Euro 20: Who qualify from the last round?

With one round to play 16 countries have qualified for Euro 20. Eight countries in three groups are fighting about the remaining four slot in the finals. All eight countries have secured a place in the playoff if they fail qualifying directly.

Group B	Pld	Pts	Qual	1st	Top 2	Atleast Playoff	Comment
Ukraine (Q)	7	19	100%	100%	100%	100%
Portugal (H)	7	14	98.8%	< 1%	95%	100%	qualified if they win against Luxembourg; otherwise 89%
Serbia (P)	7	13	35%	< 1%	5%	100%	62% if Luxembourg draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 32%
Luxembourg (E)	7	4	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Lithuania (E)	8	1	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

(Q) Clinched qualification
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated

Portugal clinch qualification if they win against Luxembourg. Serbia need to win against Ukraine and hope that Luxembourg can steal a point against Portugal. The third placed coutry in the group will play in the play-off.

Group D	Pld	Pts	Qual	1st	Top 2	Atleast Playoff	Comment
Denmark (H)	7	15	85%	44%	68%	100%	qualified if they draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 55%
Switzerland (H)	7	14	99.80%	56%	99.46%	100%	qualified if they draw (or win) against Gibraltar; otherwise 87%
Ireland (P)	7	12	47%	< 1%	33%	100%	98.1% if they win against Denmark; otherwise 22%
Georgia (p)	8	8	33%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
Gibraltar (E)	7	0	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(E) Eliminated

Switzerland need to take a point against Gibraltar to clinch qualification. Denmark and Ireland will play and deciding match in Ireland on Monday. Denmark need a point to take the second slot. If Switzerland unlikey draw Gibraltar, then Denmark can lose with one goal against Ireland and still finish top 2 as it's then head-to-head between the top 3 countries in which all countries would have 5 points and goal difference decides.

Group E	Pld	Pts	Qual	1st	Top 2	Atleast Playoff	Comment
Croatia (Q)	8	17	100%	100%	100%	100%
Hungary (P)	7	12	36%	< 1%	21%	100%	qualified if they win against Wales; otherwise 22%
Wales (P)	7	11	74%	< 1%	62%	100%	qualified if they win against Hungary; otherwise 31%
Slovakia (P)	7	10	41%	< 1%	17%	100%	88% if Wales draw against Hungary; otherwise 29%
Azerbaijan (E)	7	1	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

(Q) Clinched qualification
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated

In the last round Slovakia host Azerbaijan while Wales host Hungary. Regardless of the match in Slovakia, if there is a winner between Wales and Hungary, that country clinch the second slot. If there is a draw in Wales and Slovakia beat Azerbaijan, both Hungary and Slovakia finish on 13 points and Slovakia have better head-to-head against Hungary. So in summary it means

Wales qualify if they win against Hungary (62%).
Hungary qualify if they win against Wales or Slovakia fail to win against Azerbaijan (21%).
Slovakia qualify if they beat Azerbaijan and Wales and Hungary draw (17%).