Expected Outcome | |||||
Team | Points | Expected +/- | Champ% | Top4% | |
Man City | 92.5 | 96-27 | 55.2 | 100 | |
Liverpool | 92.4 | 86-24 | 44.8 | 100 | |
Tottenham | 76.3 | 73-40 | 0 | 79.7 | |
Arsenal | 75.9 | 78-47 | 0 | 71.1 | |
Chelsea | 73.5 | 66-41 | 0 | 32.1 | |
Man United | 71.9 | 72-49 | 0 | 17.2 |
City lead with one point in the title race but only 0.1 points in expected points. They have a slightly tougher schedule than Liverpool with both a Manchester derby away and Tottenham visiting.
Tottenham close to 80% chance to reach CL now. They have >90% of they take 13 points in the remaining six matches.
Arsenal have >90% if they take 14 points in the remaining seven matches.
Chelsea have >50% if they take 13 points in the remaining six matches.
Man United have >50% if they take 15 points in the remaining six matches.
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