PL: United lost against the Wolves

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Liverpool	92.4	86-24	47.5	100
Man City	92.2	97-27	52.5	100
Arsenal	75.9	78-47	0	74.4
Tottenham	75.7	74-41	0	76.3
Chelsea	72.9	66-42	0	29.4
Man United	71.9	72-49	0	20

United lost and their chances decreased to 20% (-14.5%). They need to take 15 points in the remaining six matches to have more than 50% chance.

Chelsea have more than 50% chance, if they take 16 (of 21) more points.

Tottenham have more than 90% chance, if they take 15 (of 21) more points.

Arsenal have more than 90% chance, if they take 14 (of 21) more points.