PL: Tottenham probably clinch top 4

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Liverpool	95.2	87-22	55.1	100
Man City	94.4	96-26	44.9	100
Tottenham	76.4	71-38	0	95.6
Arsenal	73.4	75-47	0	59.9
Chelsea	72.1	64-41	0	27.1
Man United	71.2	70-52	0	17.4

Tottenham won with a late winner against Brighton and now have a 95.6% chance to reach CL.

Tottenham
Point	Probability	Chance
79	27.8	100
77	24.3	100
76	21.2	100
75	6.8	95.4
74	11.5	92.7
73	5.33	76.3
72	1.53	47
71	1.25	30.3

Tottenham clinch top 4 if they finish with at least 76p (73%) and also 75 or 74 are likely (>90%) to suffice.

Arsenal
Point	Probability	Chance
78	8.57	100
76	14.2	99.6
75	15.9	86.4
74	8.52	84.3
73	19	57.1
72	12.5	29.5
71	7.21	19
70	7.92	4.81
69	3.67	1.16

If Arsenal finish on 73p they have a good chance (>50%).

Chelsea
Point	Probability	Chance
76	10.4	84.1
74	15.7	56.6
73	23.7	27.4
72	7.1	19.9
71	19.9	6.81
70	14.1	1.21

Chelsea probably need to take 74p to finish top 4.  

Man United
Point	Probability	Chance
76	6.88	83.3
74	12.2	52.4
73	16.8	21.1
72	7.63	12.1
71	19.9	3.5

Man United probably need to take 74p to finish top 4.