%	55%	51%	55%	51%	51%	48%	50%	53%	50%
	Sen	42%	39%	40%	40%	41%	42%	42%	42%	44%	38%	33%	40%	39%	40%	41%	36%
	Jap	17%	18%	16%	18%	16%	16%	34%	33%	35%	33%	66%	64%	66%	69%	66%	73%
0-1	Col	92%	90%	89%	87%	87%	86%	68%	70%	71%	70%	45%	50%	49%	44%	42%	43%
	Pol	25%	26%	27%	26%	26%	27%	26%	26%	26%	26%	29%	27%	28%	27%	29%	22%
	Sen	70%	68%	68%	65%	67%	68%	73%	70%	69%	69%	66%	61%	59%	64%	60%	63%
	Jap	13%	17%	16%	22%	20%	19%	34%	34%	35%	35%	59%	62%	63%	65%	69%	71%
1-2	Col	91%	89%	89%	86%	86%	85%	68%	69%	70%	73%	47%	48%	48%	40%	40%	36%
	Pol	27%	27%	28%	26%	27%	29%	27%	28%	26%	24%	29%	27%	28%	28%	27%	27%
	Sen	69%	68%	68%	66%	68%	68%	71%	70%	70%	69%	65%	65%	62%	64%	67%	65%
	Jap	13%	16%	15%	21%	19%	19%	33%	33%	33%	35%	59%	60%	63%	68%	66%	72%
2-3	Col	91%	90%	89%	85%	84%	84%	69%	68%	68%	70%	47%	48%	47%	41%	41%	34%
	Pol	26%	26%	27%	31%	27%	29%	26%	27%	28%	28%	29%	29%	29%	30%	27%	29%
	Sen	71%	68%	70%	65%	71%	70%	72%	71%	71%	71%	67%	66%	66%	65%	62%	63%
	Jap	12%	16%	14%	19%	18%	17%	33%	34%	33%	31%	57%	57%	58%	64%	70%	74%
0-2	Col	91%	90%	89%	87%	87%	87%	69%	69%	71%	69%	47%	47%	46%	44%	43%	37%
	Pol	21%	20%	20%	22%	21%	21%	23%	24%	22%	26%	25%	24%	26%	25%	22%	20%
	Sen	75%	74%	76%	73%	75%	74%	73%	74%	73%	72%	71%	68%	68%	67%	67%	69%
	Jap	14%	16%	14%	19%	18%	18%	35%	34%	34%	33%	58%	61%	61%	64%	68%	74%
1-3	Col	91%	89%	89%	87%	86%	86%	69%	70%	68%	73%	44%	47%	49%	39%	41%	35%
	Pol	20%	21%	21%	21%	22%	22%	23%	23%	26%	22%	26%	24%	23%	27%	24%	23%
	Sen	77%	74%	75%	71%	75%	74%	75%	74%	74%	70%	71%	69%	69%	69%	71%	69%
	Jap	12%	15%	15%	20%	17%	17%	33%	33%	33%	35%	59%	59%	59%	65%	65%	72%
0-3	Col	91%	89%	89%	86%	87%	88%	71%	70%	66%	68%	48%	47%	48%	39%	40%	42%
	Pol	17%	16%	17%	19%	17%	19%	23%	22%	23%	25%	21%	21%	20%	20%	21%	24%
	Sen	77%	81%	79%	79%	80%	77%	73%	75%	75%	77%	76%	74%	72%	72%	74%	68%
	Jap	14%	13%	14%	16%	16%	16%	33%	34%	36%	30%	55%	58%	60%	69%	66%	67%

Probability that teams win group given different results in next matches:

Pol - Sen		Colombia - Japan
		3-0	3-1	2-0	3-2	2-1	1-0	0-0	1-1	2-2	3-3	0-1	1-2	2-3	0-2	1-3	0-3
3-0	Col	62%	57%	56%	55%	54%	53%	35%	34%	33%	35%	16%	14%	18%	13%	11%	8%
	Pol	36%	40%	41%	42%	42%	43%	53%	54%	55%	52%	57%	57%	53%	60%	56%	56%
	Sen	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	< 1%	2%	2%
	Jap	< 1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	9%	9%	9%	9%	25%	27%	26%	26%	31%	33%
3-1	Col	64%	61%	58%	55%	55%	54%	34%	34%	36%	35%	16%	17%	16%	11%	14%	9%
	Pol	33%	35%	38%	40%	40%	41%	53%	53%	50%	51%	54%	54%	51%	53%	51%	50%
	Sen	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%
	Jap	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	10%	10%	9%	10%	26%	26%	30%	33%	31%	38%
2-0	Col	64%	61%	61%	56%	56%	54%	36%	36%	37%	36%	17%	17%	16%	14%	14%	12%
	Pol	33%	36%	36%	39%	39%	41%	50%	51%	51%	52%	55%	53%	52%	53%	51%	49%
	Sen	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	3%	3%	4%	3%
	Jap	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	11%	10%	9%	8%	25%	27%	29%	31%	31%	36%
3-2	Col	66%	61%	61%	58%	56%	58%	38%	35%	39%	33%	18%	17%	17%	13%	15%	10%
	Pol	30%	34%	34%	37%	37%	35%	47%	50%	44%	51%	49%	50%	47%	50%	51%	53%
	Sen	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	4%	6%	5%	7%	6%	6%	5%	8%	4%	3%	3%
	Jap	1%	2%	1%	2%	2%	3%	9%	10%	10%	11%	27%	28%	28%	32%	31%	34%
2-1	Col	65%	63%	63%	59%	60%	57%	34%	37%	36%	38%	18%	19%	19%	15%	15%	12%
	Pol	31%	32%	33%	34%	33%	36%	50%	48%	48%	48%	49%	47%	44%	45%	47%	47%
	Sen	3%	3%	3%	4%	4%	4%	6%	5%	5%	4%	5%	5%	6%	5%	5%	3%
	Jap	1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	10%	10%	11%	9%	27%	29%	31%	35%	33%	38%
1-0	Col	66%	65%	63%	61%	59%	58%	36%	37%	37%	37%	18%	19%	20%	15%	16%	13%
	Pol	30%	31%	32%	33%	34%	36%	48%	48%	47%	47%	48%	46%	44%	44%	47%	44%
	Sen	2%	3%	4%	3%	4%	4%	5%	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%	4%	3%
	Jap	1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	11%	10%	11%	10%	29%	30%	32%	36%	33%	39%
0-0	Col	71%	69%	70%	67%	67%	67%	47%	47%	50%	46%	24%	23%	27%	19%	21%	19%
	Pol	18%	19%	17%	18%	19%	18%	25%	25%	23%	24%	23%	22%	23%	25%	22%	23%
	Sen	10%	11%	11%	12%	11%	12%	16%	16%	15%	17%	15%	15%	13%	13%	14%	14%
	Jap	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	13%	13%	13%	13%	38%	40%	37%	43%	43%	43%
1-1	Col	71%	70%	69%	68%	67%	66%	43%	45%	47%	46%	24%	24%	24%	21%	20%	19%
	Pol	17%	17%	17%	18%	18%	19%	26%	26%	24%	24%	24%	23%	23%	23%	23%	23%
	Sen	10%	10%	11%	11%	11%	11%	18%	16%	16%	17%	16%	14%	16%	15%	15%	12%
	Jap	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	12%	13%	13%	12%	36%	39%	37%	41%	41%	45%
2-2	Col	70%	70%	69%	67%	67%	66%	43%	44%	46%	46%	23%	24%	24%	19%	20%	18%
	Pol	17%	17%	18%	18%	19%	20%	27%	26%	24%	22%	25%	23%	24%	25%	23%	24%
	Sen	11%	11%	11%	11%	11%	12%	19%	17%	17%	16%	15%	16%	15%	15%	16%	18%
	Jap	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	12%	12%	13%	17%	37%	37%	37%	41%	42%	40%
3-3	Col	73%	70%	66%	67%	66%	65%	43%	42%	43%	46%	28%	23%	21%	23%	20%	15%
	Pol	15%	17%	19%	19%	20%	18%	26%	27%	24%	28%	23%	26%	22%	24%	25%	27%
	Sen	10%	10%	13%	10%	11%	13%	17%	18%	21%	14%	12%	14%	14%	14%	18%	13%
	Jap	2%	2%	2%	4%	3%	3%	13%	12%	13%	13%	37%	37%	42%	38%	38%	45%
0-1	Col	72%	68%	69%	65%	65%	63%	39%	39%	40%	40%	19%	21%	22%	17%	15%	13%
	Pol	5%	6%	7%	8%	7%	8%	11%	11%	10%	12%	11%	9%	10%	8%	10%	7%
	Sen	22%	24%	23%	24%	26%	27%	39%	39%	39%	38%	38%	35%	32%	37%	34%	38%
	Jap	1%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	11%	11%	11%	10%	32%	35%	36%	37%	41%	42%
1-2	Col	71%	69%	67%	64%	63%	60%	39%	39%	39%	40%	20%	20%	20%	16%	16%	11%
	Pol	6%	6%	7%	8%	8%	8%	11%	12%	11%	11%	11%	10%	10%	9%	9%	7%
	Sen	22%	23%	24%	25%	26%	28%	40%	39%	38%	37%	37%	36%	34%	38%	37%	35%
	Jap	1%	2%	1%	3%	3%	3%	10%	10%	12%	12%	31%	34%	36%	37%	38%	46%
2-3	Col	71%	68%	66%	64%	60%	59%	36%	36%	37%	39%	22%	19%	18%	16%	16%	13%
	Pol	5%	7%	7%	8%	9%	10%	10%	11%	11%	12%	10%	11%	12%	8%	11%	7%
	Sen	22%	23%	25%	26%	28%	29%	42%	42%	41%	41%	39%	42%	40%	39%	35%	38%
	Jap	1%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	11%	12%	11%	9%	30%	28%	30%	37%	39%	41%
0-2	Col	69%	67%	67%	62%	61%	61%	38%	39%	39%	40%	18%	19%	17%	15%	14%	9%
	Pol	4%	4%	4%	5%	5%	5%	8%	8%	8%	10%	7%	7%	7%	7%	7%	7%
	Sen	26%	27%	27%	30%	31%	31%	43%	43%	43%	41%	44%	42%	44%	42%	39%	42%
	Jap	1%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	11%	10%	10%	9%	31%	32%	32%	37%	40%	43%
1-3	Col	69%	67%	66%	63%	61%	60%	39%	38%	35%	39%	17%	19%	20%	12%	12%	10%
	Pol	4%	5%	5%	5%	6%	6%	10%	8%	8%	8%	8%	8%	6%	8%	7%	3%
	Sen	26%	27%	29%	29%	31%	32%	43%	43%	46%	42%	43%	43%	43%	44%	42%	41%
	Jap	1%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	8%	10%	11%	11%	32%	30%	31%	37%	39%	45%
0-3	Col	66%	62%	63%	57%	60%	60%	38%	36%	35%	34%	17%	19%	15%	14%	12%	12%
	Pol	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%	7%	7%	6%	4%	7%	5%	6%	6%	5%	7%
	Sen	29%	33%	34%	37%	34%	34%	43%	45%	49%	53%	50%	46%	48%	42%	49%	40%
	Jap	2%	< 1%	1%	2%	2%	2%	11%	12%	10%	10%	27%	30%	30%	38%	33%	41%