CL: Match Day 6: Group E-H

Group E
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	14	15-5	Bayern
100%	6	12	11-5	Ajax
0%	6	7	6-11	Benfica
0%	6	0	2-13	AEK

Bayern managed to draw Ajax after both teams scoring twice last 10 minutes.

Group F
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	13	16-6	Man City
100%	6	8	12-11	Lyon
0%	6	6	8-16	Shakhtar
0%	6	3	11-14	Hoffenheim

Lyon needed a draw in Kiev (50%) to advance. With a goal by Shakhtar in 22nd minute that looked problematic and Shakhtar had 75% chance, which crashed down to 35% when Lyon equalised in 65th.

Group G
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	12	12-5	Real Madrid
100%	6	9	11-8	Roma
0%	6	7	7-16	Viktoria Plzen
0%	6	7	8-9	CSKA Moskva

Group H
Chance	m	p	+/-		Key
100%	6	12	9-4	Juventus
100%	6	10	7-4	Man United
0%	6	8	6-6	Valencia
0%	6	4	4-12	Young Boys

Both top teams lost and Juve could thereby keep the first spot.

Probability for different match-ups in next round. You can't play a team from your own league or from the same group, which means for example for Man City there are only four alternatives left.

Winner \ Runner-up	Tott	Lyon	Live	Ajax	Man	Roma	Atle	Scha	Total
Dortmund	17%	17%	17%	13%	17%	15%			100%
Porto	14%	14%	14%	11%	14%	13%	16%		100%
Paris SG	16%			13%	16%	15%	18%	18%	100%
Barcelona		17%	17%	13%	17%	16%		18%	100%
Real Madrid	17%	17%	17%	13%	17%			17%	100%
Bayern	16%	16%	16%		16%	15%	17%		100%
Man City				20%		23%	28%	27%	100%
Juventus	16%	16%	16%	13%			18%	18%	100%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%