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Netherlands and Germany big favorites to grab top 2 spots in group C. Northern Ireland took a must-win against Estonia at home to challenge the big two in the group.
| Group C | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Netherlands (P) | 1 | 3 | 98.9% | 61% | 96.9% | 100% | 99.5% if they win against Germany; otherwise 98% |
| Northern Ireland | 1 | 3 | 16% | 1.0% | 8% | 92% | 19% if they win against Belarus; otherwise 13% |
| Germany | 0 | 0 | 96.8% | 38% | 93% | >99.99% | 98.9% if they win against Netherlands; otherwise 96% |
| Estonia | 1 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Belarus (P) | 1 | 0 | 24% | < 1% | 1.6% | 100% |
As runner-up in the world cup, Croatia are favorites to win this group with Slovakia and Wales fifgting about the second spot. Slovakia started with a win against Hungary increasing their chances against Wales.
| Group E | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Slovakia | 1 | 3 | 66% | 16% | 55% | 99.81% | 79% if they draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 54% |
| Croatia | 1 | 3 | 95.8% | 69% | 91% | >99.99% | 98% if they win against Hungary; otherwise 93% |
| Wales | 0 | 0 | 63% | 14% | 48% | 99.97% | 75% if they win against Slovakia; otherwise 51% |
| Azerbaijan | 1 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Hungary | 1 | 0 | 14% | < 1% | 6% | 75% | 23% if they win against Croatia; otherwise 12% |
Poland and Austria are favorites in group G. In the very early group final Poland won away and now being favorites to win the group.
| Group G | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Macedonia (H) | 1 | 3 | 37% | 2.3% | 11% | 100% | 44% if they win against Slovenia; otherwise 35% |
| Poland | 1 | 3 | 94% | 69% | 91% | >99.99% | 95% if they win against Latvia; otherwise 88% |
| Slovenia | 1 | 1 | 15% | 3.3% | 15% | 15% | 20% if they win against Macedonia; otherwise 8% |
| Israel | 1 | 1 | 19% | 2.4% | 11% | 94% | 30% if they win against Austria; otherwise 14% |
| Austria | 1 | 0 | 80% | 23% | 72% | >99.99% | 88% if they win against Israel; otherwise 72% |
| Latvia | 1 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Kazakhstan took an important win against Scotland, while Belgium won the early group final away against Russia.
| Group I | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Cyprus | 1 | 3 | 2.0% | < 1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 7% if they win against Belgium; otherwise 2% |
| Kazakhstan | 1 | 3 | 1.5% | < 1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 8% if they win against Russia; otherwise 0.7% |
| Belgium (P) | 1 | 3 | 99.85% | 95% | 99.57% | 100% | |
| Russia | 1 | 0 | 77% | 3.6% | 68% | >99.99% | 81% if they win against Kazakhstan; otherwise 68% |
| Scotland (H) | 1 | 0 | 57% | 1.5% | 29% | 100% | 62% if Kazakhstan draw (or win) against Russia; otherwise 55% |
| San Marino (E) | 1 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated
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