Simulated points for winner: 77 - 83
Simulated points for fourth: 67 - 70
Simulated points for 17th team: 35 - 39
Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | ||||||||
Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League |
38 | Man City | 78.3 | +39 | < 1% | 99.90% | 99.68% | 99.08% | 97.5% | 63% |
34 | Liverpool | 72.7 | +36 | < 1% | 99.0% | 97.4% | 94% | 87% | 18% |
38 | Man United | 71.8 | +22 | < 1% | 98.0% | 95.4% | 90% | 80% | 12% |
38 | Leicester | 66.7 | +18 | < 1% | 88% | 79% | 64% | 45% | 2.6% |
33 | Tottenham | 66.6 | +26 | < 1% | 89% | 79% | 66% | 47% | 3.0% |
32 | Everton | 62.3 | +9 | < 1% | 64% | 48% | 31% | 17% | < 1% |
29 | Chelsea | 61.5 | +20 | < 1% | 64% | 47% | 29% | 15% | < 1% |
29 | Southampton | 57.7 | +6 | < 1% | 33% | 19% | 10% | 4.4% | < 1% |
32 | West Ham | 56.9 | +3 | < 1% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 3.3% | < 1% |
27 | Arsenal | 55.4 | +8 | < 1% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2.0% | < 1% |
23 | Aston Villa | 53.0 | +5 | < 1% | 13% | 7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | < 1% |
22 | Wolves | 49.0 | -7 | < 1% | 2.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
23 | Leeds | 46.5 | -11 | 1.8% | 1.0% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
23 | Crystal Palace | 45.6 | -17 | 2.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
19 | Burnley | 45.2 | -15 | 3.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
19 | Newcastle | 43.1 | -18 | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
16 | Brighton | 39.2 | -15 | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
13 | Fulham | 32.7 | -25 | 72% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
10 | West Brom | 26.6 | -47 | 95.7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
5 | Sheffield United | 23.4 | -36 | 98.5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Coming Matches
Home | Draw | Away | ||
Aston Villa | 52% | 23% | 25% | Newcastle |
Chelsea | 58% | 21% | 20% | Wolves |
Burnley | 48% | 23% | 28% | Aston Villa |
Brighton | 55% | 22% | 23% | Fulham |
Everton | 46% | 24% | 30% | Leicester |
Man United | 75% | 15% | 10% | Sheffield United |
Tottenham | 35% | 24% | 41% | Liverpool |
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