Friday, January 22, 2021

PL: Burnley won at Anfield

Simulated points for winner: 77 - 83
Simulated points for fourth: 67 - 70
Simulated points for 17th team: 35 - 39



Average Simulated
Season
Probabilities
PtsTeamPtsGDRelegatedTop 7Top 6Top 5Top 4Win League
38Man City78.3+39< 1%99.90%99.68%99.08%97.5%63%
34Liverpool72.7+36< 1%99.0%97.4%94%87%18%
38Man United71.8+22< 1%98.0%95.4%90%80%12%
38Leicester66.7+18< 1%88%79%64%45%2.6%
33Tottenham66.6+26< 1%89%79%66%47%3.0%
32Everton62.3+9< 1%64%48%31%17%< 1%
29Chelsea61.5+20< 1%64%47%29%15%< 1%
29Southampton57.7+6< 1%33%19%10%4.4%< 1%
32West Ham56.9+3< 1%27%15%8%3.3%< 1%
27Arsenal55.4+8< 1%20%11%5%2.0%< 1%
23Aston Villa53.0+5< 1%13%7%3.3%1.3%< 1%
22Wolves49.0-7< 1%2.5%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
23Leeds46.5-111.8%1.0%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
23Crystal Palace45.6-172.6%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
19Burnley45.2-153.5%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
19Newcastle43.1-187%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
16Brighton39.2-1518%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
13Fulham32.7-2572%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
10West Brom26.6-4795.7%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
5Sheffield United23.4-3698.5%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%


Coming Matches
Home
Draw
Away
Aston Villa52%23%25%Newcastle
Chelsea58%21%20%Wolves
Burnley48%23%28%Aston Villa
Brighton55%22%23%Fulham
Everton46%24%30%Leicester
Man United75%15%10%Sheffield United
Tottenham35%24%41%Liverpool



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