After winning the FA-cup semifinal, Arsenal have 65% chance to reach EL.
Today we have a match that is key both for CL and EL qualifications. Tottenham host Leicester, a match Leicester need to win to stay ahead of the deciding match against Man United in the last round and thereby only needing a draw. Tottenham need also points they can get in their race for EL. A win today would mean 76% chance.
Premier League
| Team | Pld | GD | Pts | average GD | average Pts | CL | EL | Contract |
| 1. Liverpool | 36 | +48 | 93 | +51.1 | 97.6 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 2. Man City | 36 | +58 | 75 | +61.5 | 79.7 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3. Chelsea | 36 | +15 | 63 | +14.1 | 65.4 | 76% | 100% | 100% |
| 4. Leicester | 36 | +31 | 62 | +31.1 | 64.8 | 68% | 100% | 100% |
| 5. Man United | 36 | +28 | 62 | +28.4 | 65 | 57% | 100% | 100% |
| 6. Wolves | 36 | +11 | 56 | +10.9 | 58.7 | < 1% | 61% | 100% |
| 7. Tottenham | 36 | +11 | 55 | +11.7 | 58.2 | < 1% | 55% | 100% |
| 8. Sheffield United | 36 | +3 | 54 | +2.81 | 56.6 | < 1% | 17% | 100% |
| 9. Burnley | 37 | -6 | 54 | -5.25 | 55.9 | < 1% | 2.6% | 100% |
| 10. Arsenal | 36 | +8 | 53 | +9.5 | 56.7 | < 1% | 65% | 100% |
| 11. Everton | 36 | -11 | 46 | -10.2 | 49.2 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 12. Southampton | 36 | -13 | 46 | -12.8 | 48.9 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 13. Newcastle | 36 | -18 | 43 | -19.6 | 44.8 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 14. Crystal Palace | 36 | -17 | 42 | -17.9 | 44.2 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 15. West Ham | 36 | -13 | 37 | -13.3 | 39.6 | < 1% | < 1% | >99.99% |
| 16. Brighton | 36 | -16 | 37 | -16.6 | 39.4 | < 1% | < 1% | 99.95% |
| 17. Watford | 36 | -23 | 34 | -25.2 | 35.5 | < 1% | < 1% | 63% |
| 18. Bournemouth | 36 | -25 | 31 | -25.8 | 33.3 | < 1% | < 1% | 23% |
| 19. Aston Villa | 36 | -27 | 31 | -28.2 | 33 | < 1% | < 1% | 13% |
| 20. Norwich | 37 | -44 | 21 | -46.4 | 21.3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications |
| Chelsea have 97.2% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 46.2% |
| Man United have 77.6% chance if Wolves draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 41.2% |
| Man United have 68.5% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 37.7% |
| Leicester have 87% chance if they win against Tottenham; otherwise 60.9% |
| Chelsea have 99.2% chance if they win against Liverpool; otherwise 72.8% |
| Chelsea have 87.5% chance if West Ham draw (or win) against Man United; otherwise 68.1% |
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| The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications |
| Wolves have 80.5% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 36.9% |
| Tottenham have 75.8% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 33.1% |
| Sheffield United have 32.8% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 4.78% |
| Wolves have 80.1% chance if they draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 46.8% |
| Arsenal have 78% chance if they win against Aston Villa; otherwise 53.3% |
| Tottenham have 66.9% chance if Crystal Palace draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 44.8% |
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| The Most Important Events for New Contract |
| Bournemouth have 44.1% chance if they win against Southampton; otherwise 7.55% |
| Watford have 84.7% chance if they draw (or win) against Man City; otherwise 50% |
| Aston Villa have 32.6% chance if they win against Arsenal; otherwise 4.95% |
| Watford have 76.3% chance if Southampton draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 46.5% |
| Bournemouth have 32% chance if Man City win against Watford; otherwise 9.92% |
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