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| Group D | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Ireland | 7 | 12 | 47% | 3.0% | 31% | >99.99% | 94% if they win against Denmark; otherwise 23% |
| Denmark (H) | 6 | 12 | 87% | 47% | 72% | 100% | 99.98% if they draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 60% |
| Switzerland (H) | 6 | 11 | 98.9% | 50% | 97.1% | 100% | 99.7% if they draw (or win) against Georgia; otherwise 87% |
| Georgia (p) | 7 | 8 | 34% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 40% if Kosovo win against Czechia; otherwise 33% |
| Gibraltar (E) | 6 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(E) Eliminated
Denmark play Gibraltar next round followed by Ireland. Regardless the result in the first match a draw against Ireland will suffice to clinch qualification. A win for Ireland will suffice unless three teams finish on 15 points, in other words, if Denmark beat Gibraltar and Switzerland take four points against Gibraltar and Georgia, in which case goal difference in internal matches will decide where Ireland currently have -2 while Denmark and Switzerland have +1. This in that case, Ireland need to win with two goals against Denmark.
Switzerland clinch qualification if they take four points; fewer point will suffice if Ireland fail to win against Denmark.
| Group F | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Spain (Q) | 8 | 20 | 100% | 99.98% | 100% | 100% | |
| Sweden (P) | 8 | 15 | 94% | < 1% | 90% | 100% | 99.6% if they draw (or win) against Romania; otherwise 86% |
| Romania | 8 | 14 | 32% | < 1% | 9% | 89% | 51% if they draw (or win) against Spain; otherwise 27% |
| Norway (H) | 8 | 11 | 31% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Faroe Islands (E) | 8 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Malta (E) | 8 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated
Spain have clinched qualification. The next slot probably stands between Sweden and Romania, who play next match (in Romania). Sweden clinch qualification if they win that match. With a draw they need to beat Faroe Islands in the last match to be secure. Romania clinch qualifications if they beat Sweden and Spain in Madrid. If they beat Sweden and draw Spain while Sweden beat Faroe Islands both teams finish on 18 points and internal matches decide, where Sweden won the first match in Stockholm with 2-1.
Norway need to beat Faroe Islands and Malta; they need a draw between Romania and Sweden, that Spain take at least a point agsint Romania and that Faroe Islands beat Sweden.
| Group J | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Italy (Q) | 8 | 24 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Finland (P) | 8 | 15 | 99.44% | < 1% | 99.32% | 100% | qualified if they win against Liechtenstein; otherwise 93% |
| Armenia | 8 | 10 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Bosnia/Herzeg (H) | 8 | 10 | 27% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 29% if Denmark draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 23% |
| Greece (E) | 8 | 8 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Liechtenstein (E) | 8 | 2 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated
Italy have clinched qualification. Finland need at least two points in reaming two matches against Liechtenstein and Greece.
| League A | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Switzerland (H) | 97.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 99.7% if they draw (or win) against Georgia; otherwise 87% | |
| B | Portugal (H) | 94% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 99.6% if they win against Luxembourg; otherwise 90% | |
| C | Netherlands (P) | 99.81% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | England (P) | 99.98% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Belgium (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | France (H) | 99.96% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Spain (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Italy (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Croatia (P) | 97.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | qualified if they draw (or win) against Slovakia; otherwise 94% | |
| G | Poland (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| C | Germany (P) | 99.58% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | qualified if they draw (or win) against Northern Ireland; otherwise 98.3% | |
| H | Iceland (P) | 1.3% | 98.7% | 98.7% | 98.3% | 39% if Andorra draw (or win) against Turkey; otherwise 29% | |
| League B | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| J | Bosnia/Herzeg (H) | < 1% | 99.33% | 99.33% | 99.33% | 29% if Denmark draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 23% | |
| B | Ukraine (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| D | Denmark (H) | 72% | 28% | 28% | 28% | 99.98% if they draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 60% | |
| F | Sweden (P) | 90% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 99.6% if they draw (or win) against Romania; otherwise 86% | |
| I | Russia (P) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Austria (P) | 99.49% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.991% if they draw (or win) against Latvia; otherwise 95% | |
| E | Wales (P) | 37% | 63% | 53% | 45% | 73% if they win against Hungary; otherwise 32% | |
| A | Czechia (P) | 89% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 98.2% if they draw (or win) against Kosovo; otherwise 52% | |
| E | Slovakia (P) | 43% | 57% | 49% | 32% | 90% if Wales draw against Hungary; otherwise 52% | |
| H | Turkey (P) | 98.8% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | qualified if they win against Andorra; otherwise 91% | |
| D | Ireland | 31% | 69% | 62% | 6% | 94% if they win against Denmark; otherwise 23% | |
| C | Northern Ireland | < 1% | 99.38% | 88% | 8% | 20% if they win against Germany; otherwise 15% | |
| League C | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| I | Scotland (p) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||
| F | Norway (H) | < 1% | 99.73% | 99.73% | 99.73% | ||
| B | Serbia (P) | 6% | 94% | 94% | < 1% | 60% if Luxembourg draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 33% | |
| J | Finland (P) | 99.32% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | qualified if they win against Liechtenstein; otherwise 93% | |
| A | Bulgaria (x) | < 1% | >99.99% | 31% | 42% | 16% if Wales draw (or win) against Hungary; otherwise 9% | |
| G | Israel | < 1% | 99.69% | 31% | 14% | 13% if Wales draw (or win) against Hungary; otherwise 9% | |
| E | Hungary | 22% | 77% | 22% | < 1% | qualified if they win against Wales; otherwise 21% | |
| F | Romania | 9% | 80% | 23% | < 1% | 51% if they draw (or win) against Spain; otherwise 27% | |
| J | Greece (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Albania (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | Montenegro (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Cyprus | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| C | Estonia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Slovenia | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| B | Lithuania (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| League D | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Georgia (p) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 40% if Kosovo win against Czechia; otherwise 33% | |
| G | North Macedonia (H) | < 1% | 99.63% | 99.63% | 99.63% | ||
| A | Kosovo (P) | 11% | 89% | 89% | < 1% | 75% if they win against Czechia; otherwise 25% | |
| C | Belarus (h) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | ||
| B | Luxembourg (x) | < 1% | 12% | 12% | < 1% | 4% if Kosovo win against Czechia; otherwise 0.2% | |
| J | Armenia | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Faroe Islands (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Andorra (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Moldova (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Azerbaijan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| D | Gibraltar (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Kazakhstan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Latvia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Liechtenstein (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Malta (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | San Marino (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(h) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched playoff
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
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