PL: Arsenal lost against Everton

Expected Outcome

Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Liverpool	93.3	87-24	54.1	100
Man City	92.5	96-27	45.9	100
Tottenham	76.3	73-40	0	82.9
Arsenal	74.4	76-46	0	57.9
Chelsea	73.5	66-41	0	38.1
Man United	71.9	72-49	0	21.1

Tottenham have City (away) and Everton (home) left to play. If they win the other matches, i.e. take 12 of 18 points they have >90% to reach PL.

If Arsenal take 14 (of 18 points), they have >90% chance to reach CL.


If Chelsea take 12 (of 18 points), they have >50% chance to reach CL.

If Man United take 14 (of 18 points), they have >50% chance to reach CL.