Champions League - Sweet Sixteen

Barcelona win 60% of the simulations. The table below shows their chances for different results in the first match

Chance	Team				Result	Chance	Probability
24%	Barcelona	1	-	2	Paris SG	76%	6%
31%	Barcelona	0	-	1	Paris SG	69%	5%
40%	Barcelona	2	-	2	Paris SG	60%	6%
48%	Barcelona	1	-	1	Paris SG	52%	10%
56%	Barcelona	0	-	0	Paris SG	44%	4%
67%	Barcelona	2	-	1	Paris SG	33%	10%
76%	Barcelona	1	-	0	Paris SG	24%	9%
83%	Barcelona	3	-	1	Paris SG	17%	7%
89%	Barcelona	2	-	0	Paris SG	11%	9%
96%	Barcelona	3	-	0	Paris SG	4%	6%

 Liverpool win 65% of the simulations. The table below shows their chances given different results in the first match

Chance	Team				Result	Chance	Probability
6%	RB Leipzig	0	-	2	Liverpool	94%	5%
12%	RB Leipzig	1	-	2	Liverpool	88%	8%
17%	RB Leipzig	0	-	1	Liverpool	83%	7%
24%	RB Leipzig	2	-	2	Liverpool	76%	6%
32%	RB Leipzig	1	-	1	Liverpool	68%	11%
39%	RB Leipzig	0	-	0	Liverpool	61%	5%
50%	RB Leipzig	2	-	1	Liverpool	50%	9%
60%	RB Leipzig	1	-	0	Liverpool	40%	8%
70%	RB Leipzig	3	-	1	Liverpool	30%	4%
77%	RB Leipzig	2	-	0	Liverpool	23%	6%

Probabilities for teams to reach different rounds.

Team	QF	Semi	Final	Champion
Bayern	87%	64%	47%	31%
Man City	77%	48%	29%	16%
Liverpool	65%	38%	21%	10%
Atletico	65%	35%	18%	9%
Barcelona	60%	32%	16%	8%
Real Madrid	62%	29%	13%	6%
Juventus	61%	27%	11%	4%
Sevilla	54%	22%	8%	3%
RB Leipzig	35%	16%	6%	3%
Paris SG	40%	17%	7%	3%
Dortmund	46%	17%	6%	2%
Chelsea	35%	14%	5%	2%
Atalanta	38%	14%	5%	2%
Porto	39%	13%	4%	1%
Gladbach	23%	9%	3%	1%
Lazio	13%	4%	1%	< 1%