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| Group A | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| England (H) | 6 | 15 | >99.99% | 98.2% | 99.98% | 100% | |
| Czechia (P) | 6 | 12 | 92% | 1.5% | 89% | 100% | 98.2% if they draw (or win) against Kosovo; otherwise 51% |
| Kosovo (P) | 6 | 11 | 32% | < 1% | 12% | 100% | 75% if they win against Czechia; otherwise 25% |
| Montenegro (E) | 7 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Bulgaria (x) | 7 | 3 | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.98% | 13% if Switzerland draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 7% |
(P) Clinched playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
Kosovo play Czechia and England in November and likely need to win both to clinch qualification. Czechia play Kosovo and Bulgaria and 4 points will be sufficient, though only a draw against Kosovo will do it if they can trust England beat Kosovo. England can only miss qualification if they lose against Montenegro, lose with two goals against Kosovo, Czechia win against Bulgaria and Czechia and Kosovo draw.
| Group B | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Ukraine (Q) | 7 | 19 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Portugal (H) | 6 | 11 | 98.3% | < 1% | 94% | 100% | 99.5% if they win against Luxembourg; otherwise 88% |
| Serbia (P) | 6 | 10 | 37% | < 1% | 6% | 100% | 60% if Luxembourg draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 35% |
| Luxembourg (x) | 6 | 4 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 12% | 4% if Kosovo win against Czechia; otherwise 0.2% |
| Lithuania (E) | 7 | 1 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
Portugal have Lithuania and Luxembourg left. Two wins there will clinch qualification. Serbia have Luxembourg (home) and Ukraine (home) in the last match.
| Group H | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Turkey (P) | 8 | 19 | 99.12% | 62% | 98.8% | 100% | qualified if they win against Andorra; otherwise 91% |
| France (P) | 8 | 19 | >99.99% | 38% | 99.96% | 100% | |
| Iceland | 8 | 15 | 28% | < 1% | 1.3% | >99.99% | 29% if Switzerland draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 19% |
| Albania (E) | 8 | 12 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Andorra (E) | 8 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Moldova (E) | 8 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(E) Eliminated
Turkey clinch qualification if they win against Andorra or take a point against Iceland. France are playing Moldova and and Andorra and clinch qualification if they take at least two points or if Iceland do not win both remaining matches.
| League A | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Switzerland (H) | 75% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 98.9% if they win against Ireland; otherwise 74% | |
| B | Portugal (H) | 94% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 99.5% if they win against Luxembourg; otherwise 88% | |
| C | Netherlands (P) | 99.81% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | England (H) | 99.98% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Belgium (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | France (P) | 99.96% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Spain (P) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Italy (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Croatia (P) | 97.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | qualified if they draw (or win) against Slovakia; otherwise 94% | |
| G | Poland (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| C | Germany (P) | 99.58% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | qualified if they draw (or win) against Northern Ireland; otherwise 98.2% | |
| H | Iceland | 1.3% | 98.7% | 98.7% | 96.4% | 29% if Switzerland draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 19% | |
| League B | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| J | Bosnia/Herzeg (H) | 14% | 86% | 86% | 86% | 46% if they win against Greece; otherwise 30% | |
| B | Ukraine (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| D | Denmark (H) | 81% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 99.6% if Ireland draw (or win) against Switzerland; otherwise 87% | |
| F | Sweden (P) | 69% | 31% | 31% | 26% | 96% if they win against Spain; otherwise 76% | |
| I | Russia (P) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Austria (P) | 99.52% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.992% if they draw (or win) against Latvia; otherwise 96% | |
| E | Wales (P) | 38% | 62% | 53% | 44% | 73% if they win against Hungary; otherwise 32% | |
| A | Czechia (P) | 89% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 98.2% if they draw (or win) against Kosovo; otherwise 51% | |
| E | Slovakia | 43% | 57% | 48% | 31% | 90% if Wales draw against Hungary; otherwise 52% | |
| H | Turkey (P) | 98.8% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | qualified if they win against Andorra; otherwise 91% | |
| D | Ireland | 44% | 56% | 48% | 10% | qualified if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 49% | |
| C | Northern Ireland | < 1% | 99.35% | 86% | 10% | 20% if they win against Germany; otherwise 15% | |
| League C | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| I | Scotland (p) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||
| F | Norway (H) | 8% | 92% | 92% | 92% | 53% if they win against Romania; otherwise 31% | |
| B | Serbia (P) | 6% | 94% | 94% | 8% | 60% if Luxembourg draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 35% | |
| J | Finland (P) | 83% | 17% | 17% | < 1% | 94% if they win against Armenia; otherwise 70% | |
| A | Bulgaria (x) | < 1% | 99.98% | 30% | 29% | 13% if Switzerland draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 7% | |
| G | Israel | < 1% | 99.09% | 29% | 8% | 12% if Switzerland win against Ireland; otherwise 8% | |
| E | Hungary | 22% | 75% | 20% | < 1% | qualified if they win against Wales; otherwise 19% | |
| F | Romania | 23% | 66% | 18% | < 1% | 46% if they draw (or win) against Norway; otherwise 23% | |
| J | Greece | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Albania (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | Montenegro (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Cyprus | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| C | Estonia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Slovenia | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| B | Lithuania (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| League D | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Georgia (p) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 40% if Kosovo win against Czechia; otherwise 33% | |
| G | North Macedonia (H) | < 1% | 99.64% | 99.64% | 99.64% | ||
| A | Kosovo (P) | 12% | 88% | 88% | < 1% | 75% if they win against Czechia; otherwise 25% | |
| C | Belarus (h) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | ||
| B | Luxembourg (x) | < 1% | 12% | 12% | < 1% | 4% if Kosovo win against Czechia; otherwise 0.2% | |
| J | Armenia | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 19% if they win against Finland; otherwise 0.2% | |
| F | Faroe Islands (x) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Andorra (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Moldova (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Azerbaijan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| D | Gibraltar (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Kazakhstan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Latvia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Liechtenstein (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Malta (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | San Marino (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(h) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched playoff
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
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