EL: Matchday 4

 Roma, Arsenal, Leicester, and Hoffenheim have clinched a spot in last 32. The following team can clinch a spot next week

• Young Boys clinch if take point against Roma and Sofia beat Cluj
• Leverkusen clinch if the take point against Nice
• Slavia Praha clinch if they take point against Beer-Sheva
• Benfica clinch if they beat Lech
• Rangers clinch if they take point against Standard and Benfica take point against Lech
• PSV clinch if they beat Granada and Omonia beat PAOK
• Granada clinch if they beat PSV and Omonia take point against PAOK
• Sociedad clinch if they beat Rijeka and Napoli beat Alkmaar
• Napoli clinch if they beat Alkmaar and Rijeka take point against Sociedad
• Alkmaar clinch if they beat Napoli and Rijeka take point against Sociedad
• Braga clinch if they take point against AEK and Leicester take point against Zorya
• Lille clinch if they beat Sparta Praha
• Milan clinch if they beat Celtic and Lille beat Sparta Praha
• Villareal clinch if take point against Sivasspor or Karan=bakh Agdam take point against M Tel Aviv
• M Tel Aviv clinch if they beat Karabakh Agdam and Villareal beat Sivasspor
• Antwerp clinch if they take point against Razgrad and Tottenham take point against LASK
• Tottenham clinch if they take point against LASK
  
• Feyernoord clinch if they beat Zagreb and Moskva take point against Wolfsberg
•  Crvena Zvevda clinch if they take point against Hoffenheim or Gent take point against Slovan Liberec
  

Most open group at the moment is Group F with Napoli (9p), Sociedad (7p) and Alkmaar (7p). Alkmaar play Napoli at home while Sociedad play host Rijeka (0p). If Sociedad win, Alkmaar need to steal a point in Napels, since Socidead have better head-to-head results against Alkmaar.

 

		Chance in Group		Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	2nd	1st	Last 32	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
J	Tottenham	16%	80%	96.1%	72%	47%	30%	18%	10%
B	Arsenal	< 1%	99.89%	100%	75%	48%	29%	17%	9%
	Paris SG			37%	28%	21%	15%	10%	7%
G	Leicester	2.8%	97.2%	100%	71%	42%	24%	12%	6%
C	Leverkusen	29%	71%	99.97%	68%	40%	22%	12%	6%
H	Milan	55%	37%	92%	59%	36%	20%	11%	5%
I	Villarreal	2.3%	97.7%	>99.99%	70%	40%	21%	11%	5%
	RB Leipzig			49%	34%	23%	14%	9%	4.8%
	Atletico			24%	19%	14%	10%	7%	4.2%
A	Roma	7%	93%	100%	67%	36%	18%	9%	3.9%
	Atalanta			46%	31%	20%	12%	7%	3.5%
L	Hoffenheim	5%	95%	100%	65%	34%	16%	7%	3.3%
F	Sociedad	48%	28%	76%	46%	26%	14%	7%	3.3%
F	Napoli	23%	59%	82%	52%	28%	14%	7%	3.1%
	Inter			35%	25%	16%	10%	6%	3.1%
E	Granada	10%	88%	98.0%	63%	32%	15%	7%	3.0%
D	Benfica	33%	65%	98.8%	58%	30%	14%	6%	2.8%
	Real Madrid			10%	8%	6%	4.5%	3.2%	2.0%
	Ajax			52%	31%	17%	9%	4.2%	2.0%
	Salzburg			41%	26%	15%	8%	3.9%	1.9%
	Shakhtar			40%	24%	14%	7%	3.5%	1.7%
	Man United			11%	8%	6%	3.9%	2.5%	1.5%
H	Lille	34%	59%	94%	49%	22%	9%	3.4%	1.3%
	Olympiakos			87%	44%	20%	8%	3.2%	1.2%
D	Rangers	64%	34%	97.7%	42%	17%	6%	2.0%	< 1%
	Gladbach			15%	9%	5%	2.6%	1.3%	< 1%
	Liverpool			1.6%	1.4%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Brugge			66%	29%	12%	4.1%	1.3%	< 1%
E	PSV	58%	8%	66%	25%	9%	3.2%	1.0%	< 1%
	Rennes			58%	25%	10%	3.3%	1.0%	< 1%
K	Dinamo Zagreb	20%	71%	92%	39%	13%	3.9%	1.0%	< 1%
	Dynamo Kyiv			71%	28%	10%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%
	Lazio			12%	7%	3.2%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Braga	92%	2.8%	95%	30%	10%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Slavia Praha	69%	29%	97.1%	33%	10%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%
	Zenit			22%	10%	4.1%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Young Boys	71%	7%	77%	25%	8%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Alkmaar	29%	13%	42%	14%	4.6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
	Marseille			12%	5%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Rapid Wien	55%	< 1%	55%	16%	5.0%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
K	Feyenoord	38%	21%	59%	19%	5%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
J	Antwerp	73%	19%	92%	24%	6%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
J	LASK	11%	1.0%	12%	4.6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Dortmund			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
L	Crvena Zvezda	95%	5%	99.95%	23%	5%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
I	M Tel Aviv	85%	1.8%	87%	20%	5.0%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	PAOK	30%	3.6%	34%	10%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Porto			1.9%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Lok Moskva			35%	11%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
K	CSKA Moskva	13%	5%	18%	6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	CFR Cluj	23%	< 1%	23%	6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	FC Krasnodar			42%	12%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
K	Wolfsberg	29%	3.0%	32%	8%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Molde	45%	< 1%	45%	9%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Ferencvaros			29%	8%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	AEK	2.0%	< 1%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Sparta Praha	11%	3.5%	14%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Bueyueksehir			3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Standard	1.9%	< 1%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Zorya	3.2%	< 1%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
I	Sivasspor	13%	< 1%	13%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Nice	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Lech	1.1%	< 1%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Omonia	2.4%	< 1%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Beer-Sheva	2.9%	< 1%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
L	Slovan Liberec	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

CL: Matchday 4

Group A

Bayern have clinched a spot in last 16.

Atletico clinch a spot if the win against Bayern and Moskva fail to win against Salzburg.

Group B

Real clinch spot in last 16 if they win against Shakhtar

Gladbach clinch spot if they take a point against Inter and Real take a point against Shakhtar

Group C

Man City have clinched a spot in last 16

Porto clinch a spot if Olympiakos fail to win against Marseille

Group D

Liverpool clinch spot in last 16 if they take a point against Ajax

Group E

Sevilla and Chelsea have clinched spot in last 16

Group F

Dortmund clinch spot in last 16 if they take a point against Lazio or Zenit take a point against Brugge

Lazio clinch spot in last 16 if they they beat Dortmund or Zenit beat Brugge

Group G

Barcelona and Juventus have clinched a spot in last 16

Group H

Man United clinch a spot in last 16 if they take a point against PSG

 

		Chance in Group			Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champ
A	Bayern	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	81%	58%	41%	26%
D	Liverpool	1.6%	12%	87%	98.4%	73%	48%	30%	17%
C	Man City	< 1%	4.5%	95.5%	100%	72%	45%	26%	14%
G	Barcelona	< 1%	6%	94%	100%	70%	40%	22%	11%
B	Real Madrid	10%	31%	58%	89%	54%	29%	14%	6%
A	Atletico	24%	75%	< 1%	75%	39%	20%	9%	4.1%
H	Man United	11%	19%	69%	89%	49%	22%	9%	3.6%
H	Paris SG	37%	40%	22%	62%	32%	16%	8%	3.4%
E	Chelsea	< 1%	51%	49%	100%	48%	21%	8%	3.0%
E	Sevilla	< 1%	49%	51%	100%	48%	20%	7%	2.8%
F	Dortmund	< 1%	24%	75%	99.37%	47%	19%	7%	2.6%
G	Juventus	< 1%	94%	6%	100%	38%	16%	6%	2.1%
H	RB Leipzig	49%	40%	9%	49%	19%	8%	3.0%	1.1%
D	Atalanta	46%	47%	7%	54%	20%	7%	2.5%	< 1%
B	Gladbach	15%	46%	39%	85%	30%	9%	2.5%	< 1%
C	Porto	1.9%	94%	4.5%	98.1%	25%	7%	1.6%	< 1%
D	Ajax	52%	42%	6%	48%	15%	4.5%	1.2%	< 1%
F	Lazio	12%	64%	25%	88%	23%	6%	1.3%	< 1%
B	Inter	35%	13%	< 1%	13%	4.5%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Salzburg	41%	15%	< 1%	15%	4.9%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Shakhtar	40%	10%	3.3%	13%	4.1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Brugge	66%	12%	< 1%	12%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Olympiakos	87%	1.9%	< 1%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Lok Moskva	35%	10%	< 1%	10%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Bueyueksehir	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Dynamo Kyiv	71%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Rennes	58%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	FC Krasnodar	42%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Ferencvaros	29%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Zenit	21%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Marseille	11%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Midtjylland	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

PL: Predictions after matchweek 9

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
20	Liverpool	81.4	+41	< 1%	99.92%	99.78%	99.41%	98.5%	69%
12	Man City	74.9	+36	< 1%	98.8%	97.5%	95%	90%	21%
20	Tottenham	67.6	+24	< 1%	89%	81%	70%	56%	3.9%
18	Chelsea	66.9	+26	< 1%	87%	79%	68%	53%	3.2%
13	Man United	64.2	+15	< 1%	75%	64%	50%	34%	1.4%
18	Leicester	63.0	+14	< 1%	70%	57%	43%	28%	< 1%
13	Arsenal	60.6	+11	< 1%	56%	43%	29%	18%	< 1%
17	Southampton	56.9	+3	< 1%	33%	22%	13%	7%	< 1%
14	Wolves	56.7	+3	< 1%	32%	21%	13%	7%	< 1%
16	Everton	55.8	+2	< 1%	28%	18%	10%	5%	< 1%
14	West Ham	53.4	+4	< 1%	19%	11%	6%	2.9%	< 1%
13	Crystal Palace	47.4	-11	3.9%	3.7%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Newcastle	47.0	-12	4.7%	3.2%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	Aston Villa	46.7	-9	4.9%	3.5%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Leeds	44.1	-15	10%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
8	Brighton	41.9	-16	17%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
5	Burnley	40.4	-19	23%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
1	Sheffield United	33.7	-24	63%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
2	West Brom	29.7	-37	84%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
4	Fulham	28.7	-36	88%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

PL: Predictions after matchweek 8

Predictions after matchweek 8

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
17	Liverpool	80.7	+40	< 1%	99.88%	99.69%	99.23%	98.1%	62%
12	Man City	76.3	+38	< 1%	99.28%	98.4%	96.7%	93%	29%
17	Tottenham	65.9	+22	< 1%	83%	74%	63%	48%	2.7%
15	Chelsea	65.5	+25	< 1%	82%	73%	61%	46%	2.3%
10	Man United	63.6	+16	< 1%	74%	62%	49%	34%	1.3%
18	Leicester	63.6	+16	< 1%	73%	62%	48%	34%	1.3%
12	Arsenal	61.1	+11	< 1%	60%	47%	34%	22%	< 1%
13	Wolves	57.5	+3	< 1%	38%	27%	17%	9%	< 1%
16	Southampton	56.8	+2	< 1%	34%	23%	15%	8%	< 1%
13	Everton	54.4	+1	< 1%	23%	15%	9%	4.3%	< 1%
11	West Ham	51.7	+2	1.2%	14%	8%	4.5%	2.1%	< 1%
13	Crystal Palace	48.5	-10	3.3%	5%	2.9%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
12	Aston Villa	48.5	-8	3.4%	6%	3.4%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Newcastle	48.2	-11	3.6%	5%	2.7%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
10	Leeds	44.3	-16	10%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
5	Brighton	39.9	-17	26%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
2	Burnley	39.0	-19	31%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
1	Sheffield United	35.2	-22	54%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
2	West Brom	30.1	-38	83%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
4	Fulham	29.8	-36	84%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

EL: Predictions after Matchday 3

The following teams have the chance to clinch a spot in the last 32 in the next match.

• Roma clinch last 32 spot if they beat Cluj and Sofia fail to beat Young Boys
• Arsenal clinch last 32 spot if they beat Molde
• Benfica clinch last 32 spot if they beat Rangers Lech fail to beat Standard
• Rangers clinch last 32 spot if they beat Benfica and Lech fail to beat Standard
• Granada clinch last 32 spot if they beat Omonia and PAOK beat PSV
• Leicester clinch last 32 spot if they beat Braga
• Lille clinch last 32 spot if they beat Milan
• Villareal clinch last 32 spot if they take a point against M Tel Aviv and Karabakh Agdam take a point against Sivasspor
• Hoffenheim clinch last 32 spot if they take a point against Slovan Liberec

 Besides that, there are a couple of important matches.

• In Group J, LASK and Antwerp play each other in a match, which might decide who is joining Tottenham to the last 32. If LASK win they have 96%;, otherwise 44%. If Antwerp win they have 88%, otherwise 19%.
• In Group F, Sociedad has 90% chance if they take a point against Alkmaar, otherwise only 32%.
• In Group C, Nice needs to win against Slavia Praha. If they do they have 54%, otherwise 5%.
  

		Chance in Group		Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	2nd	1st	Last 32	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
	Paris SG			53%	41%	30%	22%	15%	9%
J	Tottenham	22%	70%	93%	68%	45%	28%	17%	9%
B	Arsenal	3.2%	96.7%	99.80%	74%	47%	29%	16%	9%
G	Leicester	8%	91%	99.44%	70%	42%	23%	12%	6%
C	Leverkusen	19%	76%	95%	65%	38%	21%	11%	6%
H	Milan	53%	41%	95%	62%	37%	21%	11%	5%
I	Villarreal	5%	95%	99.96%	69%	39%	21%	11%	5%
	Real Madrid			20%	16%	12%	9%	6%	4.1%
	Atalanta			53%	36%	23%	13%	7%	3.9%
A	Roma	11%	86%	97.0%	64%	35%	17%	8%	3.7%
L	Hoffenheim	5%	94%	99.91%	64%	34%	16%	7%	3.2%
F	Sociedad	40%	32%	72%	44%	25%	13%	7%	3.1%
E	Granada	15%	82%	96.6%	61%	32%	15%	7%	2.9%
F	Napoli	30%	47%	78%	49%	27%	13%	6%	2.9%
	RB Leipzig			27%	19%	13%	8%	4.8%	2.7%
D	Benfica	45%	53%	98.0%	56%	29%	14%	6%	2.7%
	Inter			29%	20%	13%	8%	4.6%	2.5%
	Salzburg			52%	32%	18%	10%	4.8%	2.3%
	Atletico			12%	9%	7%	4.9%	3.4%	2.1%
	Man United			13%	10%	7%	4.4%	2.8%	1.7%
	Ajax			44%	27%	15%	8%	3.6%	1.7%
H	Lille	38%	58%	95.7%	49%	22%	9%	3.4%	1.3%
	Shakhtar			30%	18%	10%	5%	2.7%	1.3%
	Gladbach			21%	13%	7%	3.8%	1.8%	< 1%
	Olympiakos			60%	30%	14%	6%	2.2%	< 1%
D	Rangers	50%	47%	96.6%	43%	17%	6%	2.0%	< 1%
	Dortmund			5%	3.8%	2.5%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
	Porto			20%	11%	6%	2.6%	1.1%	< 1%
	Lazio			21%	12%	6%	2.6%	1.1%	< 1%
J	LASK	53%	22%	75%	30%	11%	3.8%	1.2%	< 1%
	Brugge			54%	24%	10%	3.4%	1.1%	< 1%
	Rennes			58%	25%	10%	3.3%	1.0%	< 1%
	Dynamo Kyiv			72%	28%	10%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%
E	PSV	38%	7%	45%	17%	7%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
K	Dinamo Zagreb	28%	41%	69%	28%	9%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Braga	78%	8%	85%	28%	9%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%
	Sevilla			2.4%	1.7%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Zenit			20%	9%	3.9%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
	Juventus			2.0%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Marseille			19%	9%	3.7%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Slavia Praha	49%	20%	68%	23%	8%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Chelsea			1.4%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Young Boys	47%	8%	55%	18%	6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Alkmaar	30%	21%	50%	18%	6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Nice	26%	4.0%	30%	11%	3.8%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
E	PAOK	44%	12%	56%	17%	4.8%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
K	Feyenoord	25%	20%	46%	15%	4.4%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Liverpool			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Man City			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
K	CSKA Moskva	21%	12%	33%	11%	3.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
I	M Tel Aviv	86%	5%	91%	22%	5%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
A	CFR Cluj	38%	6%	44%	13%	3.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Rapid Wien	29%	< 1%	30%	9%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
L	Crvena Zvezda	81%	5%	86%	20%	4.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
K	Wolfsberg	26%	26%	52%	15%	3.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Lok Moskva			36%	11%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Molde	68%	2.7%	70%	15%	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
J	Antwerp	25%	8%	32%	9%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	FC Krasnodar			39%	11%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Ferencvaros			26%	7%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Barcelona			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Celtic	3.4%	< 1%	4.0%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	AEK	14%	< 1%	14%	3.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Bayern			< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Bueyueksehir			7%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Midtjylland			2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
L	Gent	3.5%	< 1%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Sparta Praha	5.0%	< 1%	6%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Standard	1.1%	< 1%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Lech	3.8%	< 1%	4.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
J	Razgrad	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	CSKA Sofia	3.0%	< 1%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
L	Slovan Liberec	10%	< 1%	10%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Omonia	2.6%	< 1%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
I	Karabakh Agdam	1.8%	< 1%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Beer-Sheva	6%	< 1%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Rijeka	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
I	Sivasspor	7%	< 1%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Dundalk	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Zorya	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%