CL: Round of 16: Predictions after leg 1

The plot below shows how the chances have evolved over the first 90 minutesm Liverpools chances declined from 35% to 24%, while Man City now are 2nd favourites after turning around their match in Madrid.

Here are the predicted chances different teams reach the different stages.

Team	QF	Semi	Final	Champions
Liverpool	58%	46%	35%	24%
Man City	87%	58%	35%	19%
Bayern	99%	59%	32%	16%
Barcelona	81%	51%	30%	16%
Juventus	55%	27%	12%	5%
Paris SG	48%	24%	10%	4%
Atletico	42%	19%	8%	3%
RB Leipzig	74%	28%	9%	3%
Dortmund	52%	21%	7%	2%
Atalanta	88%	29%	8%	2%
Real Madrid	13%	7%	4%	2%
Tottenham	26%	11%	4%	1%
Napoli	19%	6%	2%	< 1%
Valencia	12%	4%	1%	< 1%
Lyon	45%	10%	2%	< 1%
Chelsea	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%